--- title: "Fuse case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fuse ($25.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.03% from 18 items with odds, observed 89.56% over 1,452 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611681 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Fuse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611681) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Fuse A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611681?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611681?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611681) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611681?window=all) Price · $25.00 Advertised RTP · 89.03% · EV $22.26 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.56% · 1,452 openings, odds method Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 29.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 61.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 92.05% ±13.23 183 openings 7 days · 92.34% ±5.21 1,233 openings 30 days · 89.56% ±4.81 1,452 openings since tracking started · 89.56% ±4.81 1,452 openings 78.0% 92.0% 106.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611681?window=24h) | 183 | 92.05% ±13.2 | +0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611681?window=7d) | 1,233 | 92.34% ±5.21 | +1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611681) | 1,452 | 89.56% ±4.81 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/611681?window=all) | 1,452 | 89.56% ±4.81 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,461 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| RUBINO (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rubino-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 251 | $239 | 4.3% | 6 | 5.8 | 1.03× | | [Sticker \| device (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-device-foil-cologne-2016) | 1 in 135 | $128 | 4.3% | 15 | 10.8 | 1.39× | | [Sticker \| North (Foil) \| Boston 2018 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-north-foil-boston-2018) | 1 in 88 | $83.68 | 4.3% | 19 | 16.6 | 1.15× | | [Sticker \| shox (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shox-foil-cologne-2016) | 1 in 77 | $72.88 | 4.3% | 12 | 19.1 | 0.63× | | [Sticker \| FaZe Clan (Holo) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-faze-clan-holo-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 76 | $72.48 | 4.3% | 14 | 19.2 | 0.73× | | [Sticker \| WorldEdit (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-worldedit-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 58 | $55.17 | 4.3% | 15 | 25.2 | 0.60× | | [Sticker \| Avangar (Foil) \| Boston 2018 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-avangar-foil-boston-2018) | 1 in 17 | $40.98 | 11.1% | 67 | 88.2 | 0.76× | | [Sticker \| karrigan (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-karrigan-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 13 | $32.23 | 11.1% | 158 | 112.2 | 1.41× | | [Sticker \| Team Spirit (Foil) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-spirit-foil-katowice-2019) | 1 in 11 | $27.58 | 11.1% | 139 | 131.1 | 1.06× | | [Sticker \| Fnatic (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 11 | $26.92 | 11.1% | 131 | 134.3 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Miami Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-skill-surf-holo) | 1 in 23 | $18.90 | 3.7% | 80 | 64.0 | 1.25× | | [Sticker \| nex (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nex-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 21 | $17.46 | 3.7% | 64 | 69.2 | 0.92× | | [Sticker \| INS (Holo) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ins-holo-rio-2022) | 1 in 18 | $14.78 | 3.7% | 69 | 81.8 | 0.84× | | [Sticker \| Countdown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-countdown-foil) | 1 in 16 | $13.06 | 3.7% | 141 | 92.6 | 1.52× | | [Sticker \| IEM (Foil) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-iem-foil-katowice-2019) | 1 in 14 | $11.77 | 3.7% | 95 | 102.7 | 0.92× | | [Sticker \| Global Elite (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-global-elite-foil) | 1 in 11 | $8.91 | 3.7% | 118 | 135.7 | 0.87× | | [Sticker \| Liquid Fire sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-liquid-fire) | 11.5% | $7.21 | 3.7% | 171 | 167.7 | 1.02× | | [Sticker \| Emperor (Foil) sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-emperor-foil) | 12.7% | $6.83 | 3.9% | 147 | 184.9 | 0.80× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/611681`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=611681) [Sticker | karrigan (Foil) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-karrigan-foil-krakow-2017) Hidden $25.00 $32.23 1.29x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC [Sticker | Emperor (Foil) sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-emperor-foil) [ADM](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ADM) $25.00 $6.83 0.27x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC [Sticker | nex (Foil) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nex-foil-krakow-2017) Hidden $25.00 $17.46 0.70x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC [Sticker | Liquid Fire sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-liquid-fire) [ADM](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ADM) $25.00 $7.21 0.29x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic (Foil) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-foil-krakow-2017) Hidden $25.00 $26.92 1.08x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC [Sticker | Miami Skill Surf (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-skill-surf-holo) [ADM](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ADM) $25.00 $18.90 0.76x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC [Sticker | karrigan (Foil) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-karrigan-foil-krakow-2017) Hidden $25.00 $32.23 1.29x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC [Sticker | Liquid Fire sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-liquid-fire) [ADM](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ADM) $25.00 $7.21 0.29x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC [Sticker | Emperor (Foil) sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-emperor-foil) Hidden $25.00 $6.83 0.27x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC [Sticker | Emperor (Foil) sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-emperor-foil) [ADM](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ADM) $25.00 $6.83 0.27x 2026-11-11 20:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 21:11 UTC | $25.00 | 89.03% | 18 | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $25.00 | 88.84% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed exotic 25.0% #d32ce6 32.8% #8847ff 13.7% remarkable 4.4% high 11.5% pink 12.7% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.03 on average: an expected loss of $10.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt