--- title: "RICH case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "RICH ($14.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.90% from 15 items with odds, observed 86.54% over 5,245 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/36 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [RICH](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/36) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · RICH A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/36?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/36?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/36) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/36?window=all) Price · $14.00 Advertised RTP · 88.90% · EV $12.45 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.54% · 5,245 openings, odds method Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.4% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 64.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 81.32% ±9.21 932 openings 7 days · 87.29% ±4.18 4,527 openings 30 days · 86.54% ±3.88 5,245 openings since tracking started · 86.54% ±3.88 5,245 openings 71.5% 81.8% 92.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/36?window=24h) | 932 | 81.32% ±9.21 | −1.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/36?window=7d) | 4,527 | 87.29% ±4.18 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/36) | 5,245 | 86.54% ±3.88 | −1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/36?window=all) | 5,245 | 86.54% ±3.88 | −1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,256 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) | 1 in 645 | $273 | 3.4% | 7 | 8.1 | 0.86× | | [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 559 | $237 | 3.4% | 7 | 9.4 | 0.74× | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 328 | $139 | 3.4% | 16 | 16.0 | 1.00× | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 244 | $104 | 3.4% | 20 | 21.5 | 0.93× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-battle-scarred) | 1 in 44 | $64.97 | 11.7% | 101 | 118.3 | 0.85× | | [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $33.74 | 11.7% | 232 | 227.7 | 1.02× | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $18.14 | 11.7% | 434 | 423.6 | 1.02× | | [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $15.06 | 11.7% | 534 | 510.3 | 1.05× | | [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 10.1% | $14.52 | 11.7% | 499 | 529.2 | 0.94× | | [Nova \| Bloomstick (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-bloomstick-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $11.67 | 4.6% | 282 | 257.5 | 1.10× | | [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $10.93 | 4.6% | 273 | 274.9 | 0.99× | | [P90 \| Blind Spot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $7.76 | 4.6% | 376 | 387.2 | 0.97× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 13.1% | $4.35 | 4.6% | 672 | 690.7 | 0.97× | | [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 13.8% | $4.15 | 4.6% | 733 | 724.0 | 1.01× | | [MP7 \| Tall Grass (Well-Worn) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-well-worn) | 20.1% | $2.87 | 4.6% | 1,070 | 1057.5 | 1.01× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/36`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=36) [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) Hidden $14.00 $4.35 0.31x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Well-Worn) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-well-worn) Hidden $14.00 $2.87 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [P90 | Blind Spot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-field-tested) Hidden $14.00 $7.76 0.55x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Well-Worn) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-well-worn) [MIOD MALINA](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/MIOD%20MALINA) $14.00 $2.87 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [P90 | Blind Spot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-field-tested) Hidden $14.00 $7.76 0.55x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) [Kasb3rg](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Kasb3rg) $14.00 $18.14 1.30x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [AWP | Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) Hidden $14.00 $4.15 0.30x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC [M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.00 $33.74 2.41x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC [Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) [Janickyy](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Janickyy) $14.00 $14.52 1.04x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) Hidden $14.00 $15.06 1.08x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $14.00 | 88.90% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% #ffd700 2.3% classified 69.2% restricted 7.4% #87c7ff 20.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.90 on average: an expected loss of $11.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt