---
title: "P250 case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "P250 ($2.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.88% from 66 items with odds, observed 89.15% over 25.9K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/334
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:09Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [P250](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/334)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · P250

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/334?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/334?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/334) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/334?window=all)

Price · $2.50

Advertised RTP · 88.88% · EV $2.22 from 66 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.15% · 25.9K openings, odds method

Variance · 7.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 97.36% ±10.04 2,827 openings

7 days · 88.33% ±3.71 21.1K openings

30 days · 89.15% ±3.36 25.9K openings

since tracking started · 89.15% ±3.36 25.9K openings

84.0% 96.0% 108.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/334?window=24h) | 2,827 | 97.36% ±10.0 | +1.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/334?window=7d) | 21.1K | 88.33% ±3.71 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/334) | 25.9K | 89.15% ±3.36 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/334?window=all) | 25.9K | 89.15% ±3.36 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 66 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 26K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [P250 \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $304 | 1.2% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $183 | 1.2% | 6 | 3.6 | 1.65× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 4,762 | $127 | 1.2% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Splash (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-splash-factory-new) | 1 in 4,348 | $115 | 1.2% | 10 | 6.0 | 1.68× |
| [P250 \| Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,226 | $84.79 | 1.2% | 11 | 8.0 | 1.37× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Mehndi (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-mehndi-factory-new) | 1 in 2,326 | $61.71 | 1.2% | 10 | 11.2 | 0.90× |
| [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 1,724 | $45.69 | 1.2% | 16 | 15.1 | 1.06× |
| [P250 \| Undertow (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-factory-new) | 1 in 1,639 | $43.43 | 1.2% | 11 | 15.8 | 0.69× |
| [P250 \| Digital Architect (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,639 | $42.88 | 1.2% | 12 | 15.8 | 0.76× |
| [P250 \| Digital Architect (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-field-tested) | 1 in 1,587 | $41.66 | 1.2% | 16 | 16.4 | 0.98× |
| [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 1,471 | $38.50 | 1.2% | 19 | 17.6 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $37.69 | 1.2% | 17 | 18.2 | 0.94× |
| [P250 \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 1,389 | $36.63 | 1.2% | 28 | 18.7 | 1.50× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Mehndi (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-mehndi-field-tested) | 1 in 1,351 | $35.73 | 1.2% | 18 | 19.2 | 0.94× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,163 | $30.54 | 1.2% | 22 | 22.3 | 0.99× |
| [P250 \| Modern Hunter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,163 | $30.53 | 1.2% | 19 | 22.3 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,149 | $30.32 | 1.2% | 15 | 22.6 | 0.66× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-factory-new) | 1 in 1,099 | $29.12 | 1.2% | 16 | 23.6 | 0.68× |
| [P250 \| Splash (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-field-tested) | 1 in 980 | $25.84 | 1.2% | 14 | 26.5 | 0.53× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 478 | $20.08 | 1.9% | 35 | 54.2 | 0.65× |
| [P250 \| Red Rock (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-well-worn) | 1 in 467 | $19.66 | 1.9% | 49 | 55.5 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $16.80 | 1.9% | 53 | 64.9 | 0.82× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-well-worn) | 1 in 398 | $16.75 | 1.9% | 70 | 65.1 | 1.07× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-field-tested) | 1 in 398 | $16.75 | 1.9% | 63 | 65.1 | 0.97× |
| [P250 \| Red Rock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-battle-scarred) | 1 in 383 | $16.10 | 1.9% | 63 | 67.7 | 0.93× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-battle-scarred) | 1 in 364 | $15.30 | 1.9% | 67 | 71.4 | 0.94× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-well-worn) | 1 in 362 | $15.22 | 1.9% | 67 | 71.6 | 0.94× |
| [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 352 | $14.80 | 1.9% | 73 | 73.7 | 0.99× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-field-tested) | 1 in 350 | $14.70 | 1.9% | 86 | 74.2 | 1.16× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 348 | $14.62 | 1.9% | 75 | 74.5 | 1.01× |
| [P250 \| Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) | 1 in 346 | $14.54 | 1.9% | 70 | 75.0 | 0.93× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 327 | $13.72 | 1.9% | 67 | 79.4 | 0.84× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 326 | $13.66 | 1.9% | 68 | 79.7 | 0.85× |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 302 | $12.69 | 1.9% | 74 | 85.9 | 0.86× |
| [P250 \| Black & Tan (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-black-and-tan-factory-new) | 1 in 279 | $11.70 | 1.9% | 107 | 93.2 | 1.15× |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 275 | $11.54 | 1.9% | 90 | 94.5 | 0.95× |
| [P250 \| Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 267 | $11.23 | 1.9% | 99 | 97.1 | 1.02× |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 249 | $10.46 | 1.9% | 91 | 104.3 | 0.87× |
| [P250 \| Facets (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-facets-minimal-wear) | 1 in 214 | $8.99 | 1.9% | 108 | 121.2 | 0.89× |
| [P250 \| Dark Filigree (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-dark-filigree-battle-scarred) | 1 in 198 | $8.32 | 1.9% | 124 | 131.1 | 0.95× |
| [P250 \| Iron Clad (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-factory-new) | 1 in 172 | $7.24 | 1.9% | 147 | 150.5 | 0.98× |
| [P250 \| Inferno (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-factory-new) | 1 in 170 | $7.15 | 1.9% | 123 | 152.4 | 0.81× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 159 | $6.67 | 1.9% | 168 | 163.5 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Wingshot (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 147 | $6.16 | 1.9% | 194 | 177.0 | 1.10× |
| [P250 \| Dark Filigree (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-dark-filigree-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $4.83 | 3.9% | 359 | 461.2 | 0.78× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $4.06 | 3.9% | 517 | 548.7 | 0.94× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $3.77 | 3.9% | 414 | 591.0 | 0.70× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Wingshot (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-well-worn) | 1 in 39 | $3.32 | 3.9% | 677 | 670.9 | 1.01× |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $2.98 | 3.9% | 668 | 747.5 | 0.89× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $2.87 | 3.9% | 711 | 776.3 | 0.92× |
| [P250 \| Supernova (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-field-tested) | 1 in 315 | $2.38 | 0.3% | 270 | 82.3 | 3.28× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 293 | $2.21 | 0.3% | 296 | 88.5 | 3.34× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-factory-new) | 1 in 236 | $1.78 | 0.3% | 289 | 109.8 | 2.63× |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-field-tested) | 1 in 210 | $1.58 | 0.3% | 164 | 123.8 | 1.32× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 203 | $1.53 | 0.3% | 133 | 128.0 | 1.04× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) | 1 in 199 | $1.50 | 0.3% | 145 | 130.6 | 1.11× |
| [P250 \| Contaminant (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-minimal-wear) | 1 in 181 | $1.36 | 0.3% | 150 | 143.8 | 1.04× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 139 | $1.05 | 0.3% | 164 | 186.4 | 0.88× |
| [P250 \| Inferno (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $1.00 | 0.3% | 172 | 195.7 | 0.88× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-field-tested) | 1 in 130 | $0.98 | 0.3% | 201 | 199.6 | 1.01× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $0.50 | 0.3% | 478 | 391.4 | 1.22× |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-well-worn) | 1 in 66 | $0.50 | 0.3% | 308 | 391.4 | 0.79× |
| [P250 \| Iron Clad (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $0.42 | 0.3% | 577 | 465.9 | 1.24× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $0.32 | 0.9% | 1,500 | 1549.3 | 0.97× |
| [P250 \| Exchanger (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-exchanger-field-tested) | 11.2% | $0.17 | 0.9% | 2,866 | 2916.0 | 0.98× |
| [P250 \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 47.9% | $0.04 | 0.9% | 12,399 | 12423.4 | 1.00× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/334`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[P250 | Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-factory-new) [Kielich](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Kielich) $2.50 $304 121.8x 2026-11-10 05:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) Hidden $2.50 $183 73.30x 2026-11-11 16:35 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) [Łysy](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%C5%81ysy) $2.50 $183 73.30x 2026-11-11 11:11 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) Hidden $2.50 $183 73.30x 2026-11-10 22:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) Hidden $2.50 $183 73.30x 2026-11-06 18:31 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) Hidden $2.50 $152 60.67x 2026-11-04 15:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) Hidden $2.50 $152 60.67x 2026-11-03 23:01 UTC

[P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) [Adams5501](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Adams5501) $2.50 $135 53.85x 2026-11-03 14:12 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-splash-factory-new) Hidden $2.50 $129 51.73x 2026-11-05 12:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-splash-factory-new) Hidden $2.50 $129 51.73x 2026-11-05 07:12 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=334)

[P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-minimal-wear) [Slowik (COACH) skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Slowik%20%28COACH%29%20skins.army) $2.50 $2.98 1.19x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-well-worn) [SPENISON](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SPENISON) $2.50 $3.32 1.33x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC

[P250 | Wingshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.50 $1.53 0.61x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC

[P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $0.04 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC

[P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $0.04 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC

[P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) [E](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/E) $2.50 $0.04 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:07 UTC

[P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $1.58 0.63x 2026-11-11 17:05 UTC

[P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) [Księciuniu.Skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Ksi%C4%99ciuniu.Skins.army) $2.50 $0.04 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:05 UTC

[P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.50 $0.32 0.13x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC

[P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $0.04 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 18:07 UTC | $2.50 | 88.88% | 66 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.50 | 88.86% | 66 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 1.8% mil spec 0.0% covert 0.0% restricted 7.4% classified 6.2% Mythical 0.8% #8847ff 9.6% #4b69ff 19.1% blue 0.1% #d32ee6 0.3% Mil Spec Grade 0.7% #d32ce6 0.3% industrial 2.5% milspec 0.8% #87c7ff 0.9% violet 0.6% Legendary 0.5% Rare 0.6% consumer 47.9% best hit $304 (121.8x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.88 on average: an expected loss of $11.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt