---
title: "P2000 case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "P2000 ($1.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.85% from 46 items with odds, observed 88.21% over 59.7K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/330
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:42Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [P2000](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/330)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · P2000

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/330?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/330?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/330) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/330?window=all)

Price · $1.00

Advertised RTP · 88.85% · EV $0.89 from 46 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.21% · 59.7K openings, odds method

Variance · 6.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 87.77% ±5.38 8,217 openings

7 days · 87.10% ±2.20 50.1K openings

30 days · 88.21% ±2.03 59.7K openings

since tracking started · 88.21% ±2.03 59.7K openings

81.5% 87.8% 94.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/330?window=24h) | 8,217 | 87.77% ±5.38 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/330?window=7d) | 50.1K | 87.10% ±2.20 | −1.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/330) | 59.7K | 88.21% ±2.03 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/330?window=all) | 59.7K | 88.21% ±2.03 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 46 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 59.7K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 25,000 | $114 | 0.5% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,000 | $105 | 0.5% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.67× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,000 | $100 | 0.5% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $97.80 | 0.4% | 5 | 2.4 | 2.09× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $85.69 | 0.5% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× |
| [P2000 \| Chainmail (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-chainmail-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $82.93 | 0.5% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [P2000 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $79.60 | 0.4% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.34× |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $65.65 | 0.4% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× |
| [P2000 \| Scorpion (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-scorpion-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $40.80 | 0.5% | 1 | 6.0 | 0.17× |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $33.76 | 0.5% | 9 | 7.8 | 1.16× |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $28.73 | 0.5% | 6 | 9.0 | 0.67× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $22.81 | 0.5% | 7 | 11.4 | 0.62× |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-field-tested) | 1 in 4,762 | $20.04 | 0.5% | 10 | 12.5 | 0.80× |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 4,348 | $18.55 | 0.5% | 14 | 13.7 | 1.02× |
| [P2000 \| Handgun (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-factory-new) | 1 in 4,348 | $18.19 | 0.5% | 15 | 13.7 | 1.09× |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $17.23 | 0.5% | 15 | 14.9 | 1.00× |
| [P2000 \| Acid Etched (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $17.00 | 0.5% | 13 | 14.9 | 0.87× |
| [P2000 \| Turf (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-factory-new) | 1 in 3,846 | $16.38 | 0.5% | 14 | 15.5 | 0.90× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 3,125 | $13.39 | 0.5% | 21 | 19.1 | 1.10× |
| [P2000 \| Pathfinder (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-field-tested) | 1 in 3,125 | $13.20 | 0.5% | 17 | 19.1 | 0.89× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,030 | $12.73 | 0.5% | 28 | 19.7 | 1.42× |
| [P2000 \| Panther Camo (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 169 | $8.48 | 5.6% | 321 | 352.5 | 0.91× |
| [P2000 \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-factory-new) | 1 in 134 | $6.68 | 5.6% | 425 | 447.4 | 0.95× |
| [P2000 \| Space Race (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-space-race-battle-scarred) | 1 in 130 | $6.52 | 5.6% | 426 | 458.2 | 0.93× |
| [P2000 \| Space Race (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-space-race-field-tested) | 1 in 124 | $6.20 | 5.6% | 454 | 481.5 | 0.94× |
| [P2000 \| Red FragCam (Well-Worn) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-well-worn) | 1 in 119 | $5.94 | 5.6% | 478 | 503.0 | 0.95× |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 103 | $5.16 | 5.6% | 588 | 578.9 | 1.02× |
| [P2000 \| Red FragCam (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $4.64 | 5.6% | 540 | 644.0 | 0.84× |
| [P2000 \| Panther Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 63 | $3.16 | 5.6% | 921 | 945.1 | 0.97× |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $1.95 | 5.0% | 1,235 | 1347.7 | 0.92× |
| [P2000 \| Handgun (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $1.84 | 5.0% | 1,328 | 1428.4 | 0.93× |
| [P2000 \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 41 | $1.80 | 5.0% | 1,248 | 1460.0 | 0.85× |
| [P2000 \| Acid Etched (Minimal Wear) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $1.54 | 5.0% | 1,514 | 1706.7 | 0.89× |
| [P2000 \| Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.38 | 5.0% | 1,640 | 1904.5 | 0.86× |
| [P2000 \| Handgun (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-field-tested) | 1 in 107 | $0.94 | 1.0% | 982 | 556.2 | 1.77× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) | 1 in 93 | $0.81 | 1.0% | 948 | 645.2 | 1.47× |
| [P2000 \| Turf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-battle-scarred) | 1 in 87 | $0.76 | 1.0% | 850 | 687.6 | 1.24× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $0.63 | 1.0% | 945 | 829.8 | 1.14× |
| [P2000 \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 70 | $0.61 | 1.0% | 1,256 | 856.7 | 1.47× |
| [P2000 \| Ivory (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $0.47 | 1.0% | 1,140 | 1112.3 | 1.02× |
| [P2000 \| Ivory (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $0.41 | 1.0% | 1,340 | 1274.8 | 1.05× |
| [P2000 \| Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $0.39 | 1.0% | 1,297 | 1340.5 | 0.97× |
| [P2000 \| Gnarled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $0.32 | 3.1% | 5,168 | 5134.0 | 1.01× |
| [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-battle-scarred) | 14.5% | $0.19 | 3.1% | 8,690 | 8646.6 | 1.01× |
| [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 16.2% | $0.17 | 3.1% | 9,983 | 9663.4 | 1.03× |
| [P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-field-tested) | 27.7% | $0.10 | 3.1% | 15,830 | 16534.6 | 0.96× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/330`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[P2000 | Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.00 $120 120.0x 2026-11-03 10:05 UTC

[P2000 | Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.00 $120 120.0x 2026-11-03 07:34 UTC

[P2000 | Fire Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-well-worn) Hidden $1.00 $114 114.0x 2026-11-07 22:15 UTC

[P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $1.00 $111 111.4x 2026-11-03 15:30 UTC

[P2000 | Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.00 $105 105.0x 2026-11-10 19:25 UTC

[P2000 | Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) [kaczorek SKINS.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kaczorek%20SKINS.army) $1.00 $105 105.0x 2026-11-05 13:20 UTC

[P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) [Siuuuuskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Siuuuuskins.army) $1.00 $100 100.1x 2026-11-06 11:15 UTC

[P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $1.00 $97.80 97.80x 2026-11-08 12:42 UTC

[P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $1.00 $97.80 97.80x 2026-11-07 15:59 UTC

[P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $1.00 $97.80 97.80x 2026-11-07 13:19 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=330)

[P2000 | Space Race (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-space-race-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $6.20 6.20x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[P2000 | Ivory (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ivory-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $0.41 0.41x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[P2000 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-field-tested) [cicho cicho „skins.army”](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/cicho%20cicho%20%E2%80%9Eskins.army%E2%80%9D) $1.00 $0.39 0.39x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[P2000 | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-factory-new) [marahuja](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/marahuja) $1.00 $6.68 6.68x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[P2000 | Urban Hazard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-battle-scarred) [sqilloff](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/sqilloff) $1.00 $0.19 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [Jakup skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Jakup%20skins.army) $1.00 $0.17 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [Midzu.skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Midzu.skins.army) $1.00 $0.17 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [Whezzy\_outta\_hereskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Whezzy_outta_hereskins.army) $1.00 $0.17 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[P2000 | Red FragCam (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.00 $4.64 4.64x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $0.10 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 18:07 UTC | $1.00 | 88.85% | 46 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.00 | 88.86% | 46 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 27.7% 3 2.9% Covert 0.0% classified 0.1% covert 0.0% #4b69ff 40.4% mil spec 11.9% restricted 9.0% violet 0.0% Rare 2.7% #87c7ff 0.6% Restricted 0.8% light blue 1.6% #8847ff 2.4% best hit $120 (120.0x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.85 on average: an expected loss of $11.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt