---
title: "MAG-7 case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "MAG-7 ($1.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.95% from 43 items with odds, observed 87.53% over 57.1K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/336
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [MAG-7](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/336)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · MAG-7

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/336?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/336?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/336) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/336?window=all)

Price · $1.50

Advertised RTP · 88.95% · EV $1.33 from 43 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.53% · 57.1K openings, odds method

Variance · 18.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 83.28% ±9.58 7,888 openings

7 days · 87.58% ±3.66 47.5K openings

30 days · 87.53% ±3.20 57.1K openings

since tracking started · 87.53% ±3.20 57.1K openings

73.0% 83.3% 93.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/336?window=24h) | 7,888 | 83.28% ±9.58 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/336?window=7d) | 47.5K | 87.58% ±3.66 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/336) | 57.1K | 87.53% ±3.20 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/336?window=all) | 57.1K | 87.53% ±3.20 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 57.2K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [MAG-7 \| Cinquedea (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33,333 | $966 | 2.2% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.58× |
| [MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $282 | 1.9% | 3 | 5.1 | 0.58× |
| [MAG-7 \| Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-counter-terrace-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,571 | $88.89 | 1.9% | 14 | 16.0 | 0.87× |
| [MAG-7 \| Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,471 | $36.94 | 1.9% | 26 | 38.9 | 0.67× |
| [MAG-7 \| Prism Terrace (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-prism-terrace-factory-new) | 1 in 1,351 | $33.95 | 1.9% | 25 | 42.3 | 0.59× |
| [MAG-7 \| Chainmail (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-chainmail-factory-new) | 1 in 602 | $15.14 | 1.9% | 89 | 95.0 | 0.94× |
| [MAG-7 \| Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-minimal-wear) | 1 in 478 | $13.70 | 2.1% | 78 | 119.5 | 0.65× |
| [MAG-7 \| Core Breach (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 437 | $12.51 | 2.1% | 110 | 131.0 | 0.84× |
| [MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 407 | $11.65 | 2.1% | 125 | 140.7 | 0.89× |
| [MAG-7 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 403 | $11.55 | 2.1% | 108 | 141.9 | 0.76× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-hard-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 357 | $10.22 | 2.1% | 121 | 160.2 | 0.76× |
| [MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) | 1 in 319 | $9.15 | 2.1% | 198 | 179.0 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) | 1 in 303 | $8.68 | 2.1% | 182 | 188.8 | 0.96× |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 256 | $7.33 | 2.1% | 228 | 223.6 | 1.02× |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-field-tested) | 1 in 215 | $6.15 | 2.1% | 293 | 266.5 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) | 1 in 214 | $6.13 | 2.2% | 276 | 267.7 | 1.03× |
| [MAG-7 \| BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bi83-spectrum-factory-new) | 1 in 197 | $5.64 | 2.1% | 287 | 290.6 | 0.99× |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 192 | $5.51 | 2.1% | 321 | 297.4 | 1.08× |
| [MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-praetorian-factory-new) | 1 in 166 | $4.75 | 2.1% | 321 | 344.9 | 0.93× |
| [MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-well-worn) | 1 in 147 | $4.22 | 2.1% | 420 | 388.4 | 1.08× |
| [MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) | 1 in 120 | $3.45 | 2.1% | 520 | 475.3 | 1.09× |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $2.96 | 5.9% | 1,230 | 1526.6 | 0.81× |
| [MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-praetorian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $2.24 | 5.9% | 1,858 | 2017.4 | 0.92× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $2.12 | 5.9% | 1,817 | 2131.2 | 0.85× |
| [MAG-7 \| BI83 Spectrum (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bi83-spectrum-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $1.99 | 5.9% | 2,070 | 2270.8 | 0.91× |
| [MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-praetorian-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $1.98 | 5.9% | 2,021 | 2282.2 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $1.90 | 5.9% | 2,169 | 2378.3 | 0.91× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-field-tested) | 1 in 98 | $1.47 | 1.1% | 1,016 | 583.4 | 1.74× |
| [MAG-7 \| Petroglyph (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-petroglyph-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $1.40 | 1.1% | 1,062 | 612.6 | 1.73× |
| [MAG-7 \| Core Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 83 | $1.24 | 1.1% | 953 | 692.1 | 1.38× |
| [MAG-7 \| Popdog (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $0.90 | 1.1% | 937 | 953.5 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-heaven-guard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $0.79 | 1.1% | 1,212 | 1086.2 | 1.12× |
| [MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $0.77 | 1.1% | 1,223 | 1114.2 | 1.10× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heaven Guard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $0.58 | 1.1% | 1,510 | 1479.2 | 1.02× |
| [MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $0.50 | 1.1% | 1,881 | 1716.0 | 1.10× |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $0.47 | 1.1% | 1,913 | 1825.2 | 1.05× |
| [MAG-7 \| Cobalt Core (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cobalt-core-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $0.44 | 1.1% | 2,357 | 1949.9 | 1.21× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heaven Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heaven-guard-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.42 | 1.6% | 2,764 | 2860.0 | 0.97× |
| [MAG-7 \| Popdog (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $0.40 | 1.6% | 3,150 | 3002.9 | 1.05× |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $0.39 | 1.6% | 3,058 | 3080.2 | 0.99× |
| [MAG-7 \| Cobalt Core (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cobalt-core-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $0.39 | 1.6% | 3,104 | 3080.2 | 1.01× |
| [MAG-7 \| Foresight (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $0.25 | 1.6% | 4,497 | 4804.7 | 0.94× |
| [MAG-7 \| Foresight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-field-tested) | 20.9% | $0.10 | 1.6% | 11,651 | 11937.4 | 0.98× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/336`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[MAG-7 | Cinquedea (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.50 $966 644.2x 2026-11-05 16:24 UTC

[MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $1.50 $282 187.9x 2026-11-09 08:14 UTC

[MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $1.50 $282 187.9x 2026-11-08 15:00 UTC

[MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) [@txkarka.skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%40txkarka.skins.army) $1.50 $282 187.9x 2026-11-08 12:18 UTC

[MAG-7 | Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-counter-terrace-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.50 $131 87.66x 2026-11-05 11:47 UTC

[MAG-7 | Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-counter-terrace-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.50 $88.89 59.26x 2026-11-10 22:00 UTC

[MAG-7 | Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-counter-terrace-minimal-wear) [Kabanos:)](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Kabanos%3A%29) $1.50 $88.89 59.26x 2026-11-10 18:44 UTC

[MAG-7 | Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-counter-terrace-minimal-wear) [Twój stary na teściu](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Tw%C3%B3j%20stary%20na%20te%C5%9Bciu) $1.50 $88.89 59.26x 2026-11-10 11:16 UTC

[MAG-7 | Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-counter-terrace-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.50 $88.89 59.26x 2026-11-10 05:23 UTC

[MAG-7 | Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-counter-terrace-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.50 $88.89 59.26x 2026-11-09 23:29 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=336)

[MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cobalt-core-battle-scarred) [Gutek Pogromca Prostytutek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Gutek%20Pogromca%20Prostytutek) $1.50 $0.44 0.29x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC

[MAG-7 | Monster Call (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-field-tested) [Nikoo1313skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Nikoo1313skins.army) $1.50 $0.47 0.31x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC

[MAG-7 | Foresight (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-factory-new) [Kosa\_77 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Kosa_77%20skins.army) $1.50 $0.25 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC

[MAG-7 | Monster Call (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-field-tested) [cicho cicho „skins.army”](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/cicho%20cicho%20%E2%80%9Eskins.army%E2%80%9D) $1.50 $0.47 0.31x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC

[MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cobalt-core-well-worn) [BATTLETRON](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/BATTLETRON) $1.50 $0.39 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC

[MAG-7 | Hard Water (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-well-worn) [SynBłażeja skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SynB%C5%82a%C5%BCeja%20skins.army) $1.50 $4.22 2.81x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC

[MAG-7 | Foresight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-field-tested) [BATTLETRON](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/BATTLETRON) $1.50 $0.10 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC

[MAG-7 | Foresight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-field-tested) [SynBłażeja skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SynB%C5%82a%C5%BCeja%20skins.army) $1.50 $0.10 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC

[MAG-7 | Popdog (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-battle-scarred) [BATTLETRON](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/BATTLETRON) $1.50 $0.40 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC

[MAG-7 | Popdog (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-factory-new) [SynBłażeja skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SynB%C5%82a%C5%BCeja%20skins.army) $1.50 $0.90 0.60x 2026-11-11 13:56 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 18:07 UTC | $1.50 | 88.95% | 43 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.50 | 88.83% | 43 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #d32ee6 0.0% restricted 13.2% #4b69ff 26.2% mil spec 15.8% industrial 0.4% #8847ff 16.6% #87c7ff 0.2% Mil Spec Grade 0.3% classified 1.4% Mythical 7.7% Restricted 2.7% Rare 1.7% milspec 5.4% blue 8.4% best hit $966 (644.2x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.95 on average: an expected loss of $11.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt