--- title: "AWP MAS7ER case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "AWP MAS7ER ($4.40) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 84.42% from 14 items with odds, observed 84.91% over 10.2K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/285 rendered: 2026-11-11T17:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [AWP MAS7ER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/285) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · AWP MAS7ER A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/285?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/285?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/285) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/285?window=all) Price · $4.40 Advertised RTP · 84.42% · EV $3.71 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.91% · 10.2K openings, odds method Variance · 12.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 46 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.40% ±19.46 1,298 openings 7 days · 86.67% ±7.53 8,667 openings 30 days · 84.91% ±6.95 10.2K openings since tracking started · 84.91% ±6.95 10.2K openings 68.5% 88.5% 108.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/285?window=24h) | 1,298 | 88.40% ±19.5 | +0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/285?window=7d) | 8,667 | 86.67% ±7.53 | +0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/285) | 10.2K | 84.91% ±6.95 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/285?window=all) | 10.2K | 84.91% ±6.95 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.2K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-field-tested) | 1 in 186 | $132 | 19.1% | 54 | 54.8 | 0.98× | | [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 186 | $98.12 | 14.2% | 59 | 54.8 | 1.08× | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 186 | $85.88 | 12.4% | 52 | 54.8 | 0.95× | | [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 186 | $49.74 | 7.2% | 58 | 54.8 | 1.06× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 186 | $47.07 | 6.8% | 58 | 54.8 | 1.06× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 186 | $43.30 | 6.3% | 56 | 54.8 | 1.02× | | [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 186 | $39.71 | 5.8% | 59 | 54.8 | 1.08× | | [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 186 | $39.35 | 5.7% | 59 | 54.8 | 1.08× | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 186 | $37.59 | 5.4% | 56 | 54.8 | 1.02× | | [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 184 | $31.06 | 4.5% | 62 | 55.4 | 1.12× | | [AWP \| Electric Hive (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-field-tested) | 1 in 186 | $29.28 | 4.2% | 43 | 54.8 | 0.78× | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 186 | $28.59 | 4.1% | 44 | 54.8 | 0.80× | | [AWP \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 186 | $21.73 | 3.1% | 58 | 54.8 | 1.06× | | [FAMAS \| Colony (Minimal Wear) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-minimal-wear) | 93.0% | $0.04 | 1.0% | 9,475 | 9479.5 | 1.00× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/285`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=285) [FAMAS | Colony (Minimal Wear) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-minimal-wear) [Grzegorz Braun](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Grzegorz%20Braun) $4.40 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:04 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Minimal Wear) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-minimal-wear) [Sewciuu](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Sewciuu) $4.40 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:04 UTC [AWP | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) Hidden $4.40 $39.71 9.02x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Minimal Wear) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-minimal-wear) [Get-\_Sinibu7 CSGOSKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Get-_Sinibu7%20CSGOSKINS) $4.40 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Minimal Wear) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.40 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Minimal Wear) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.40 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Minimal Wear) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-minimal-wear) [grunwelid123321](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/grunwelid123321) $4.40 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Minimal Wear) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.40 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Minimal Wear) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.40 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC [FAMAS | Colony (Minimal Wear) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.40 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 5 Nov, 11:42 UTC | $4.40 | 84.42% | 14 | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.90 | 83.37% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.2% classified 1.6% restricted 1.1% industrial 0.5% #d32ce6 0.5% #777777 93.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.42 on average: an expected loss of $15.58 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt