--- title: "GLOCK-18 case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "GLOCK-18 ($2.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.83% from 31 items with odds, observed 88.43% over 84.9K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/34 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [GLOCK-18](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/34) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · GLOCK-18 A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/34?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/34?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/34) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/34?window=all) Price · $2.00 Advertised RTP · 88.83% · EV $1.78 from 31 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.43% · 84.9K openings, odds method Variance · 8.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 86.72% ±4.91 13.1K openings 7 days · 88.46% ±2.47 71.5K openings 30 days · 88.43% ±2.28 84.9K openings since tracking started · 88.43% ±2.28 84.9K openings 81.0% 86.8% 92.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/34?window=24h) | 13.1K | 86.72% ±4.91 | −0.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/34?window=7d) | 71.5K | 88.46% ±2.47 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/34) | 84.9K | 88.43% ±2.28 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/34?window=all) | 84.9K | 88.43% ±2.28 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 85.1K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,428 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $125 | 1.1% | 9 | 13.6 | 0.66× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $67.32 | 1.1% | 17 | 25.5 | 0.67× | | [Glock-18 \| Brass (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,439 | $48.51 | 1.1% | 25 | 34.9 | 0.72× | | [Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 1,639 | $32.93 | 1.1% | 16 | 51.9 | 0.31× | | [Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-factory-new) | 1 in 1,613 | $32.37 | 1.1% | 41 | 52.7 | 0.78× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 1,111 | $22.24 | 1.1% | 38 | 76.6 | 0.50× | | [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 138 | $18.11 | 7.4% | 488 | 615.8 | 0.79× | | [Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 82 | $10.73 | 7.4% | 686 | 1040.3 | 0.66× | | [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-factory-new) | 1 in 65 | $8.56 | 7.4% | 792 | 1304.0 | 0.61× | | [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-factory-new) | 1 in 65 | $8.48 | 7.4% | 848 | 1315.9 | 0.64× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) | 1 in 48 | $6.34 | 7.4% | 1,218 | 1759.9 | 0.69× | | [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) | 1 in 31 | $4.21 | 7.6% | 2,070 | 2712.6 | 0.76× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $3.81 | 7.6% | 2,332 | 2997.5 | 0.78× | | [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $3.69 | 7.6% | 2,319 | 3094.5 | 0.75× | | [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $2.17 | 7.6% | 3,305 | 5262.7 | 0.63× | | [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-battle-scarred) | 1 in 58 | $1.95 | 1.9% | 2,532 | 1454.5 | 1.74× | | [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $1.87 | 1.9% | 2,854 | 1516.6 | 1.88× | | [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $1.69 | 1.9% | 3,349 | 1677.4 | 2.00× | | [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $1.54 | 1.9% | 2,579 | 1840.7 | 1.40× | | [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $1.42 | 1.9% | 2,715 | 1996.4 | 1.36× | | [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $1.29 | 1.9% | 2,931 | 2198.0 | 1.33× | | [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $1.23 | 1.9% | 2,978 | 2305.2 | 1.29× | | [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.90 | 1.9% | 4,356 | 3150.7 | 1.38× | | [Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ironwork-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.87 | 1.9% | 3,573 | 3258.7 | 1.10× | | [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $0.85 | 1.4% | 2,898 | 2485.5 | 1.17× | | [Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $0.47 | 1.4% | 4,366 | 4494.6 | 0.97× | | [Glock-18 \| Off World (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $0.44 | 1.4% | 5,056 | 4800.8 | 1.05× | | [Glock-18 \| Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.32 | 1.4% | 7,083 | 6600.7 | 1.07× | | [Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.28 | 1.4% | 8,890 | 7544.1 | 1.18× | | [Glock-18 \| Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) | 22.8% | $0.11 | 1.4% | 14,696 | 19377.7 | 0.76× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/34`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) [Jez1orkoッ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Jez1orko%E3%83%83) $2.00 $1,964 981.8x 2026-11-07 15:52 UTC [Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) [\<3](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%3C3) $2.00 $142 70.83x 2026-11-08 18:08 UTC [Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 $142 70.83x 2026-11-05 17:19 UTC [Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) [Piesław Waleta](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Pies%C5%82aw%20Waleta) $2.00 $142 70.83x 2026-11-04 10:51 UTC [Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 $125 62.39x 2026-11-11 09:26 UTC [Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 $125 62.39x 2026-11-10 19:32 UTC [Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 $125 62.39x 2026-11-10 09:02 UTC [Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) [Gabrielo1PL](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Gabrielo1PL) $2.00 $125 62.39x 2026-11-09 22:46 UTC [Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) [ciartas](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ciartas) $2.00 $125 62.39x 2026-11-09 21:44 UTC [Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.00 $125 62.39x 2026-11-09 17:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=34) [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) [Franull](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Franull) $2.00 $0.11 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-minimal-wear) [Grabol](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Grabol) $2.00 $0.44 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-factory-new) [черепаха](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%D1%87%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BF%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%B0) $2.00 $8.48 4.24x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) [abc ʕʘ̅͜ʘ̅ʔ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/abc%20%CA%95%CA%98%CC%85%CD%9C%CA%98%CC%85%CA%94) $2.00 $0.11 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-minimal-wear) [SoldYaBoy666 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SoldYaBoy666%20skins.army) $2.00 $0.44 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Glock-18 | Wraiths (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-field-tested) [abc ʕʘ̅͜ʘ̅ʔ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/abc%20%CA%95%CA%98%CC%85%CD%9C%CA%98%CC%85%CA%94) $2.00 $0.47 0.24x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) [SoldYaBoy666 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SoldYaBoy666%20skins.army) $2.00 $0.11 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-battle-scarred) [abc ʕʘ̅͜ʘ̅ʔ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/abc%20%CA%95%CA%98%CC%85%CD%9C%CA%98%CC%85%CA%94) $2.00 $1.95 0.98x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [Glock-18 | Wraiths (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wraiths-field-tested) [SoldYaBoy666 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SoldYaBoy666%20skins.army) $2.00 $0.47 0.24x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) [abc ʕʘ̅͜ʘ̅ʔ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/abc%20%CA%95%CA%98%CC%85%CD%9C%CA%98%CC%85%CA%94) $2.00 $3.81 1.91x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 21:11 UTC | $2.00 | 88.83% | 31 | | 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $2.00 | 88.79% | 31 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 9.0% classified 2.2% mil spec 17.8% pink 0.7% Mythical 7.3% #d32ee6 3.2% #8847ff 11.9% #4b69ff 19.6% Rare 5.6% industrial 22.8% best hit $1,964 (981.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.83 on average: an expected loss of $11.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt