---
title: "Furazek case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Furazek ($4.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.84% from 47 items with odds, observed 89.06% over 9,150 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/379
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Furazek](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/379)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Furazek

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/379?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/379?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/379) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/379?window=all)

Price · $4.00

Advertised RTP · 88.84% · EV $3.55 from 47 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.06% · 9,150 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 89.38% ±10.79 1,284 openings

7 days · 88.21% ±4.31 8,050 openings

30 days · 89.06% ±4.04 9,150 openings

since tracking started · 89.06% ±4.04 9,150 openings

78.0% 89.5% 101.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/379?window=24h) | 1,284 | 89.38% ±10.8 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/379?window=7d) | 8,050 | 88.21% ±4.31 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/379) | 9,150 | 89.06% ±4.04 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/379?window=all) | 9,150 | 89.06% ±4.04 | +0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,152 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14,286 | $252 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $192 | 0.5% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| First Class (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $157 | 0.5% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.98× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,333 | $139 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.91× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $130 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [Glock-18 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $124 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $116 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.56× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $102 | 0.5% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.05× |
| [AK-47 \| First Class (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $93.92 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.21× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 4,167 | $69.37 | 0.5% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $66.31 | 0.5% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 3,571 | $59.42 | 0.5% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 3,333 | $54.15 | 0.5% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.36× |
| [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 3,226 | $53.05 | 0.5% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.76× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,030 | $49.60 | 0.5% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) | 1 in 2,632 | $42.93 | 0.5% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.15× |
| [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-well-worn) | 1 in 2,564 | $42.35 | 0.5% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,500 | $41.33 | 0.5% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.09× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 235 | $39.40 | 4.7% | 47 | 39.0 | 1.21× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 209 | $35.15 | 4.7% | 34 | 43.7 | 0.78× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-factory-new) | 1 in 178 | $29.92 | 4.7% | 52 | 51.3 | 1.01× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-minimal-wear) | 1 in 146 | $24.49 | 4.7% | 60 | 62.8 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 139 | $23.38 | 4.7% | 66 | 65.8 | 1.00× |
| [Chem-Haz Capitaine \| Gendarmerie Nationale agent · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/chem-haz-capitaine-gendarmerie-nationale) | 1 in 139 | $23.28 | 4.7% | 57 | 66.1 | 0.86× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 101 | $17.01 | 4.7% | 91 | 90.4 | 1.01× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) | 1 in 77 | $12.94 | 4.7% | 119 | 118.8 | 1.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 74 | $12.45 | 4.7% | 132 | 123.5 | 1.07× |
| [UMP-45 \| Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $8.43 | 4.7% | 206 | 182.4 | 1.13× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $7.57 | 4.8% | 193 | 207.6 | 0.93× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-well-worn) | 1 in 39 | $6.62 | 4.8% | 222 | 237.3 | 0.94× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $5.78 | 4.8% | 265 | 271.8 | 0.97× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $5.10 | 4.8% | 294 | 308.1 | 0.95× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $4.44 | 4.8% | 370 | 353.8 | 1.05× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $4.39 | 4.8% | 357 | 357.8 | 1.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-factory-new) | 1 in 52 | $3.56 | 1.9% | 169 | 174.4 | 0.97× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $2.48 | 1.9% | 238 | 250.4 | 0.95× |
| [Patch \| FURIA \| Stockholm 2021 patch · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-furia-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 32 | $2.17 | 1.9% | 266 | 286.2 | 0.93× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $1.87 | 1.9% | 342 | 332.1 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $1.63 | 1.9% | 357 | 381.0 | 0.94× |
| [P90 \| Grim (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $1.25 | 1.9% | 478 | 496.9 | 0.96× |
| [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $1.11 | 1.9% | 556 | 559.5 | 0.99× |
| [MP7 \| Mischief (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-mischief-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $0.43 | 0.3% | 284 | 244.7 | 1.16× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $0.33 | 0.3% | 302 | 318.9 | 0.95× |
| [MP9 \| Modest Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.30 | 0.3% | 335 | 350.8 | 0.95× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.14 | 0.3% | 799 | 751.7 | 1.06× |
| [Negev \| Drop Me (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-battle-scarred) | 11.5% | $0.10 | 0.3% | 1,082 | 1052.5 | 1.03× |
| [AUG \| Condemned (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-field-tested) | 14.6% | $0.08 | 0.3% | 1,344 | 1335.9 | 1.01× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/379`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.00 $252 62.94x 2026-11-08 21:59 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=379)

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.00 $1.63 0.41x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

[Chem-Haz Capitaine | Gendarmerie Nationale agent · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/chem-haz-capitaine-gendarmerie-nationale) Hidden $4.00 $23.28 5.82x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Embargo (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-well-worn) [Janickyy](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Janickyy) $4.00 $1.87 0.47x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-factory-new) Hidden $4.00 $5.78 1.45x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-field-tested) [Auron](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Auron) $4.00 $0.30 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Embargo (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-well-worn) [Janickyy](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Janickyy) $4.00 $1.87 0.47x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.00 $1.63 0.41x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-factory-new) Hidden $4.00 $5.78 1.45x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC

[Patch | FURIA | Stockholm 2021 patch · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-furia-stockholm-2021) Hidden $4.00 $2.17 0.54x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC

[MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-minimal-wear) [MIOD MALINA](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/MIOD%20MALINA) $4.00 $1.11 0.28x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 88.84% | 47 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 17.2% restricted 2.1% covert 0.5% Mythical 2.7% #ffd700 0.0% Covert 0.0% #4b69ff 18.1% mil spec 6.6% Restricted 0.0% red 0.5% pink 1.3% violet 9.1% #8847ff 9.4% blue 4.2% Mil Spec 5.4% #87c7ff 22.8% best hit $252 (62.94x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.84 on average: an expected loss of $11.16 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt