---
title: "Wronek case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Wronek ($100.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.89% from 43 items with odds, observed 88.92% over 348 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610941
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Wronek](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610941)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Wronek

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610941?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610941?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610941) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610941?window=all)

Price · $100.00

Advertised RTP · 88.89% · EV $88.89 from 43 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.92% · 348 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 63.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 22 openings · below min

7 days · 88.68% ±12.25 302 openings

30 days · 88.92% ±11.41 348 openings

since tracking started · 88.92% ±11.41 348 openings

54.5% 100.5% 146.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610941?window=24h) | 22 | 100.54% ±45.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610941?window=7d) | 302 | 88.68% ±12.3 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610941) | 348 | 88.92% ±11.4 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610941?window=all) | 348 | 88.92% ±11.4 | +0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 348 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 266 | $779 | 3.3% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 226 | $662 | 3.3% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 225 | $661 | 3.3% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 142 | $411 | 3.2% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.41× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Duelist (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $331 | 3.3% | 3 | 3.0 | 0.99× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 96 | $278 | 3.3% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.55× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 95 | $274 | 3.2% | 5 | 3.7 | 1.36× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $270 | 3.3% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.54× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 88 | $254 | 3.3% | 9 | 4.0 | 2.27× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $241 | 3.2% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.20× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 73 | $211 | 3.3% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.84× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 70 | $202 | 3.2% | 11 | 5.0 | 2.21× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $186 | 4.2% | 4 | 6.9 | 0.58× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $179 | 4.2% | 7 | 7.2 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| First Class (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $173 | 4.2% | 3 | 7.5 | 0.40× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $167 | 4.2% | 8 | 7.7 | 1.04× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $145 | 4.2% | 5 | 8.9 | 0.56× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $140 | 4.2% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.19× |
| [MP9 \| Stained Glass (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $135 | 4.2% | 3 | 9.5 | 0.31× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $125 | 4.2% | 5 | 10.3 | 0.49× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $123 | 4.2% | 7 | 10.5 | 0.67× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $121 | 4.2% | 8 | 10.7 | 0.75× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 105 | $99.06 | 1.1% | 10 | 3.3 | 3.03× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 102 | $96.05 | 1.1% | 10 | 3.4 | 2.94× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 102 | $95.77 | 1.1% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.17× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $85.24 | 1.1% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.52× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 87 | $81.96 | 1.1% | 9 | 4.0 | 2.26× |
| [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-field-tested) | 1 in 87 | $81.54 | 1.1% | 14 | 4.0 | 3.49× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $75.78 | 1.1% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.70× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $75.77 | 1.1% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.93× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 75 | $70.82 | 1.1% | 3 | 4.6 | 0.65× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $66.91 | 1.1% | 9 | 4.9 | 1.84× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $64.71 | 1.1% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.19× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $54.51 | 1.1% | 11 | 6.0 | 1.83× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $52.77 | 1.1% | 8 | 6.2 | 1.29× |
| [P250 \| Digital Architect (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $41.69 | 1.1% | 12 | 7.8 | 1.53× |
| [MAG-7 \| Prism Terrace (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-prism-terrace-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $32.46 | 1.1% | 6 | 10.1 | 0.60× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-battle-scarred) | 1 in 34 | $31.90 | 1.1% | 13 | 10.2 | 1.27× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $31.72 | 1.1% | 13 | 10.3 | 1.26× |
| [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $25.41 | 1.1% | 17 | 12.9 | 1.32× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.98 | 0.1% | 18 | 22.5 | 0.80× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.67 | 0.1% | 31 | 32.9 | 0.94× |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-battle-scarred) | 16.3% | $0.41 | 0.1% | 42 | 56.8 | 0.74× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/610941`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=610941)

[AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) Hidden $100 $0.98 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) [twitch.tv/kosior\_777](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/twitch.tv%2Fkosior_777) $100 $202 2.02x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC

[AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) Hidden $100 $0.67 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) Hidden $100 $179 1.79x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) [twitch.tv/kosior\_777](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/twitch.tv%2Fkosior_777) $100 $25.41 0.25x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $100 $96.05 0.96x 2026-11-11 12:26 UTC

[AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) [twitch.tv/kosior\_777](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/twitch.tv%2Fkosior_777) $100 $0.67 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:26 UTC

[Galil AR | Connexion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-battle-scarred) Hidden $100 $0.41 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:26 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) Hidden $100 $0.98 0.01x 2026-11-11 03:26 UTC

[M4A1-S | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) [KURI](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KURI) $100 $145 1.45x 2026-11-11 03:26 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 05:19 UTC | $100 | 88.89% | 43 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $100 | 88.88% | 43 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 2.1% covert 22.9% #ffd700 3.2% restricted 21.1% covert knife 6.8% Immortal 1.4% #d32ee6 2.0% pink 2.2% red 2.6% Ancient 3.0% mil spec 1.2% extraordinary 5.9% Rare 9.5% #8847ff 16.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.89 on average: an expected loss of $11.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt