---
title: "SSG 08 case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "SSG 08 ($3.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.90% from 53 items with odds, observed 95.00% over 12.1K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/331
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [SSG 08](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/331)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · SSG 08

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/331?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/331?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/331) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/331?window=all)

Price · $3.00

Advertised RTP · 88.90% · EV $2.67 from 53 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 95.00% · 12.1K openings, odds method

Variance · 16.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 98.93% ±17.56 2,066 openings

7 days · 96.60% ±7.69 10.5K openings

30 days · 95.00% ±7.16 12.1K openings

since tracking started · 95.00% ±7.16 12.1K openings

80.5% 98.8% 117.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/331?window=24h) | 2,066 | 98.93% ±17.6 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/331?window=7d) | 10.5K | 96.60% ±7.69 | +2.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/331) | 12.1K | 95.00% ±7.16 | +1.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/331?window=all) | 12.1K | 95.00% ±7.16 | +1.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 53 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12.1K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $794 | 1.8% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $342 | 1.9% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Sea Calico (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $261 | 1.9% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.74× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) | 1 in 4,762 | $232 | 1.8% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.58× |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,545 | $227 | 1.9% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.13× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,348 | $215 | 1.9% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.44× |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 4,000 | $203 | 1.9% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.65× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,941 | $148 | 1.9% | 2 | 4.1 | 0.49× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 2,857 | $141 | 1.9% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $98.54 | 1.8% | 8 | 6.0 | 1.32× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-bloodshot-well-worn) | 1 in 1,031 | $51.15 | 1.9% | 12 | 11.7 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 840 | $41.80 | 1.9% | 16 | 14.4 | 1.11× |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-minimal-wear) | 1 in 649 | $28.48 | 1.6% | 19 | 18.6 | 1.02× |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 645 | $28.27 | 1.6% | 12 | 18.7 | 0.64× |
| [SSG 08 \| Threat Detected (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-threat-detected-well-worn) | 1 in 617 | $27.17 | 1.7% | 23 | 19.6 | 1.17× |
| [SSG 08 \| Detour (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-factory-new) | 1 in 585 | $25.63 | 1.6% | 19 | 20.7 | 0.92× |
| [SSG 08 \| Threat Detected (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-threat-detected-factory-new) | 1 in 556 | $24.35 | 1.6% | 21 | 21.8 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-field-tested) | 1 in 543 | $23.82 | 1.6% | 24 | 22.2 | 1.08× |
| [SSG 08 \| Orange Filigree (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-orange-filigree-minimal-wear) | 1 in 513 | $22.47 | 1.6% | 25 | 23.6 | 1.06× |
| [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $21.99 | 1.6% | 36 | 24.2 | 1.49× |
| [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-field-tested) | 1 in 493 | $21.60 | 1.6% | 21 | 24.5 | 0.86× |
| [SSG 08 \| Orange Filigree (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-orange-filigree-field-tested) | 1 in 490 | $21.56 | 1.6% | 31 | 24.7 | 1.26× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 481 | $21.12 | 1.6% | 27 | 25.1 | 1.07× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 465 | $20.41 | 1.6% | 26 | 26.0 | 1.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 426 | $18.68 | 1.6% | 34 | 28.4 | 1.20× |
| [SSG 08 \| Parallax (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-factory-new) | 1 in 380 | $16.69 | 1.6% | 22 | 31.8 | 0.69× |
| [SSG 08 \| Threat Detected (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-threat-detected-battle-scarred) | 1 in 365 | $16.03 | 1.6% | 36 | 33.1 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Abyss (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-abyss-factory-new) | 1 in 341 | $14.96 | 1.6% | 42 | 35.4 | 1.19× |
| [SSG 08 \| Detour (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-field-tested) | 1 in 313 | $13.76 | 1.6% | 32 | 38.6 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Parallax (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-parallax-minimal-wear) | 1 in 253 | $11.09 | 1.6% | 48 | 47.9 | 1.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-battle-scarred) | 1 in 204 | $8.95 | 1.6% | 59 | 59.2 | 1.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $4.53 | 7.7% | 487 | 546.9 | 0.89× |
| [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $4.39 | 7.7% | 492 | 564.5 | 0.87× |
| [SSG 08 \| Parallax (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $3.69 | 7.7% | 630 | 671.6 | 0.94× |
| [SSG 08 \| Necropos (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $3.02 | 7.7% | 708 | 820.5 | 0.86× |
| [SSG 08 \| Hand Brake (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-hand-brake-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $2.34 | 0.8% | 210 | 108.1 | 1.94× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 111 | $2.33 | 0.8% | 263 | 108.4 | 2.43× |
| [SSG 08 \| Parallax (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-battle-scarred) | 1 in 109 | $2.28 | 0.8% | 118 | 110.8 | 1.06× |
| [SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 105 | $2.20 | 0.8% | 119 | 114.8 | 1.04× |
| [SSG 08 \| Slashed (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-slashed-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $1.44 | 0.8% | 191 | 175.5 | 1.09× |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $1.40 | 0.8% | 176 | 180.6 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-mainframe-001-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $1.39 | 0.8% | 211 | 181.8 | 1.16× |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-battle-scarred) | 1 in 62 | $1.29 | 0.8% | 189 | 195.9 | 0.96× |
| [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $1.14 | 0.8% | 181 | 221.7 | 0.82× |
| [SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $0.94 | 0.8% | 299 | 268.8 | 1.11× |
| [SSG 08 \| Necropos (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $0.83 | 0.8% | 358 | 304.5 | 1.18× |
| [SSG 08 \| Acid Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-acid-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.69 | 1.0% | 453 | 468.0 | 0.97× |
| [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $0.61 | 1.0% | 485 | 529.3 | 0.92× |
| [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $0.52 | 1.0% | 646 | 620.9 | 1.04× |
| [SSG 08 \| Hand Brake (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-hand-brake-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16 | $0.42 | 1.0% | 719 | 768.7 | 0.94× |
| [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $0.36 | 1.0% | 920 | 897.0 | 1.03× |
| [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-minimal-wear) | 14.1% | $0.19 | 1.0% | 1,756 | 1699.4 | 1.03× |
| [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) | 16.0% | $0.17 | 1.0% | 1,857 | 1929.0 | 0.96× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/331`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) [Marcel](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Marcel) $3.00 $794 264.7x 2026-11-09 19:29 UTC

[SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) [skins.army xHydrOo](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/skins.army%20xHydrOo) $3.00 $305 101.6x 2026-11-05 11:04 UTC

[SSG 08 | Sea Calico (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-battle-scarred) [MACIUS2012](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/MACIUS2012) $3.00 $261 87.16x 2026-11-11 01:25 UTC

[SSG 08 | Sea Calico (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-battle-scarred) [Hyns](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Hyns) $3.00 $261 87.16x 2026-11-07 19:33 UTC

[SSG 08 | Sea Calico (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.00 $261 87.16x 2026-11-07 18:59 UTC

[SSG 08 | Sea Calico (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.00 $261 87.16x 2026-11-07 16:06 UTC

[SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) [♰Jeremy꧁꧂Lufka♰](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%99%B0Jeremy%EA%A7%81%EA%A7%82Lufka%E2%99%B0) $3.00 $232 77.40x 2026-11-10 20:30 UTC

[SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) [LEOL SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/LEOL%20SKINS) $3.00 $232 77.40x 2026-11-07 08:58 UTC

[SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) Hidden $3.00 $232 77.40x 2026-11-06 15:22 UTC

[SSG 08 | Death Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.00 $227 75.65x 2026-11-10 17:01 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=331)

[SSG 08 | Orange Filigree (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-orange-filigree-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.00 $22.47 7.49x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[SSG 08 | Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dark-water-field-tested) Hidden $3.00 $2.33 0.78x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[SSG 08 | Necropos (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-factory-new) Hidden $3.00 $3.02 1.01x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[SSG 08 | Abyss (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-minimal-wear) [TOTEMOWY](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/TOTEMOWY) $3.00 $1.14 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-factory-new) Hidden $3.00 $0.61 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) Hidden $3.00 $0.17 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-field-tested) Hidden $3.00 $0.17 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-minimal-wear) [setzyyy skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/setzyyy%20skins.army) $3.00 $0.19 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $3.00 $4.53 1.51x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[SSG 08 | Abyss (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-factory-new) [Andrzej Golota](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Andrzej%20Golota) $3.00 $4.39 1.46x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 13:17 UTC | $3.00 | 88.90% | 53 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $3.00 | 88.90% | 53 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% #8847ff 11.4% classified 0.8% Classified 0.1% Legendary 0.2% #4b69ff 24.0% mil spec 18.6% Rare 2.6% #d32ce6 0.2% restricted 5.7% #d32ee6 0.2% Restricted 0.4% pink 0.5% violet 0.9% milspec 34.4% best hit $794 (264.7x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.90 on average: an expected loss of $11.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt