---
title: "FOREST case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "FOREST ($2.70) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.89% from 35 items with odds, observed 88.68% over 23.4K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/38
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [FOREST](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/38)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · FOREST

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/38?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/38?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/38) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/38?window=all)

Price · $2.70

Advertised RTP · 88.89% · EV $2.40 from 35 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.68% · 23.4K openings, odds method

Variance · 3.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 89.32% ±5.81 4,124 openings

7 days · 88.82% ±2.71 19.5K openings

30 days · 88.68% ±2.49 23.4K openings

since tracking started · 88.68% ±2.49 23.4K openings

83.0% 89.5% 96.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/38?window=24h) | 4,124 | 89.32% ±5.81 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/38?window=7d) | 19.5K | 88.82% ±2.71 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/38) | 23.4K | 88.68% ±2.49 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/38?window=all) | 23.4K | 88.68% ±2.49 | −0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 23.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Night (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-well-worn) | 1 in 4,348 | $138 | 1.3% | 3 | 5.4 | 0.56× |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-well-worn) | 1 in 2,941 | $92.79 | 1.3% | 8 | 8.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,128 | $67.95 | 1.3% | 9 | 11.0 | 0.82× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,220 | $39.06 | 1.3% | 21 | 19.2 | 1.09× |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 1,220 | $38.79 | 1.3% | 23 | 19.2 | 1.19× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-well-worn) | 1 in 213 | $21.32 | 4.2% | 116 | 110.1 | 1.05× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 213 | $21.27 | 4.2% | 121 | 110.3 | 1.10× |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 197 | $19.71 | 4.2% | 106 | 119.0 | 0.89× |
| [P2000 \| Handgun (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-factory-new) | 1 in 182 | $18.19 | 4.2% | 118 | 129.1 | 0.91× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 147 | $14.67 | 4.2% | 161 | 160.1 | 1.01× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 138 | $13.82 | 4.2% | 136 | 169.9 | 0.80× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 134 | $13.41 | 4.2% | 167 | 175.1 | 0.95× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 134 | $13.41 | 4.2% | 162 | 175.1 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $11.95 | 4.2% | 197 | 196.5 | 1.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Styx (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $9.97 | 4.2% | 214 | 235.4 | 0.91× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $6.45 | 4.2% | 404 | 363.8 | 1.11× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Devourer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-devourer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 58 | $5.83 | 4.2% | 398 | 402.5 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Signal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $4.29 | 6.6% | 851 | 869.9 | 0.98× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $4.22 | 6.6% | 813 | 884.4 | 0.92× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $4.20 | 6.6% | 889 | 888.6 | 1.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $3.29 | 6.6% | 1,128 | 1134.4 | 0.99× |
| [FAMAS \| Hexane (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-hexane-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $2.89 | 6.6% | 1,288 | 1291.4 | 1.00× |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 83 | $2.02 | 1.0% | 250 | 282.1 | 0.89× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $1.50 | 1.0% | 383 | 380.0 | 1.01× |
| [MP7 \| Powercore (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-well-worn) | 1 in 57 | $1.39 | 1.0% | 408 | 410.1 | 0.99× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-well-worn) | 1 in 57 | $1.39 | 1.0% | 394 | 410.1 | 0.96× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $1.24 | 1.0% | 421 | 459.6 | 0.92× |
| [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $1.17 | 1.0% | 493 | 487.3 | 1.01× |
| [P2000 \| Handgun (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $0.92 | 1.0% | 624 | 619.7 | 1.01× |
| [P90 \| Grim (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.33 | 0.5% | 888 | 889.4 | 1.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fraise Crane (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fraise-crane-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $0.21 | 0.5% | 1,283 | 1397.1 | 0.92× |
| [USP-S \| PC-GRN (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $0.19 | 0.5% | 1,611 | 1544.0 | 1.04× |
| [MP9 \| Nexus (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-nexus-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.13 | 0.5% | 2,467 | 2256.8 | 1.09× |
| [MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-well-worn) | 12.5% | $0.10 | 0.5% | 2,873 | 2933.8 | 0.98× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Midnight Paintover (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-midnight-paintover-battle-scarred) | 16.7% | $0.08 | 0.6% | 4,044 | 3923.6 | 1.03× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/38`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Flip Knife | Night (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-well-worn) Hidden $2.70 $152 56.28x 2026-11-05 01:06 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Night (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-well-worn) [KondocziooSSJ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KondocziooSSJ) $2.70 $152 56.28x 2026-11-03 17:32 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Night (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-well-worn) [PushkaDDL](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/PushkaDDL) $2.70 $138 50.94x 2026-11-09 17:14 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=38)

[MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-nexus-field-tested) [adamnicho](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/adamnicho) $2.70 $0.13 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:55 UTC

[P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-field-tested) [epektro3](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/epektro3) $2.70 $0.92 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:55 UTC

[P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-field-tested) Hidden $2.70 $0.92 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-midnight-paintover-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.70 $0.08 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-well-worn) Hidden $2.70 $0.10 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[P90 | Grim (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-field-tested) [uwu girl](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/uwu%20girl) $2.70 $0.33 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[P2000 | Handgun (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-factory-new) Hidden $2.70 $18.19 6.74x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-handgun-field-tested) Hidden $2.70 $0.92 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Midnight Paintover (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-midnight-paintover-battle-scarred) [miśbim](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/mi%C5%9Bbim) $2.70 $0.08 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC

[AWP | Exoskeleton (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-well-worn) [LucA :D skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/LucA%20%3AD%20skins.army) $2.70 $4.20 1.56x 2026-11-11 13:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 13:17 UTC | $2.70 | 88.89% | 35 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $2.70 | 88.85% | 35 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% extraordinary 0.0% Covert 0.0% classified 11.8% #d32ee6 0.5% pink 0.5% restricted 8.1% violet 8.6% #8847ff 8.1% #4b69ff 40.1% Mythical 1.6% mil spec 3.8% Uncommon 16.7% best hit $152 (56.28x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.89 on average: an expected loss of $11.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt