---
title: "Amar case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Amar ($50.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.96% from 41 items with odds, observed 86.96% over 916 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610952
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:45Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Amar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610952)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Amar

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610952?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610952?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610952) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610952?window=all)

Price · $50.00

Advertised RTP · 88.96% · EV $44.48 from 41 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.96% · 916 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 64.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 76 openings · below min

7 days · 80.39% ±11.65 708 openings

30 days · 86.96% ±10.25 916 openings

since tracking started · 86.96% ±10.25 916 openings

47.0% 82.3% 117.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610952?window=24h) | 76 | 82.25% ±34.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610952?window=7d) | 708 | 80.39% ±11.6 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610952) | 916 | 86.96% ±10.2 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610952?window=all) | 916 | 86.96% ±10.2 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 919 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 355 | $524 | 3.3% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 338 | $499 | 3.3% | 5 | 2.7 | 1.84× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 297 | $437 | 3.3% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.29× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 276 | $408 | 3.3% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.60× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) | 1 in 417 | $354 | 1.9% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 415 | $352 | 1.9% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 377 | $320 | 1.9% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.23× |
| [MP5-SD \| Oxide Oasis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-oxide-oasis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 364 | $308 | 1.9% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.19× |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 355 | $301 | 1.9% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.77× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 299 | $255 | 1.9% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.65× |
| [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 287 | $243 | 1.9% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.31× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 253 | $214 | 1.9% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.10× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 249 | $211 | 1.9% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.54× |
| [UMP-45 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 235 | $200 | 1.9% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 219 | $186 | 1.9% | 1 | 4.2 | 0.24× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 219 | $186 | 1.9% | 2 | 4.2 | 0.48× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 217 | $184 | 1.9% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $170 | 1.9% | 3 | 4.6 | 0.65× |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 159 | $135 | 1.9% | 4 | 5.8 | 0.69× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 153 | $130 | 1.9% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× |
| [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 146 | $124 | 1.9% | 4 | 6.3 | 0.64× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 129 | $110 | 1.9% | 9 | 7.1 | 1.26× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $92.63 | 3.9% | 7 | 17.1 | 0.41× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $80.51 | 3.9% | 21 | 19.6 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $75.01 | 3.9% | 16 | 21.1 | 0.76× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $74.84 | 3.9% | 21 | 21.1 | 0.99× |
| [UMP-45 \| Crime Scene (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $72.08 | 3.9% | 13 | 21.9 | 0.59× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $66.12 | 3.9% | 26 | 23.9 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $62.06 | 3.9% | 33 | 25.5 | 1.30× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $55.51 | 3.9% | 19 | 28.5 | 0.67× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $54.14 | 3.9% | 30 | 29.2 | 1.03× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $50.81 | 3.9% | 22 | 31.1 | 0.71× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Yellow-banded (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-yellow-banded-field-tested) | 1 in 121 | $48.10 | 0.9% | 38 | 7.6 | 5.01× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $45.55 | 0.9% | 8 | 8.0 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 83 | $33.07 | 0.9% | 15 | 11.0 | 1.36× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $24.83 | 0.9% | 20 | 14.7 | 1.36× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $23.47 | 0.9% | 16 | 15.5 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $13.26 | 0.9% | 33 | 27.5 | 1.20× |
| [G3SG1 \| Flux (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-battle-scarred) | 16.1% | $7.66 | 2.8% | 152 | 148.0 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-minimal-wear) | 18.9% | $6.52 | 2.8% | 183 | 173.8 | 1.05× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-well-worn) | 20.7% | $6.04 | 2.8% | 183 | 190.3 | 0.96× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/610952`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 $661 13.22x 2026-11-04 12:11 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 $583 11.66x 2026-11-05 22:45 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 $583 11.66x 2026-11-04 19:07 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 $583 11.66x 2026-11-04 12:11 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 $583 11.66x 2026-11-03 17:28 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) [Aprilia RX90](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Aprilia%20RX90) $50.00 $583 11.66x 2026-11-02 22:55 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=610952)

[AUG | Death by Puppy (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 $6.04 0.12x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.00 $6.52 0.13x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC

[★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 $80.51 1.61x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-minimal-wear) [type shittttt](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/type%20shittttt) $50.00 $6.52 0.13x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC

[G3SG1 | Flux (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-battle-scarred) Hidden $50.00 $7.66 0.15x 2026-11-11 16:02 UTC

[G3SG1 | Flux (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-battle-scarred) [olszi997](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/olszi997) $50.00 $7.66 0.15x 2026-11-11 16:02 UTC

[G3SG1 | Flux (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-battle-scarred) Hidden $50.00 $7.66 0.15x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 $80.51 1.61x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-factory-new) [KURI](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KURI) $50.00 $24.83 0.50x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[G3SG1 | Flux (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-battle-scarred) Hidden $50.00 $7.66 0.15x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 05:19 UTC | $50.00 | 88.96% | 41 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $50.00 | 88.81% | 41 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 3.4% covert 29.6% extraordinary 3.3% #d32ee6 0.3% mil spec 0.3% classified 38.8% #ffd700 0.7% Legendary 23.6% best hit $661 (13.22x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.96 on average: an expected loss of $11.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt