---
title: "Bloodthirsty case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Bloodthirsty ($22.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.94% from 27 items with odds, observed 87.62% over 3,374 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/211
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Bloodthirsty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/211)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Bloodthirsty

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/211?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/211?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/211) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/211?window=all)

Price · $22.00

Advertised RTP · 88.94% · EV $19.57 from 27 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.62% · 3,374 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 61.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 74.55% ±24.83 265 openings

7 days · 88.48% ±8.37 2,490 openings

30 days · 87.62% ±7.28 3,374 openings

since tracking started · 87.62% ±7.28 3,374 openings

49.0% 74.5% 100.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/211?window=24h) | 265 | 74.55% ±24.8 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/211?window=7d) | 2,490 | 88.48% ±8.37 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/211) | 3,374 | 87.62% ±7.28 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/211?window=all) | 3,374 | 87.62% ±7.28 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,385 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 2,564 | $1,314 | 2.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Spitfire (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-factory-new) | 1 in 870 | $448 | 2.6% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 606 | $311 | 2.6% | 5 | 5.6 | 0.90× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 543 | $280 | 2.6% | 3 | 6.2 | 0.48× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 452 | $233 | 2.6% | 4 | 7.5 | 0.53× |
| [MAC-10 \| Hot Snakes (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-hot-snakes-battle-scarred) | 1 in 415 | $214 | 2.6% | 5 | 8.2 | 0.61× |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-factory-new) | 1 in 264 | $134 | 2.6% | 7 | 12.8 | 0.55× |
| [UMP-45 \| Crime Scene (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-battle-scarred) | 1 in 262 | $134 | 2.6% | 15 | 12.9 | 1.16× |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-field-tested) | 1 in 257 | $131 | 2.6% | 13 | 13.2 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 1 in 251 | $127 | 2.6% | 11 | 13.5 | 0.81× |
| [Nova \| Baroque Orange (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-baroque-orange-field-tested) | 1 in 233 | $118 | 2.6% | 23 | 14.5 | 1.58× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 216 | $110 | 2.6% | 13 | 15.6 | 0.83× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-field-tested) | 1 in 205 | $104 | 2.6% | 16 | 16.5 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 196 | $99.90 | 2.6% | 20 | 17.2 | 1.16× |
| [Nova \| Baroque Orange (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-baroque-orange-minimal-wear) | 1 in 196 | $99.54 | 2.6% | 18 | 17.3 | 1.04× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 175 | $89.10 | 2.6% | 19 | 19.3 | 0.98× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 137 | $69.44 | 2.6% | 33 | 24.8 | 1.33× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 131 | $66.39 | 2.6% | 26 | 25.9 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $61.15 | 2.6% | 30 | 28.1 | 1.07× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) | 1 in 117 | $59.43 | 2.6% | 29 | 28.9 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 105 | $53.43 | 2.6% | 33 | 32.2 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $38.89 | 8.8% | 148 | 149.7 | 0.99× |
| [M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $31.45 | 8.8% | 182 | 185.1 | 0.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $29.63 | 8.8% | 181 | 196.5 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $28.38 | 8.8% | 205 | 205.2 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $25.23 | 8.8% | 204 | 230.8 | 0.88× |
| [AUG \| Ricochet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-field-tested) | 61.8% | $0.42 | 1.3% | 2,139 | 2092.3 | 1.02× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/211`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=211)

[AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-field-tested) [✪ g u e s t ✪](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%9C%AA%20g%20u%20e%20s%20t%20%E2%9C%AA) $22.00 $0.42 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

[AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) [MereCheetah4570 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/MereCheetah4570%20skins.army) $22.00 $38.89 1.77x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-field-tested) Hidden $22.00 $0.42 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC

[AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) [Steapy](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Steapy) $22.00 $38.89 1.77x 2026-11-11 12:53 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-field-tested) Hidden $22.00 $0.42 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) [ponton](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ponton) $22.00 $28.38 1.29x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-field-tested) Hidden $22.00 $0.42 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-field-tested) [ponton](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ponton) $22.00 $0.42 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:34 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-field-tested) Hidden $22.00 $0.42 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:49 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-field-tested) [BÍNÓÓÓÓÓ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/B%C3%8DN%C3%93%C3%93%C3%93%C3%93%C3%93) $22.00 $0.42 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 19:45 UTC | $22.00 | 88.94% | 27 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $22.00 | 88.85% | 27 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 14.6% restricted 7.8% covert 3.3% #ffd700 0.2% #d32ee6 0.2% #8847ff 0.4% violet 0.4% Restricted 5.5% Classified 5.8% mil spec 61.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.94 on average: an expected loss of $11.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt