---
title: "Master case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Master ($50.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.83% from 24 items with odds, observed 91.18% over 1,641 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611398
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:51Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Master](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611398)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Master

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611398?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611398?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611398) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611398?window=all)

Price · $50.00

Advertised RTP · 88.83% · EV $44.41 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.18% · 1,641 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 61.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 88.24% ±16.79 304 openings

7 days · 90.57% ±8.25 1,256 openings

30 days · 91.18% ±7.21 1,641 openings

since tracking started · 91.18% ±7.21 1,641 openings

71.0% 88.3% 105.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611398?window=24h) | 304 | 88.24% ±16.8 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611398?window=7d) | 1,256 | 90.57% ±8.25 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611398) | 1,641 | 91.18% ±7.21 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611398?window=all) | 1,641 | 91.18% ±7.21 | +0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,641 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,500 | $1,803 | 1.6% | 3 | 0.7 | — |
| [Sticker \| Skadoodle (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-skadoodle-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 1,695 | $1,237 | 1.6% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team Dignitas \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,389 | $1,010 | 1.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× |
| [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Foil) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-foil-katowice-2015) | 1 in 625 | $453 | 1.6% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.38× |
| [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 95 | $232 | 5.5% | 18 | 17.2 | 1.05× |
| [Sticker \| GeT\_RiGhT (Gold) \| London 2018 sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-get-right-gold-london-2018) | 1 in 83 | $202 | 5.5% | 18 | 19.7 | 0.91× |
| [Sticker \| Keyd Stars (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keyd-stars-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 77 | $188 | 5.5% | 18 | 21.3 | 0.85× |
| [Sticker \| kennyS (Gold) \| Berlin 2019 sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kennys-gold-berlin-2019) | 1 in 76 | $185 | 5.5% | 29 | 21.5 | 1.35× |
| [Sticker \| EliGE (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-elige-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 58 | $140 | 5.5% | 35 | 28.5 | 1.23× |
| [Sticker \| London Conspiracy (Holo) \| Cologne 2014 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-london-conspiracy-holo-cologne-2014) | 1 in 52 | $126 | 5.5% | 50 | 31.5 | 1.59× |
| [Sticker \| Happy (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-happy-foil-cologne-2016) | 1 in 49 | $120 | 5.5% | 63 | 33.2 | 1.90× |
| [Sticker \| Hobbit (Gold) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hobbit-gold-katowice-2019) | 1 in 13 | $81.32 | 14.1% | 73 | 126.5 | 0.58× |
| [Sticker \| Bravado Gaming \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bravado-gaming-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 11 | $67.78 | 14.1% | 93 | 151.7 | 0.61× |
| [Sticker \| CeRq (Gold) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cerq-gold-katowice-2019) | 11.0% | $57.16 | 14.1% | 71 | 179.9 | 0.39× |
| [Sticker \| Avangar (Foil) \| Boston 2018 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-avangar-foil-boston-2018) | 1 in 58 | $40.98 | 1.6% | 90 | 28.2 | 3.19× |
| [Sticker \| NQZ (Holo) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nqz-holo-rio-2022) | 1 in 47 | $33.10 | 1.6% | 29 | 35.0 | 0.83× |
| [Sticker \| ropz (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ropz-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 18 | $12.67 | 1.6% | 108 | 91.3 | 1.18× |
| [Sticker \| sk0R (Gold) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sk0r-gold-rio-2022) | 1 in 17 | $12.10 | 1.6% | 83 | 95.6 | 0.87× |
| [Sticker \| s1mple (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 17 | $11.97 | 1.6% | 64 | 96.7 | 0.66× |
| [Sticker \| m0NESY (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-m0nesy-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 15 | $10.51 | 1.6% | 91 | 110.1 | 0.83× |
| [Sticker \| FalleN (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fallen-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 15 | $5.43 | 0.8% | 147 | 111.8 | 1.31× |
| [Sticker \| Imperial Esports (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-imperial-esports-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 13 | $4.94 | 0.8% | 175 | 122.9 | 1.42× |
| [Sticker \| Hobbit (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hobbit-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 11 | $3.98 | 0.8% | 194 | 152.5 | 1.27× |
| [Sticker \| ZywOo (Holo) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zywoo-holo-rio-2022) | 1 in 10 | $3.78 | 0.8% | 187 | 160.5 | 1.17× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/611398`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) [ADM](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ADM) $50.00 $1,853 37.05x 2026-11-09 00:42 UTC

[Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) Hidden $50.00 $1,853 37.05x 2026-11-06 01:09 UTC

[Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) [Rolandoskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Rolandoskins.army) $50.00 $1,853 37.05x 2026-11-04 05:43 UTC

[Sticker | Team Dignitas | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-katowice-2014) Hidden $50.00 $1,010 20.19x 2026-11-11 14:49 UTC

[Sticker | LGB eSports (Foil) | Katowice 2015 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-foil-katowice-2015) [kick.com/krycholewa (rozdaje$)](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kick.com%2Fkrycholewa%20%28rozdaje%24%29) $50.00 $643 12.85x 2026-11-08 22:15 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=611398)

[Sticker | CeRq (Gold) | Katowice 2019 sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cerq-gold-katowice-2019) [BoA\_Dupczyciel](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/BoA_Dupczyciel) $50.00 $57.16 1.14x 2026-11-11 20:33 UTC

[Sticker | FalleN (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fallen-holo-antwerp-2022) [olszi997](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/olszi997) $50.00 $5.43 0.11x 2026-11-11 20:33 UTC

[Sticker | ropz (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ropz-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $50.00 $12.67 0.25x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC

[Sticker | kennyS (Gold) | Berlin 2019 sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kennys-gold-berlin-2019) [olszi997](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/olszi997) $50.00 $185 3.70x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC

[Sticker | Hobbit (Gold) | Katowice 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hobbit-gold-katowice-2019) Hidden $50.00 $81.32 1.63x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC

[Sticker | s1mple (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $50.00 $11.97 0.24x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC

[Sticker | m0NESY (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-m0nesy-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $50.00 $10.51 0.21x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC

[Sticker | Hobbit (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hobbit-holo-antwerp-2022) [type shittttt](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/type%20shittttt) $50.00 $3.98 0.08x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC

[Sticker | FalleN (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fallen-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $50.00 $5.43 0.11x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC

[Sticker | Bravado Gaming | DreamHack 2014 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bravado-gaming-dreamhack-2014) Hidden $50.00 $67.78 1.36x 2026-11-11 20:21 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 21:11 UTC | $50.00 | 88.83% | 24 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $50.00 | 88.74% | 24 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed high 0.1% #eb4b4b 19.4% #d32ce6 59.3% remarkable 1.0% #8847ff 3.2% extraordinary 7.7% #4b69ff 9.2% best hit $1,853 (37.05x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.83 on average: an expected loss of $11.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt