---
title: "Billionaire case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Billionaire ($100.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.81% from 19 items with odds, observed 95.90% over 744 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/275
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Billionaire](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/275)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Billionaire

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/275?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/275?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/275) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/275?window=all)

Price · $100.00

Advertised RTP · 88.81% · EV $88.81 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 95.90% · 744 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.52% ±27.01 118 openings

7 days · 96.28% ±12.74 664 openings

30 days · 95.90% ±12.10 744 openings

since tracking started · 95.90% ±12.10 744 openings

64.0% 91.5% 119.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/275?window=24h) | 118 | 91.52% ±27.0 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/275?window=7d) | 664 | 96.28% ±12.7 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/275) | 744 | 95.90% ±12.1 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/275?window=all) | 744 | 95.90% ±12.1 | +1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 744 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 585 | $1,440 | 2.8% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 459 | $1,129 | 2.8% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.23× |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 412 | $1,014 | 2.8% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.21× |
| [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 267 | $658 | 2.8% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.08× |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 238 | $586 | 2.8% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 95 | $507 | 6.0% | 3 | 7.8 | 0.38× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $503 | 6.0% | 4 | 7.9 | 0.51× |
| [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $351 | 6.0% | 9 | 11.3 | 0.80× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 46 | $245 | 6.0% | 14 | 16.2 | 0.86× |
| [P90 \| Run and Hide (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-run-and-hide-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $242 | 6.0% | 20 | 16.4 | 1.22× |
| [SG 553 \| Hazard Pay (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $230 | 6.0% | 34 | 17.3 | 1.97× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $198 | 7.1% | 11 | 23.7 | 0.46× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $191 | 7.1% | 16 | 24.6 | 0.65× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $186 | 7.1% | 15 | 25.4 | 0.59× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fall Hazard (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fall-hazard-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $159 | 7.1% | 35 | 29.6 | 1.18× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $147 | 7.1% | 34 | 32.1 | 1.06× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $143 | 7.1% | 33 | 33.0 | 1.00× |
| [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $135 | 7.1% | 46 | 34.8 | 1.32× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) | 60.9% | $0.32 | 0.2% | 458 | 453.3 | 1.01× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/275`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $100 $1,445 14.45x 2026-11-06 20:48 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $100 $1,445 14.45x 2026-11-06 17:06 UTC

[Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $100 $1,440 14.40x 2026-11-10 20:19 UTC

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) Hidden $100 $1,372 13.72x 2026-11-08 13:43 UTC

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) [kick.com/korcze](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kick.com%2Fkorcze) $100 $1,372 13.72x 2026-11-06 22:14 UTC

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) Hidden $100 $1,372 13.72x 2026-11-05 19:51 UTC

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) Hidden $100 $1,372 13.72x 2026-11-05 18:44 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) [76561199122759515](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/76561199122759515) $100 $887 8.87x 2026-11-07 21:49 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $100 $887 8.87x 2026-11-06 21:53 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $100 $887 8.87x 2026-11-04 16:21 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=275)

[AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) Hidden $100 $191 1.91x 2026-11-11 17:47 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) Hidden $100 $0.32 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:47 UTC

[P90 | Run and Hide (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-run-and-hide-factory-new) Hidden $100 $242 2.42x 2026-11-11 17:47 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) [type shittttt](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/type%20shittttt) $100 $0.32 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:47 UTC

[P2000 | Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) Hidden $100 $135 1.35x 2026-11-11 14:34 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) Hidden $100 $0.32 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:34 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) Hidden $100 $0.32 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:34 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) [Tung Tung of Nazareth](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Tung%20Tung%20of%20Nazareth) $100 $0.32 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:34 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) Hidden $100 $0.32 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC

[M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $100 $198 1.98x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 21:11 UTC | $100 | 88.81% | 19 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $100 | 88.93% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 3.8% covert 18.4% classified 11.1% #d32ee6 5.7% Rare 60.9% best hit $1,445 (14.45x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.81 on average: an expected loss of $11.19 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt