---
title: "Furious case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Furious ($44.70) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.76% from 20 items with odds, observed 80.01% over 352 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/262
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Furious](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/262)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Furious

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/262?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/262?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/262) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/262?window=all)

Price · $44.70

Advertised RTP · 86.76% · EV $38.78 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.01% · 352 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 61 openings · below min

7 days · 73.73% ±17.01 288 openings

30 days · 80.01% ±15.38 352 openings

since tracking started · 80.01% ±15.38 352 openings

16.5% 56.3% 96.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/262?window=24h) | 61 | 54.23% ±37.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/262?window=7d) | 288 | 73.73% ±17.0 | −1.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/262) | 352 | 80.01% ±15.4 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/262?window=all) | 352 | 80.01% ±15.4 | −0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 358 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $235 | 30.3% | 14 | 17.9 | 0.78× |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $228 | 29.3% | 18 | 17.9 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $51.21 | 6.6% | 19 | 17.9 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $45.55 | 5.9% | 8 | 17.9 | 0.45× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $41.65 | 5.4% | 17 | 17.9 | 0.95× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $28.48 | 3.7% | 23 | 17.9 | 1.28× |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $26.76 | 3.5% | 10 | 17.9 | 0.56× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $24.16 | 3.1% | 19 | 17.9 | 1.06× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Demolition (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $18.79 | 2.4% | 24 | 17.9 | 1.34× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Demolition (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $15.81 | 2.0% | 17 | 17.9 | 0.95× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $11.15 | 1.4% | 14 | 17.9 | 0.78× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $10.40 | 1.3% | 23 | 17.9 | 1.28× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $9.28 | 1.2% | 13 | 17.9 | 0.73× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $6.01 | 0.8% | 12 | 17.9 | 0.67× |
| [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $5.70 | 0.7% | 20 | 17.9 | 1.12× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $5.53 | 0.7% | 27 | 17.9 | 1.51× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $4.15 | 0.5% | 20 | 17.9 | 1.12× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $4.11 | 0.5% | 19 | 17.9 | 1.06× |
| [G3SG1 \| Scavenger (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-scavenger-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2.67 | 0.3% | 26 | 17.9 | 1.45× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $1.41 | 0.2% | 15 | 17.9 | 0.84× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/262`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=262)

[G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-scavenger-factory-new) Hidden $44.70 $2.67 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Buddy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-factory-new) Hidden $44.70 $4.11 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-factory-new) [KURI](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KURI) $44.70 $28.48 0.64x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.70 $228 5.09x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.70 $1.41 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Demolition (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-field-tested) [KURI](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KURI) $44.70 $18.79 0.42x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[FAMAS | Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) Hidden $44.70 $24.16 0.54x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC

[M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.70 $5.70 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC

[G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-scavenger-factory-new) [KURI](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KURI) $44.70 $2.67 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC

[M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.70 $228 5.09x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $44.70 | 86.76% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 20.0% classified 20.0% mil spec 15.0% #d32ee6 5.0% restricted 25.0% #8847ff 5.0% violet 5.0% Legendary 5.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.76 on average: an expected loss of $13.24 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt