--- title: "50% Boreal Forest case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "50% Boreal Forest ($36.60) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 84.63% from 10 items with odds, observed 85.48% over 697 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/29 rendered: 2026-11-11T17:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [50% Boreal Forest](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/29) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · 50% Boreal Forest A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/29?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/29?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/29) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/29?window=all) Price · $36.60 Advertised RTP · 84.63% · EV $30.98 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.48% · 697 openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 19.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 68 openings · below min 7 days · 85.57% ±9.41 571 openings 30 days · 85.48% ±8.50 697 openings since tracking started · 85.48% ±8.50 697 openings 54.5% 82.5% 110.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/29?window=24h) | 68 | 82.58% ±27.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/29?window=7d) | 571 | 85.57% ±9.41 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/29) | 697 | 85.48% ±8.50 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/29?window=all) | 697 | 85.48% ±8.50 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 697 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $187 | 30.2% | 41 | 34.9 | 1.18× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $50.31 | 14.6% | 57 | 62.7 | 0.91× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $50.25 | 8.1% | 23 | 34.9 | 0.66× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 16.0% | $44.86 | 23.2% | 122 | 111.5 | 1.09× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 15.0% | $43.44 | 21.0% | 91 | 104.5 | 0.87× | | [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $15.75 | 2.5% | 40 | 34.9 | 1.15× | | [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $0.28 | 0.1% | 74 | 69.7 | 1.06× | | [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 12.5% | $0.20 | 0.1% | 90 | 87.1 | 1.03× | | [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 10.0% | $0.19 | 0.1% | 64 | 69.7 | 0.92× | | [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 12.5% | $0.15 | 0.1% | 95 | 87.1 | 1.09× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/29`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=29) [★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) [User0 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/User0%20skins.army) $36.60 $50.31 1.37x 2026-11-11 17:09 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) [G-E-I-T](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/G-E-I-T) $36.60 $0.28 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:09 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $36.60 $44.86 1.23x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.60 $0.28 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $36.60 $43.44 1.19x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) [✪Spid ❤M](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%9C%AASpid%20%E2%9D%A4M) $36.60 $0.20 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $36.60 $43.44 1.19x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-well-worn) Hidden $36.60 $0.19 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) Hidden $36.60 $187 5.12x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) [Steapy](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Steapy) $36.60 $0.20 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 5 Nov, 18:07 UTC | $36.60 | 84.63% | 10 | | 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $36.70 | 84.52% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #ffd700 36.0% covert 14.0% industrial 17.5% Uncommon 10.0% Industrial Grade 22.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.63 on average: an expected loss of $15.37 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt