---
title: "AUG case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "AUG ($3.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.84% from 49 items with odds, observed 85.17% over 7,602 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/326
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [AUG](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/326)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · AUG

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/326?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/326?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/326) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/326?window=all)

Price · $3.00

Advertised RTP · 88.84% · EV $2.67 from 49 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.17% · 7,602 openings, odds method

Variance · 21.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 92.41% ±27.90 1,039 openings

7 days · 85.19% ±11.04 6,341 openings

30 days · 85.17% ±9.98 7,602 openings

since tracking started · 85.17% ±9.98 7,602 openings

64.0% 92.5% 121.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/326?window=24h) | 1,039 | 92.41% ±27.9 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/326?window=7d) | 6,341 | 85.19% ±11.0 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/326) | 7,602 | 85.17% ±9.98 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/326?window=all) | 7,602 | 85.17% ±9.98 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,619 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $513 | 3.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [AUG \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $410 | 3.1% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Midnight Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-midnight-lily-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,545 | $375 | 3.1% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× |
| [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 4,348 | $354 | 3.1% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,000 | $324 | 3.0% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 1,010 | $82.23 | 3.1% | 11 | 7.5 | 1.46× |
| [AUG \| Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 935 | $76.10 | 3.1% | 7 | 8.2 | 0.86× |
| [AUG \| Carved Jade (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-carved-jade-factory-new) | 1 in 581 | $47.29 | 3.1% | 12 | 13.1 | 0.92× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 599 | $29.94 | 1.9% | 16 | 12.7 | 1.26× |
| [AUG \| Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 513 | $25.65 | 1.9% | 13 | 14.9 | 0.88× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-factory-new) | 1 in 483 | $24.20 | 1.9% | 19 | 15.8 | 1.20× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-factory-new) | 1 in 435 | $21.70 | 1.9% | 17 | 17.5 | 0.97× |
| [AUG \| Sand Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 398 | $19.92 | 1.9% | 9 | 19.1 | 0.47× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 395 | $19.80 | 1.9% | 24 | 19.3 | 1.25× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 289 | $14.45 | 1.9% | 29 | 26.4 | 1.10× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 279 | $13.95 | 1.9% | 23 | 27.3 | 0.84× |
| [AUG \| Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) | 1 in 272 | $13.61 | 1.9% | 29 | 28.0 | 1.04× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-field-tested) | 1 in 270 | $13.49 | 1.9% | 29 | 28.3 | 1.03× |
| [AUG \| Wings (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-minimal-wear) | 1 in 253 | $12.66 | 1.9% | 25 | 30.1 | 0.83× |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-factory-new) | 1 in 220 | $11.01 | 1.9% | 36 | 34.6 | 1.04× |
| [AUG \| Carved Jade (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-carved-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 220 | $11.01 | 1.9% | 29 | 34.6 | 0.84× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 212 | $10.62 | 1.9% | 27 | 35.9 | 0.75× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-battle-scarred) | 1 in 209 | $10.44 | 1.9% | 39 | 36.5 | 1.07× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 169 | $8.43 | 1.9% | 41 | 45.2 | 0.91× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-factory-new) | 1 in 155 | $7.76 | 1.9% | 49 | 49.1 | 1.00× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-factory-new) | 1 in 152 | $7.58 | 1.9% | 53 | 50.3 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-momentum-well-worn) | 1 in 126 | $6.30 | 1.9% | 56 | 60.5 | 0.93× |
| [AUG \| Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $6.00 | 1.9% | 57 | 63.5 | 0.90× |
| [AUG \| Torque (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-well-worn) | 1 in 66 | $5.62 | 3.2% | 96 | 115.2 | 0.83× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 66 | $5.59 | 3.2% | 109 | 115.9 | 0.94× |
| [AUG \| Condemned (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-factory-new) | 1 in 64 | $5.42 | 3.2% | 146 | 119.5 | 1.22× |
| [AUG \| Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $5.25 | 3.2% | 100 | 123.4 | 0.81× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $4.52 | 3.2% | 174 | 143.3 | 1.21× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $4.11 | 3.2% | 176 | 157.6 | 1.12× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-factory-new) | 1 in 46 | $3.93 | 3.2% | 180 | 164.8 | 1.09× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $3.61 | 3.2% | 202 | 179.4 | 1.13× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-battle-scarred) | 1 in 44 | $1.85 | 1.6% | 145 | 171.6 | 0.85× |
| [AUG \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $1.84 | 1.6% | 162 | 172.5 | 0.94× |
| [AUG \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $1.69 | 1.6% | 177 | 187.8 | 0.94× |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-battle-scarred) | 1 in 34 | $1.43 | 1.6% | 201 | 222.0 | 0.91× |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $1.30 | 1.6% | 194 | 244.2 | 0.79× |
| [AUG \| Plague (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.76 | 1.6% | 321 | 417.7 | 0.77× |
| [AUG \| Plague (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-battle-scarred) | 1 in 55 | $0.64 | 0.4% | 140 | 139.5 | 1.00× |
| [AUG \| Ricochet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $0.41 | 0.4% | 234 | 217.7 | 1.07× |
| [AUG \| Ricochet (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $0.35 | 0.4% | 246 | 255.0 | 0.96× |
| [AUG \| Tom Cat (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $0.33 | 0.4% | 280 | 270.5 | 1.04× |
| [AUG \| Triqua (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.30 | 0.4% | 319 | 297.5 | 1.07× |
| [AUG \| Condemned (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-field-tested) | 13.0% | $0.09 | 0.4% | 911 | 991.7 | 0.92× |
| [AUG \| Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) | 29.2% | $0.04 | 0.4% | 2,453 | 2226.2 | 1.10× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/326`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) [krychu](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/krychu) $3.00 $513 171.2x 2026-11-07 22:46 UTC

[AUG | Midnight Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-midnight-lily-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.00 $375 124.9x 2026-11-10 17:06 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.00 $332 110.5x 2026-11-06 12:17 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=326)

[AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-field-tested) [abc ʕʘ̅͜ʘ̅ʔ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/abc%20%CA%95%CA%98%CC%85%CD%9C%CA%98%CC%85%CA%94) $3.00 $0.09 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[AUG | Condemned (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-factory-new) [𝕂𝕒𝕞𝕦𝕣 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%82%F0%9D%95%92%F0%9D%95%9E%F0%9D%95%A6%F0%9D%95%A3%20skins.army) $3.00 $5.42 1.81x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[AUG | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-field-tested) [Bartex](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Bartex) $3.00 $1.69 0.56x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[AUG | Condemned (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-factory-new) [abc ʕʘ̅͜ʘ̅ʔ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/abc%20%CA%95%CA%98%CC%85%CD%9C%CA%98%CC%85%CA%94) $3.00 $5.42 1.81x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-field-tested) [𝕂𝕒𝕞𝕦𝕣 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%82%F0%9D%95%92%F0%9D%95%9E%F0%9D%95%A6%F0%9D%95%A3%20skins.army) $3.00 $0.09 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[AUG | Plague (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-battle-scarred) [Bartex](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Bartex) $3.00 $0.64 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[AUG | Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.00 $1.85 0.62x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) [RZCrt](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/RZCrt) $3.00 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[AUG | Torque (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-well-worn) [C4rtii](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/C4rtii) $3.00 $5.62 1.87x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[AUG | Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) [𝕂𝕒𝕞𝕦𝕣 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%82%F0%9D%95%92%F0%9D%95%9E%F0%9D%95%A6%F0%9D%95%A3%20skins.army) $3.00 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 13:17 UTC | $3.00 | 88.84% | 49 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $3.00 | 88.97% | 49 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% mil spec 3.8% restricted 5.7% classified 7.0% Rare 2.4% Restricted 0.2% pink 0.2% violet 0.3% #d32ee6 2.5% Legendary 2.7% milspec 3.9% #d32ce6 0.5% #87c7ff 14.6% #8847ff 6.7% #4b69ff 17.0% Mythical 3.2% consumer 29.2% best hit $513 (171.2x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.84 on average: an expected loss of $11.16 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt