---
title: "Famas case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Famas ($3.75) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.93% from 41 items with odds, observed 89.33% over 10.5K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/17
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Famas](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/17)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Famas

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/17?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/17?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/17) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/17?window=all)

Price · $3.75

Advertised RTP · 88.93% · EV $3.33 from 41 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.33% · 10.5K openings, odds method

Variance · 3.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.24% ±9.79 1,286 openings

7 days · 90.21% ±3.69 8,779 openings

30 days · 89.33% ±3.36 10.5K openings

since tracking started · 89.33% ±3.36 10.5K openings

83.0% 93.2% 103.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/17?window=24h) | 1,286 | 93.24% ±9.79 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/17?window=7d) | 8,779 | 90.21% ±3.69 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/17) | 10.5K | 89.33% ±3.36 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/17?window=all) | 10.5K | 89.33% ±3.36 | +0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 1,235 | $135 | 3.3% | 6 | 8.5 | 0.70× |
| [FAMAS \| Sundown (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-field-tested) | 1 in 562 | $61.88 | 3.3% | 17 | 18.8 | 0.91× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) | 1 in 299 | $33.01 | 3.3% | 21 | 35.2 | 0.60× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 292 | $28.58 | 2.9% | 22 | 36.2 | 0.61× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 289 | $28.34 | 2.9% | 26 | 36.5 | 0.71× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 281 | $27.54 | 2.9% | 33 | 37.5 | 0.88× |
| [FAMAS \| Spitfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 211 | $20.65 | 2.9% | 65 | 50.1 | 1.30× |
| [FAMAS \| Styx (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-minimal-wear) | 1 in 204 | $20.08 | 2.9% | 56 | 51.5 | 1.09× |
| [FAMAS \| Contrast Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-contrast-spray-well-worn) | 1 in 155 | $15.21 | 2.9% | 60 | 68.0 | 0.88× |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-minimal-wear) | 1 in 146 | $14.29 | 2.9% | 67 | 72.4 | 0.93× |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-well-worn) | 1 in 131 | $12.88 | 2.9% | 78 | 80.3 | 0.97× |
| [FAMAS \| Night Borre (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-night-borre-factory-new) | 1 in 126 | $12.36 | 2.9% | 82 | 83.7 | 0.98× |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-battle-scarred) | 1 in 123 | $12.03 | 2.9% | 83 | 86.0 | 0.97× |
| [FAMAS \| Contrast Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-contrast-spray-field-tested) | 1 in 111 | $10.86 | 2.9% | 113 | 95.3 | 1.19× |
| [FAMAS \| Styx (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-battle-scarred) | 1 in 105 | $10.26 | 2.9% | 105 | 100.8 | 1.04× |
| [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-factory-new) | 1 in 104 | $10.19 | 2.9% | 130 | 101.5 | 1.28× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 101 | $9.89 | 2.9% | 92 | 104.6 | 0.88× |
| [FAMAS \| Styx (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-field-tested) | 1 in 101 | $9.89 | 2.9% | 111 | 104.6 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Valence (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-valence-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $8.29 | 2.9% | 130 | 124.8 | 1.04× |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $7.91 | 4.4% | 168 | 194.1 | 0.87× |
| [FAMAS \| Macabre (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $6.25 | 4.4% | 218 | 245.7 | 0.89× |
| [FAMAS \| Night Borre (Minimal Wear) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-night-borre-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $5.48 | 4.4% | 219 | 280.3 | 0.78× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $5.35 | 4.4% | 265 | 287.1 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-doomkitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $4.59 | 4.4% | 317 | 334.6 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Doomkitty (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-doomkitty-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $4.20 | 4.4% | 327 | 365.6 | 0.89× |
| [FAMAS \| Macabre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $3.99 | 4.4% | 354 | 384.9 | 0.92× |
| [FAMAS \| Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-field-tested) | 1 in 73 | $3.33 | 1.4% | 267 | 144.4 | 1.85× |
| [FAMAS \| Hexane (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-hexane-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $3.23 | 1.4% | 140 | 148.9 | 0.94× |
| [FAMAS \| Sergeant (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sergeant-field-tested) | 1 in 63 | $2.87 | 1.4% | 154 | 167.6 | 0.92× |
| [FAMAS \| Sergeant (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sergeant-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $2.12 | 1.4% | 207 | 226.8 | 0.91× |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $1.65 | 1.4% | 213 | 291.4 | 0.73× |
| [FAMAS \| Crypsis (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $1.35 | 1.4% | 295 | 356.3 | 0.83× |
| [FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $0.88 | 1.4% | 514 | 546.5 | 0.94× |
| [FAMAS \| Teardown (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-teardown-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $0.76 | 1.4% | 570 | 632.7 | 0.90× |
| [FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-decommissioned-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $0.43 | 0.2% | 278 | 175.2 | 1.59× |
| [FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $0.42 | 0.2% | 286 | 179.2 | 1.60× |
| [FAMAS \| Teardown (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-teardown-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $0.29 | 0.2% | 393 | 259.6 | 1.51× |
| [FAMAS \| Crypsis (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-well-worn) | 1 in 41 | $0.29 | 0.2% | 307 | 259.6 | 1.18× |
| [FAMAS \| Teardown (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-teardown-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $0.18 | 0.2% | 607 | 418.2 | 1.45× |
| [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.09 | 0.2% | 795 | 836.5 | 0.95× |
| [FAMAS \| Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-field-tested) | 23.8% | $0.03 | 0.2% | 2,349 | 2508.6 | 0.94× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/17`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=17)

[FAMAS | Pulse (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.75 $9.89 2.64x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC

[FAMAS | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-field-tested) Hidden $3.75 $0.03 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC

[FAMAS | Survivor Z (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-minimal-wear) [szmata szmata](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/szmata%20szmata) $3.75 $0.88 0.23x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC

[FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-factory-new) Hidden $3.75 $7.91 2.11x 2026-11-11 16:52 UTC

[FAMAS | Styx (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-battle-scarred) [Jarco Escobar](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Jarco%20Escobar) $3.75 $10.26 2.74x 2026-11-11 16:52 UTC

[FAMAS | Styx (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-field-tested) [Slowik (COACH) skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Slowik%20%28COACH%29%20skins.army) $3.75 $9.89 2.64x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC

[FAMAS | Styx (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-field-tested) [Jarco Escobar](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Jarco%20Escobar) $3.75 $9.89 2.64x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC

[StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-doomkitty-field-tested) [Mietek TungSahur](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mietek%20TungSahur) $3.75 $4.20 1.12x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) [Л̷и̷п̷а̷с̷](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%D0%9B%CC%B7%D0%B8%CC%B7%D0%BF%CC%B7%D0%B0%CC%B7%D1%81%CC%B7) $3.75 $5.35 1.43x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

[FAMAS | Teardown (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-teardown-battle-scarred) [MACIAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/MACIAS) $3.75 $0.18 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 19:45 UTC | $3.75 | 88.93% | 41 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $3.75 | 88.85% | 41 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Legendary 0.1% blue 0.2% restricted 8.9% classified 4.2% pink 1.1% Mythical 1.5% #777777 4.2% #d32ee6 0.7% consumer 24.6% #8847ff 3.7% #87c7ff 1.0% violet 1.0% #4b69ff 16.4% mil spec 24.5% industrial 7.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.93 on average: an expected loss of $11.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt