--- title: "Dodge case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Dodge ($5.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.95% from 18 items with odds, observed 88.95% over 15.3K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611390 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Dodge](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611390) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Dodge A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611390?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611390?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611390) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611390?window=all) Price · $5.00 Advertised RTP · 88.95% · EV $4.45 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.95% · 15.3K openings, odds method Variance · 4.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 61.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 90.96% ±8.98 2,108 openings 7 days · 89.39% ±3.82 12.3K openings 30 days · 88.95% ±3.48 15.3K openings since tracking started · 88.95% ±3.48 15.3K openings 81.5% 91.0% 100.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611390?window=24h) | 2,108 | 90.96% ±8.98 | +0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611390?window=7d) | 12.3K | 89.39% ±3.82 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611390) | 15.3K | 88.95% ±3.48 | +0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611390?window=all) | 15.3K | 88.95% ±3.48 | +0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15.3K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 5,556 | $327 | 1.3% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.09× | | [Sticker \| Cloud9 (Foil) \| Boston 2018 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-foil-boston-2018) | 1 in 4,167 | $249 | 1.3% | 1 | 3.7 | 0.27× | | [Sticker \| mousesports (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 2,941 | $177 | 1.3% | 7 | 5.2 | 1.35× | | [Sticker \| ScreaM \| Cologne 2016 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-scream-cologne-2016) | 1 in 2,128 | $128 | 1.3% | 5 | 7.2 | 0.70× | | [Sticker \| Cloud9 (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 1,887 | $115 | 1.4% | 12 | 8.1 | 1.48× | | [Sticker \| TSM Kinguin (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tsm-kinguin-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 1,786 | $108 | 1.4% | 13 | 8.6 | 1.52× | | [Sticker \| 100 Thieves \| Boston 2018 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-100-thieves-boston-2018) | 1 in 1,493 | $89.74 | 1.4% | 12 | 10.3 | 1.17× | | [Sticker \| GODSENT (Holo) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-godsent-holo-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 1,099 | $66.43 | 1.4% | 12 | 13.9 | 0.86× | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 1,042 | $63.07 | 1.4% | 16 | 14.7 | 1.09× | | [Sticker \| Edward (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-edward-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 735 | $44.28 | 1.4% | 79 | 20.8 | 3.80× | | [Sticker \| DickStacy \| Berlin 2019 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dickstacy-berlin-2019) | 1 in 29 | $20.31 | 15.9% | 531 | 532.3 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| FaZe Clan (Holo) \| London 2018 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-faze-clan-holo-london-2018) | 1 in 25 | $17.38 | 15.9% | 593 | 622.1 | 0.95× | | [Sticker \| tabseN (Foil) \| London 2018 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tabsen-foil-london-2018) | 1 in 23 | $16.31 | 15.9% | 649 | 662.9 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Bubble Gum Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bubble-gum-skill-surf-holo) | 1 in 22 | $9.02 | 9.0% | 634 | 682.6 | 0.93× | | [Sticker \| Purrurists (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-purrurists-foil) | 1 in 17 | $6.84 | 9.1% | 762 | 900.3 | 0.85× | | [Sticker \| Hello AK-47 (Gold) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-ak-47-gold) | 1 in 13 | $5.04 | 9.1% | 1,020 | 1221.8 | 0.83× | | [Sticker \| Candy Buttery (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-candy-buttery-holo) | 1 in 12 | $5.02 | 9.1% | 1,155 | 1226.7 | 0.94× | | [Sticker \| Aim And Fire sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aim-and-fire) | 61.1% | $0.19 | 2.6% | 9,795 | 9355.2 | 1.05× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/611390`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | iBUYPOWER | DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-dreamhack-2014) [DanDiel](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/DanDiel) $5.00 $327 65.41x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER | DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-dreamhack-2014) Hidden $5.00 $327 65.41x 2026-11-08 15:54 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER | DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-dreamhack-2014) Hidden $5.00 $281 56.27x 2026-11-03 10:35 UTC [Sticker | mousesports (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-foil-atlanta-2017) Hidden $5.00 $252 50.39x 2026-11-06 14:43 UTC [Sticker | mousesports (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-foil-atlanta-2017) Hidden $5.00 $252 50.39x 2026-11-05 20:17 UTC [Sticker | mousesports (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-foil-atlanta-2017) Hidden $5.00 $252 50.39x 2026-11-04 16:31 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=611390) [Sticker | Aim And Fire sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aim-and-fire) Hidden $5.00 $0.19 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:38 UTC [Sticker | Aim And Fire sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aim-and-fire) Hidden $5.00 $0.19 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:38 UTC [Sticker | Aim And Fire sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aim-and-fire) [OJ3JC1U](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/OJ3JC1U) $5.00 $0.19 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:38 UTC [Sticker | Purrurists (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-purrurists-foil) [BoA\_Dupczyciel](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/BoA_Dupczyciel) $5.00 $6.84 1.37x 2026-11-11 20:36 UTC [Sticker | Hello AK-47 (Gold) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-ak-47-gold) [山羊的陰莖](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E5%B1%B1%E7%BE%8A%E7%9A%84%E9%99%B0%E8%8E%96) $5.00 $5.04 1.01x 2026-11-11 20:36 UTC [Sticker | Candy Buttery (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-candy-buttery-holo) Hidden $5.00 $5.02 1.00x 2026-11-11 20:36 UTC [Sticker | Aim And Fire sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aim-and-fire) Hidden $5.00 $0.19 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:36 UTC [Sticker | Aim And Fire sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aim-and-fire) [TiaHim0s skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/TiaHim0s%20skins.army) $5.00 $0.19 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:36 UTC [Sticker | Bubble Gum Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bubble-gum-skill-surf-holo) [Spookoj](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Spookoj) $5.00 $9.02 1.80x 2026-11-11 20:36 UTC [Sticker | Aim And Fire sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-aim-and-fire) Hidden $5.00 $0.19 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6 Nov, 19:45 UTC | $5.00 | 88.95% | 18 | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $5.00 | 88.89% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed high 3.5% Exotic 0.0% #d32ce6 0.2% #8847ff 16.5% #4b69ff 61.2% remarkable 8.1% Remarkable 4.5% Legendary 5.9% best hit $327 (65.41x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.95 on average: an expected loss of $11.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt