---
title: "Five-seven case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Five-seven ($1.80) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.91% from 48 items with odds, observed 87.65% over 55.3K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/319
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Five-seven](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/319)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Five-seven

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/319?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/319?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/319) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/319?window=all)

Price · $1.80

Advertised RTP · 88.91% · EV $1.60 from 48 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.65% · 55.3K openings, odds method

Variance · 16.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 21 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 89.86% ±9.42 7,163 openings

7 days · 88.14% ±3.79 45.4K openings

30 days · 87.65% ±3.49 55.3K openings

since tracking started · 87.65% ±3.49 55.3K openings

80.0% 90.0% 100.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/319?window=24h) | 7,163 | 89.86% ±9.42 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/319?window=7d) | 45.4K | 88.14% ±3.79 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/319) | 55.3K | 87.65% ±3.49 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/319?window=all) | 55.3K | 87.65% ±3.49 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 48 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 55.3K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $577 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $454 | 1.1% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.36× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $275 | 1.0% | 1 | 3.3 | 0.30× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14,286 | $248 | 1.1% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.52× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-well-worn) | 1 in 14,286 | $229 | 1.0% | 5 | 3.9 | 1.29× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fall Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fall-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 12,500 | $209 | 1.0% | 3 | 4.4 | 0.68× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fall-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $208 | 1.0% | 4 | 4.4 | 0.90× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $117 | 1.0% | 10 | 7.7 | 1.29× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $88.52 | 1.0% | 4 | 10.0 | 0.40× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $83.25 | 1.0% | 7 | 11.1 | 0.63× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 1 in 4,762 | $78.33 | 1.0% | 15 | 11.6 | 1.29× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $70.76 | 1.0% | 9 | 12.7 | 0.71× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 2,174 | $35.26 | 1.0% | 31 | 25.4 | 1.22× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 1,538 | $24.96 | 1.0% | 33 | 36.0 | 0.92× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,408 | $22.97 | 1.0% | 34 | 39.3 | 0.87× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-field-tested) | 1 in 1,389 | $22.53 | 1.0% | 32 | 39.8 | 0.80× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,351 | $22.08 | 1.0% | 44 | 40.9 | 1.07× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,235 | $20.24 | 1.0% | 42 | 44.8 | 0.94× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 262 | $17.12 | 4.1% | 149 | 211.3 | 0.71× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 216 | $14.17 | 4.1% | 237 | 255.5 | 0.93× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-field-tested) | 1 in 214 | $14.00 | 4.1% | 257 | 258.9 | 0.99× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 198 | $12.95 | 4.1% | 290 | 279.3 | 1.04× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-battle-scarred) | 1 in 196 | $12.87 | 4.1% | 246 | 281.5 | 0.87× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Retrobution (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-factory-new) | 1 in 189 | $12.35 | 4.1% | 286 | 293.2 | 0.98× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 185 | $12.10 | 4.1% | 285 | 299.2 | 0.95× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hot Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hot-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 126 | $8.22 | 4.1% | 399 | 440.3 | 0.91× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hot Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hot-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 94 | $6.15 | 4.1% | 593 | 588.5 | 1.01× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-factory-new) | 1 in 75 | $4.88 | 4.1% | 697 | 741.7 | 0.94× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Kami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-factory-new) | 1 in 75 | $4.88 | 4.1% | 696 | 741.7 | 0.94× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-field-tested) | 1 in 73 | $3.46 | 3.0% | 763 | 759.4 | 1.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 73 | $3.45 | 3.0% | 721 | 761.6 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Retrobution (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-retrobution-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $2.85 | 3.0% | 962 | 922.1 | 1.04× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $2.85 | 3.0% | 875 | 922.1 | 0.95× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $2.61 | 3.0% | 1,016 | 1006.7 | 1.01× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-factory-new) | 1 in 41 | $1.95 | 3.0% | 1,308 | 1347.4 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $1.87 | 3.0% | 1,489 | 1404.9 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hybrid-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $1.86 | 3.0% | 1,125 | 1412.7 | 0.80× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Triumvirate (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-triumvirate-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $1.73 | 1.0% | 662 | 533.2 | 1.24× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Retrobution (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $1.40 | 1.0% | 585 | 658.2 | 0.89× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $0.56 | 1.0% | 1,690 | 1646.1 | 1.03× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $0.46 | 1.0% | 1,925 | 2004.0 | 0.96× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.43 | 1.0% | 2,106 | 2143.9 | 0.98× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $0.38 | 1.0% | 2,358 | 2426.0 | 0.97× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $0.30 | 1.3% | 4,159 | 3761.8 | 1.11× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.24 | 1.3% | 4,443 | 4701.5 | 0.95× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fraise Crane (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fraise-crane-battle-scarred) | 11.3% | $0.18 | 1.3% | 6,424 | 6268.5 | 1.02× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) | 13.6% | $0.15 | 1.3% | 7,229 | 7521.9 | 0.96× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Dark Polymer (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-dark-polymer-well-worn) | 18.8% | $0.11 | 1.3% | 11,057 | 10415.8 | 1.06× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/319`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-field-tested) Hidden $1.80 $577 320.3x 2026-11-09 20:46 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) [Binek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Binek) $1.80 $539 299.5x 2026-11-03 08:42 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $1.80 $454 252.0x 2026-11-08 17:10 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) [スクレーニク](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E3%82%B9%E3%82%AF%E3%83%AC%E3%83%BC%E3%83%8B%E3%82%AF) $1.80 $454 252.0x 2026-11-06 20:28 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) [Miltrras](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Miltrras) $1.80 $275 152.9x 2026-11-07 14:20 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.80 $248 137.6x 2026-11-09 21:00 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.80 $248 137.6x 2026-11-09 14:02 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-well-worn) [GrzechuPL24](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/GrzechuPL24) $1.80 $229 127.1x 2026-11-11 15:18 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-well-worn) Hidden $1.80 $229 127.1x 2026-11-10 19:23 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-well-worn) [𝐍𝐂 | Saganeq\_skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%90%8D%F0%9D%90%82%20%20%7C%20Saganeq_skins.army) $1.80 $229 127.1x 2026-11-09 22:48 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=319)

[Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fraise-crane-battle-scarred) [ARMANE](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ARMANE) $1.80 $0.18 0.10x 2026-11-11 17:38 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fraise-crane-battle-scarred) [kubuś ψ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kubu%C5%9B%20%CF%88) $1.80 $0.18 0.10x 2026-11-11 17:38 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-factory-new) Hidden $1.80 $3.45 1.92x 2026-11-11 17:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hybrid-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.80 $1.86 1.03x 2026-11-11 17:38 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) [BogrygoNaMasieskins.armyCS2.ME](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/BogrygoNaMasieskins.armyCS2.ME) $1.80 $0.15 0.08x 2026-11-11 17:38 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-field-tested) Hidden $1.80 $0.24 0.13x 2026-11-11 17:38 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-dark-polymer-well-worn) Hidden $1.80 $0.11 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:38 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-dark-polymer-well-worn) [xxx](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/xxx) $1.80 $0.11 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:38 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.80 $0.38 0.21x 2026-11-11 17:37 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.80 $0.38 0.21x 2026-11-11 17:37 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 18:07 UTC | $1.80 | 88.91% | 48 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.80 | 88.87% | 48 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 9.7% covert 0.0% classified 1.2% mil spec 6.9% industrial 0.8% Legendary 0.1% #d32ee6 0.1% Uncommon 1.1% #8847ff 3.9% #4b69ff 54.8% Mil Spec Grade 2.4% violet 5.4% Rare 13.6% best hit $577 (320.3x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.91 on average: an expected loss of $11.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt