---
title: "Robalini case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Robalini ($9.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.91% from 51 items with odds, observed 89.74% over 3,286 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/473
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Robalini](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/473)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Robalini

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/473?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/473?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/473) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/473?window=all)

Price · $9.00

Advertised RTP · 88.91% · EV $8.00 from 51 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.74% · 3,286 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 97.69% ±17.57 457 openings

7 days · 91.50% ±7.14 2,762 openings

30 days · 89.74% ±6.55 3,286 openings

since tracking started · 89.74% ±6.55 3,286 openings

79.5% 97.8% 116.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/473?window=24h) | 457 | 97.69% ±17.6 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/473?window=7d) | 2,762 | 91.50% ±7.14 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/473) | 3,286 | 89.74% ±6.55 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/473?window=all) | 3,286 | 89.74% ±6.55 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 51 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,312 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,030 | $332 | 1.4% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 2,083 | $225 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 2,041 | $222 | 1.4% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $217 | 1.4% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.21× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 1,695 | $183 | 1.3% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.54× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 1,667 | $181 | 1.4% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.01× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,515 | $164 | 1.3% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.37× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 1,190 | $129 | 1.4% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.72× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 1,087 | $118 | 1.4% | 3 | 3.0 | 0.98× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) | 1 in 483 | $76.19 | 2.0% | 3 | 6.9 | 0.44× |
| [P90 \| Tiger Pit (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-tiger-pit-battle-scarred) | 1 in 395 | $62.33 | 2.0% | 11 | 8.4 | 1.31× |
| [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 388 | $61.13 | 2.0% | 11 | 8.5 | 1.29× |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-factory-new) | 1 in 365 | $57.67 | 2.0% | 6 | 9.1 | 0.66× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 330 | $52.14 | 2.0% | 5 | 10.0 | 0.50× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 316 | $49.96 | 2.0% | 15 | 10.5 | 1.43× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 285 | $45.07 | 2.0% | 13 | 11.6 | 1.12× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 262 | $41.45 | 2.0% | 8 | 12.6 | 0.63× |
| [Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-factory-new) | 1 in 262 | $41.42 | 2.0% | 19 | 12.6 | 1.51× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 262 | $41.39 | 2.0% | 5 | 12.7 | 0.40× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 251 | $39.73 | 2.0% | 15 | 13.2 | 1.14× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 248 | $39.13 | 2.0% | 11 | 13.4 | 0.82× |
| [FAMAS \| Meltdown (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meltdown-field-tested) | 1 in 244 | $38.56 | 2.0% | 15 | 13.6 | 1.10× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 219 | $34.63 | 2.0% | 16 | 15.1 | 1.06× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-field-tested) | 1 in 211 | $33.37 | 2.0% | 14 | 15.7 | 0.89× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-factory-new) | 1 in 196 | $31.04 | 2.0% | 16 | 16.9 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 148 | $23.40 | 2.0% | 18 | 22.4 | 0.81× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-well-worn) | 1 in 139 | $21.97 | 2.0% | 35 | 23.8 | 1.47× |
| [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $21.45 | 2.0% | 31 | 24.4 | 1.27× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 124 | $19.59 | 2.0% | 23 | 26.7 | 0.86× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $16.01 | 4.7% | 69 | 78.6 | 0.88× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $14.83 | 4.7% | 93 | 84.9 | 1.10× |
| [Tec-9 \| Toxic (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-toxic-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $13.65 | 4.7% | 99 | 92.2 | 1.07× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $12.40 | 4.7% | 117 | 101.5 | 1.15× |
| [FAMAS \| Styx (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $11.57 | 4.7% | 106 | 108.8 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $11.55 | 4.7% | 120 | 109.0 | 1.10× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 64 | $8.73 | 1.7% | 41 | 51.6 | 0.80× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $7.78 | 1.7% | 52 | 57.9 | 0.90× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $7.46 | 1.7% | 75 | 60.3 | 1.24× |
| [MP7 \| Asterion (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-asterion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $6.71 | 1.7% | 81 | 67.1 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-block-18-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $4.93 | 1.7% | 93 | 91.3 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $4.74 | 1.7% | 100 | 95.0 | 1.05× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $4.54 | 1.7% | 98 | 99.2 | 0.99× |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $3.45 | 1.7% | 112 | 130.5 | 0.86× |
| [MAC-10 \| Heat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $3.05 | 1.7% | 138 | 147.6 | 0.94× |
| [P2000 \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $2.46 | 1.7% | 182 | 183.0 | 0.99× |
| [FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-minimal-wear) | 14.8% | $0.92 | 1.7% | 498 | 489.3 | 1.02× |
| [SSG 08 \| Acid Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-acid-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $0.76 | 0.2% | 84 | 79.3 | 1.06× |
| [MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $0.53 | 0.2% | 125 | 113.7 | 1.10× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dualing-dragons-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $0.42 | 0.2% | 148 | 143.5 | 1.03× |
| [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.20 | 0.2% | 276 | 320.7 | 0.86× |
| [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.20 | 0.2% | 297 | 301.4 | 0.99× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/473`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=473)

[P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $9.00 $0.20 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) [SpizganyBanan](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SpizganyBanan) $9.00 $2.46 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) Hidden $9.00 $49.96 5.55x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC

[FAMAS | Survivor Z (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-minimal-wear) [SpizganyBanan](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SpizganyBanan) $9.00 $0.92 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC

[P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) [Don Malkon](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Don%20Malkon) $9.00 $2.46 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC

[FAMAS | Survivor Z (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-minimal-wear) [Steapy](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Steapy) $9.00 $0.92 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:18 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-field-tested) Hidden $9.00 $16.01 1.78x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC

[P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) Hidden $9.00 $34.63 3.85x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC

[Tec-9 | Toxic (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-toxic-field-tested) Hidden $9.00 $13.65 1.52x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC

[P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-amber-fade-factory-new) [Mr Przelot](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mr%20Przelot) $9.00 $2.46 0.27x 2026-11-11 12:56 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $9.00 | 88.91% | 51 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.4% #ffd700 0.1% red 0.6% classified 11.8% #4b69ff 9.9% #8847ff 10.8% mil spec 21.9% Ancient 0.4% extraordinary 0.9% pink 3.0% restricted 18.9% Rare 2.8% Classified 3.3% Legendary 1.6% #d32ce6 1.7% consumer 2.0% industrial 9.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.91 on average: an expected loss of $11.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt