---
title: "Angel case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Angel ($40.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.86% from 43 items with odds, observed 93.16% over 1,804 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/208
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:42Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Angel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/208)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Angel

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/208?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/208?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/208) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/208?window=all)

Price · $40.50

Advertised RTP · 88.86% · EV $35.99 from 43 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.16% · 1,804 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 23.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 107.95% ±20.01 185 openings

7 days · 93.91% ±6.76 1,619 openings

30 days · 93.16% ±6.41 1,804 openings

since tracking started · 93.16% ±6.41 1,804 openings

86.0% 107.3% 128.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/208?window=24h) | 185 | 107.95% ±20.0 | +1.9σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/208?window=7d) | 1,619 | 93.91% ±6.76 | +1.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/208) | 1,804 | 93.16% ±6.41 | +1.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/208?window=all) | 1,804 | 93.16% ±6.41 | +1.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,822 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) | 1 in 1,961 | $1,195 | 1.7% | 3 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) | 1 in 1,053 | $645 | 1.7% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.73× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 917 | $562 | 1.7% | 4 | 2.0 | 2.01× |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 758 | $463 | 1.7% | 6 | 2.4 | 2.49× |
| [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-field-tested) | 1 in 571 | $350 | 1.7% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 508 | $311 | 1.7% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.11× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 408 | $250 | 1.7% | 4 | 4.5 | 0.90× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 407 | $248 | 1.7% | 3 | 4.5 | 0.67× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) | 1 in 347 | $213 | 1.7% | 8 | 5.2 | 1.52× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 345 | $211 | 1.7% | 1 | 5.3 | 0.19× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 264 | $161 | 1.7% | 2 | 6.9 | 0.29× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 261 | $160 | 1.7% | 6 | 7.0 | 0.86× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 247 | $151 | 1.7% | 7 | 7.4 | 0.95× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 217 | $133 | 1.7% | 11 | 8.4 | 1.31× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 215 | $131 | 1.7% | 4 | 8.5 | 0.47× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 181 | $111 | 1.7% | 6 | 10.1 | 0.60× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 155 | $94.68 | 1.7% | 8 | 11.8 | 0.68× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 146 | $89.45 | 1.7% | 14 | 12.4 | 1.13× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $63.33 | 14.2% | 153 | 147.5 | 1.04× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $54.16 | 14.2% | 153 | 172.4 | 0.89× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 11.5% | $44.67 | 14.2% | 231 | 209.0 | 1.11× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 12.8% | $40.02 | 14.2% | 212 | 233.3 | 0.91× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 175 | $38.89 | 0.6% | 10 | 10.4 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-factory-new) | 1 in 153 | $33.94 | 0.6% | 7 | 11.9 | 0.59× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 149 | $33.18 | 0.6% | 13 | 12.2 | 1.06× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 123 | $27.24 | 0.6% | 18 | 14.9 | 1.21× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-factory-new) | 1 in 110 | $24.56 | 0.6% | 15 | 16.5 | 0.91× |
| [MAG-7 \| Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97 | $21.64 | 0.6% | 16 | 18.7 | 0.86× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-battle-scarred) | 1 in 94 | $20.93 | 0.6% | 26 | 19.3 | 1.34× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 70 | $15.48 | 0.6% | 27 | 26.2 | 1.03× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-factory-new) | 1 in 68 | $15.15 | 0.6% | 33 | 26.7 | 1.23× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $15.06 | 0.6% | 31 | 26.9 | 1.15× |
| [MAG-7 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $13.21 | 0.6% | 23 | 30.6 | 0.75× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $11.91 | 0.6% | 33 | 34.0 | 0.97× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) | 1 in 49 | $10.88 | 0.6% | 38 | 37.2 | 1.02× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $9.67 | 0.6% | 41 | 41.9 | 0.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $9.01 | 0.6% | 43 | 44.9 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $8.18 | 0.6% | 58 | 49.5 | 1.17× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $5.86 | 0.6% | 76 | 69.1 | 1.10× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $4.51 | 0.6% | 89 | 82.6 | 1.08× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $2.56 | 0.5% | 119 | 118.6 | 1.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $2.56 | 0.5% | 107 | 118.6 | 0.90× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $2.12 | 0.5% | 153 | 143.2 | 1.07× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/208`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) Hidden $40.50 $1,195 29.51x 2026-11-08 18:11 UTC

[M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [TheNikooss](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/TheNikooss) $40.50 $1,195 29.51x 2026-11-07 21:20 UTC

[M4A4 | The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) [Twój Stary](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Tw%C3%B3j%20Stary) $40.50 $1,195 29.51x 2026-11-04 21:24 UTC

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) Hidden $40.50 $645 15.93x 2026-11-10 23:51 UTC

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) [Assasin](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Assasin) $40.50 $645 15.93x 2026-11-08 16:51 UTC

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) Hidden $40.50 $645 15.93x 2026-11-05 17:11 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) [Neveride](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Neveride) $40.50 $562 13.88x 2026-11-10 23:51 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) [Assasin](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Assasin) $40.50 $562 13.88x 2026-11-08 17:41 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $40.50 $562 13.88x 2026-11-06 18:47 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) [Sebinho](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Sebinho) $40.50 $562 13.88x 2026-11-04 09:11 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=208)

[AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) Hidden $40.50 $8.18 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) [daj.mi\_piciu](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/daj.mi_piciu) $40.50 $2.12 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[AK-47 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) Hidden $40.50 $63.33 1.56x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[AWP | Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) [Deathstrike](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Deathstrike) $40.50 $4.51 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) Hidden $40.50 $2.12 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC

[AK-47 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) [Cyperio.skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Cyperio.skins.army) $40.50 $63.33 1.56x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC

[AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-minimal-wear) Hidden $40.50 $15.48 0.38x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) [twitch.tv/kosior\_777](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/twitch.tv%2Fkosior_777) $40.50 $5.86 0.14x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) Hidden $40.50 $9.67 0.24x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-field-tested) [Sonic](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Sonic) $40.50 $9.01 0.22x 2026-11-11 12:25 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $40.50 | 88.86% | 43 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 15.1% #eb4b4b 0.1% restricted 14.6% classified 13.6% Ancient 21.2% red 1.4% Legendary 6.5% Restricted 0.7% industrial 1.0% #d32ee6 2.5% #87c7ff 8.2% Mythical 2.0% violet 5.2% light blue 7.9% best hit $1,195 (29.51x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.86 on average: an expected loss of $11.14 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt