---
title: "HighFive case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "HighFive ($5.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.87% from 42 items with odds, observed 90.45% over 6,231 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/166
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [HighFive](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/166)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · HighFive

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/166?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/166?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/166) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/166?window=all)

Price · $5.00

Advertised RTP · 88.87% · EV $4.44 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.45% · 6,231 openings, odds method

Variance · 6.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 87.48% ±16.90 837 openings

7 days · 91.17% ±6.92 5,330 openings

30 days · 90.45% ±6.46 6,231 openings

since tracking started · 90.45% ±6.46 6,231 openings

70.0% 87.5% 105.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/166?window=24h) | 837 | 87.48% ±16.9 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/166?window=7d) | 5,330 | 91.17% ±6.92 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/166) | 6,231 | 90.45% ±6.46 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/166?window=all) | 6,231 | 90.45% ±6.46 | +0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,239 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Dual Berettas \| Duelist (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $330 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,000 | $233 | 1.3% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.92× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 3,846 | $227 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,381 | $139 | 1.3% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.91× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 2,326 | $136 | 1.3% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.12× |
| [FAMAS \| Prime Conspiracy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-prime-conspiracy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,695 | $100 | 1.3% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $98.03 | 1.3% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.07× |
| [FAMAS \| Prime Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-prime-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 1,587 | $93.57 | 1.3% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.76× |
| [FAMAS \| Prime Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-prime-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,471 | $85.90 | 1.3% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.18× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) | 1 in 1,449 | $85.11 | 1.3% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.70× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-convoy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,351 | $78.91 | 1.3% | 3 | 4.6 | 0.65× |
| [M4A1-S \| Moss Quartz (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-moss-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 1,266 | $73.95 | 1.3% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $73.56 | 1.3% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-factory-new) | 1 in 1,190 | $70.13 | 1.3% | 6 | 5.2 | 1.14× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 1,136 | $66.56 | 1.3% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.91× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 1,124 | $66.03 | 1.3% | 4 | 5.6 | 0.72× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 1,053 | $62.07 | 1.3% | 7 | 5.9 | 1.18× |
| [M4A4 \| Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-field-tested) | 1 in 429 | $44.67 | 2.3% | 14 | 14.5 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 403 | $41.93 | 2.3% | 20 | 15.5 | 1.29× |
| [G3SG1 \| Demeter (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-demeter-factory-new) | 1 in 366 | $38.07 | 2.3% | 21 | 17.0 | 1.23× |
| [Galil AR \| Dusk Ruins (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-factory-new) | 1 in 348 | $36.29 | 2.3% | 16 | 17.9 | 0.89× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 300 | $31.26 | 2.3% | 18 | 20.8 | 0.87× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) | 1 in 297 | $30.93 | 2.3% | 21 | 21.0 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-well-worn) | 1 in 297 | $30.88 | 2.3% | 29 | 21.0 | 1.38× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 267 | $27.85 | 2.3% | 24 | 23.3 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 258 | $26.81 | 2.3% | 23 | 24.2 | 0.95× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) | 1 in 248 | $25.83 | 2.3% | 29 | 25.1 | 1.15× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-factory-new) | 1 in 228 | $23.78 | 2.3% | 18 | 27.3 | 0.66× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 226 | $23.52 | 2.3% | 25 | 27.6 | 0.90× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 190 | $19.81 | 2.3% | 39 | 32.8 | 1.19× |
| [Nova \| Tempest (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-tempest-factory-new) | 1 in 164 | $17.09 | 2.3% | 22 | 38.0 | 0.58× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $13.06 | 2.3% | 46 | 49.7 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $11.20 | 2.3% | 53 | 58.0 | 0.91× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 103 | $10.75 | 2.3% | 50 | 60.5 | 0.83× |
| [Galil AR \| Dusk Ruins (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $7.56 | 4.3% | 155 | 158.0 | 0.98× |
| [USP-S \| Stainless (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $7.26 | 4.3% | 160 | 164.5 | 0.97× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tread Plate (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tread-plate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $7.21 | 4.3% | 156 | 165.6 | 0.94× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $7.07 | 4.3% | 168 | 169.0 | 0.99× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $6.84 | 4.3% | 155 | 174.6 | 0.89× |
| [AUG \| Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $6.03 | 4.3% | 175 | 198.1 | 0.88× |
| [SG 553 \| Pulse (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $5.84 | 4.3% | 147 | 204.5 | 0.72× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) | 71.2% | $0.47 | 7.5% | 4,590 | 4444.0 | 1.03× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/166`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Dual Berettas | Duelist (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 $411 82.17x 2026-11-04 23:12 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) [zetbekaa](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/zetbekaa) $5.00 $301 60.17x 2026-11-03 23:59 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=166)

[Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 $0.47 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) [SpizganyBanan](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SpizganyBanan) $5.00 $7.07 1.41x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[AUG | Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 $6.03 1.21x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) [Kasb3rg](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Kasb3rg) $5.00 $0.47 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 $0.47 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) [bigkutas](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/bigkutas) $5.00 $0.47 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) [Don Malkon](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Don%20Malkon) $5.00 $0.47 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[AUG | Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) [dasiek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/dasiek) $5.00 $6.03 1.21x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[FAMAS | Prime Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-prime-conspiracy-factory-new) [Don Malkon](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Don%20Malkon) $5.00 $93.57 18.71x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) [dasiek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/dasiek) $5.00 $0.47 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 19:45 UTC | $5.00 | 88.87% | 42 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $5.00 | 88.97% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 10.8% covert 0.3% classified 3.2% Legendary 0.6% #8847ff 2.8% violet 0.5% extraordinary 0.1% industrial 0.1% mil spec 0.7% Covert 0.1% #4b69ff 76.5% Mil Spec Grade 0.3% pink 3.1% #d32ee6 0.4% blue 0.6% best hit $411 (82.17x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.87 on average: an expected loss of $11.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt