--- title: "Szymonekk17 case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Szymonekk17 ($9.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.19% from 26 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/600086 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Szymonekk17](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/600086) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Szymonekk17 A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/600086?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/600086?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/600086) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/600086?window=all) Price · $9.50 Advertised RTP · 86.19% · EV $8.19 from 26 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 4.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/600086?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/600086?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/600086) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/600086?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $93.36 | 17.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $83.66 | 24.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $83.58 | 20.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $36.13 | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $33.80 | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $21.89 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Guardian (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $6.34 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $6.21 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $5.09 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $4.58 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP7 \| Tall Grass (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $4.40 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $3.97 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $2.00 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-ice-cap-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.84 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.77 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M249 \| Aztec (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-aztec-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.73 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.40 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.35 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-warhawk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.28 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $0.15 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.13 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [G3SG1 \| Orange Crash (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $0.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.07 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Triqua (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-well-worn) | 11.8% | $0.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Contractor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-battle-scarred) | 12.8% | $0.03 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/600086`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=600086) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $9.50 | 86.19% | 26 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 6.5% extraordinary 4.4% mil spec 6.3% #d32ee6 1.8% Mythical 2.5% classified 5.0% industrial 7.7% Ancient 2.7% restricted 11.5% Rare 7.7% violet 3.8% milspec 3.8% #4b69ff 19.5% #87c7ff 3.8% #777777 12.8% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.19 on average: an expected loss of $13.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt