---
title: "Desert Eagle case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Desert Eagle ($4.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.91% from 53 items with odds, observed 89.31% over 39.9K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/317
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:09Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Desert Eagle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/317)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Desert Eagle

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/317?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/317?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/317) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/317?window=all)

Price · $4.00

Advertised RTP · 88.91% · EV $3.56 from 53 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.31% · 39.9K openings, odds method

Variance · 7.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 98.06% ±6.69 6,319 openings

7 days · 89.29% ±2.87 33.8K openings

30 days · 89.31% ±2.64 39.9K openings

since tracking started · 89.31% ±2.64 39.9K openings

86.0% 95.8% 105.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/317?window=24h) | 6,319 | 98.06% ±6.69 | +2.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/317?window=7d) | 33.8K | 89.29% ±2.87 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/317) | 39.9K | 89.31% ±2.64 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/317?window=all) | 39.9K | 89.31% ±2.64 | +0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 53 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 40K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $664 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $521 | 0.7% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $510 | 0.7% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.50× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $441 | 0.6% | 4 | 2.0 | 2.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $224 | 0.7% | 2 | 4.4 | 0.45× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $199 | 0.7% | 7 | 4.8 | 1.46× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $192 | 0.7% | 4 | 5.2 | 0.77× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $162 | 0.7% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $134 | 0.7% | 9 | 7.2 | 1.25× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $95.17 | 0.7% | 9 | 10.0 | 0.90× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-field-tested) | 1 in 3,846 | $94.25 | 0.7% | 12 | 10.4 | 1.15× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) | 1 in 3,571 | $87.84 | 0.7% | 8 | 11.2 | 0.71× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $80.40 | 0.7% | 5 | 12.0 | 0.42× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 3,125 | $76.70 | 0.7% | 11 | 12.8 | 0.86× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-factory-new) | 1 in 2,941 | $70.13 | 0.7% | 5 | 13.6 | 0.37× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 2,857 | $69.31 | 0.7% | 11 | 14.0 | 0.79× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 1,923 | $46.59 | 0.7% | 18 | 20.8 | 0.87× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,852 | $44.40 | 0.7% | 18 | 21.6 | 0.83× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 389 | $38.20 | 2.8% | 74 | 102.8 | 0.72× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 365 | $35.81 | 2.8% | 81 | 109.6 | 0.74× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 303 | $29.68 | 2.8% | 115 | 132.0 | 0.87× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 295 | $28.88 | 2.8% | 144 | 135.6 | 1.06× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 270 | $26.41 | 2.8% | 146 | 148.5 | 0.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-field-tested) | 1 in 229 | $22.44 | 2.8% | 200 | 174.9 | 1.14× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 226 | $22.10 | 2.8% | 174 | 177.3 | 0.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 196 | $19.25 | 2.8% | 208 | 203.7 | 1.02× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 159 | $15.61 | 2.8% | 260 | 251.3 | 1.03× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-field-tested) | 1 in 144 | $14.14 | 2.8% | 262 | 277.3 | 0.94× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 114 | $11.21 | 2.8% | 413 | 349.7 | 1.18× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 112 | $10.95 | 2.8% | 349 | 358.1 | 0.97× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-well-worn) | 1 in 98 | $9.64 | 2.8% | 363 | 406.9 | 0.89× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 90 | $8.79 | 2.8% | 443 | 446.2 | 0.99× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-factory-new) | 1 in 89 | $8.70 | 2.8% | 414 | 450.6 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $8.26 | 6.9% | 1,307 | 1186.0 | 1.10× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $7.01 | 6.9% | 1,385 | 1397.3 | 0.99× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $6.94 | 6.9% | 1,306 | 1411.3 | 0.93× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $5.84 | 6.9% | 1,551 | 1677.4 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $5.04 | 6.9% | 1,975 | 1943.5 | 1.02× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-battle-scarred) | 1 in 76 | $1.77 | 0.7% | 517 | 527.4 | 0.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $1.53 | 0.7% | 553 | 610.2 | 0.91× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $1.43 | 0.7% | 628 | 653.0 | 0.96× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-meteorite-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $1.20 | 0.7% | 673 | 777.9 | 0.87× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $1.08 | 0.7% | 812 | 864.3 | 0.94× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $1.03 | 0.7% | 837 | 906.3 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $0.92 | 0.7% | 874 | 1014.8 | 0.86× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $0.80 | 0.7% | 1,170 | 1167.2 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $0.69 | 0.7% | 1,243 | 1353.3 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $0.64 | 1.0% | 2,317 | 2209.2 | 1.05× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.46 | 1.0% | 3,117 | 3073.5 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.45 | 1.0% | 3,055 | 3141.9 | 0.97× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.43 | 1.0% | 3,522 | 3288.0 | 1.07× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-battle-scarred) | 10.4% | $0.34 | 1.0% | 4,267 | 4158.3 | 1.03× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-field-tested) | 11.9% | $0.30 | 1.0% | 5,125 | 4767.3 | 1.08× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/317`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $4.00 $664 166.0x 2026-11-10 16:34 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.00 $566 141.6x 2026-11-05 19:24 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.00 $566 141.6x 2026-11-05 13:49 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.00 $566 141.6x 2026-11-03 08:08 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) Hidden $4.00 $521 130.2x 2026-11-10 17:02 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) Hidden $4.00 $521 130.2x 2026-11-06 18:39 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $4.00 $510 127.6x 2026-11-10 19:07 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $4.00 $510 127.6x 2026-11-10 00:46 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Hand Cannon (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-factory-new) Hidden $4.00 $494 123.5x 2026-11-04 23:46 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) [ANDskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ANDskins.army) $4.00 $441 110.2x 2026-11-10 22:26 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=317)

[Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-field-tested) Hidden $4.00 $0.46 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) [QnnQ1111skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/QnnQ1111skins.army) $4.00 $0.43 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Directive (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-minimal-wear) [RZCrt](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/RZCrt) $4.00 $8.26 2.07x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-field-tested) [Bartex](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Bartex) $4.00 $0.30 0.08x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) [MIERZWIN](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/MIERZWIN) $4.00 $0.43 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) [Nikoo1313skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Nikoo1313skins.army) $4.00 $1.08 0.27x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-field-tested) [MIERZWIN](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/MIERZWIN) $4.00 $0.46 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) [Nikoo1313skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Nikoo1313skins.army) $4.00 $0.45 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Directive (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-minimal-wear) [animalpeak skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/animalpeak%20skins.army) $4.00 $8.26 2.07x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) [Cole palmerCase.gift](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Cole%20palmerCase.gift) $4.00 $1.43 0.36x 2026-11-11 14:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 19:45 UTC | $4.00 | 88.91% | 53 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 88.98% | 53 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 7.9% rare 0.0% restricted 14.7% covert 0.2% #d32ee6 0.0% classified 2.8% industrial 0.1% mil spec 13.1% Ancient 0.3% Classified 0.3% blue 12.7% light blue 0.7% #8847ff 6.2% violet 3.5% Legendary 4.2% Mythical 2.9% #4b69ff 30.5% best hit $664 (166.0x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.91 on average: an expected loss of $11.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt