---
title: "SmallJuicer case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "SmallJuicer ($10.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.01% from 18 items with odds, observed 92.50% over 4,237 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/621
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:54Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [SmallJuicer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/621)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · SmallJuicer

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/621?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/621?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/621) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/621?window=all)

Price · $10.00

Advertised RTP · 89.01% · EV $8.90 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.50% · 4,237 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.49% ±14.28 448 openings

7 days · 93.06% ±5.24 3,543 openings

30 days · 92.50% ±4.80 4,237 openings

since tracking started · 92.50% ±4.80 4,237 openings

76.5% 91.5% 106.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/621?window=24h) | 448 | 91.49% ±14.3 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/621?window=7d) | 3,543 | 93.06% ±5.24 | +1.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/621) | 4,237 | 92.50% ±4.80 | +1.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/621?window=all) | 4,237 | 92.50% ±4.80 | +1.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,262 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-well-worn) | 1 in 267 | $97.82 | 4.1% | 22 | 15.9 | 1.38× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-convoy-well-worn) | 1 in 251 | $91.73 | 4.1% | 17 | 17.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Bronzed (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 211 | $77.03 | 4.1% | 25 | 20.2 | 1.23× |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 208 | $76.18 | 4.1% | 12 | 20.5 | 0.59× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 158 | $57.97 | 4.1% | 20 | 26.9 | 0.74× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 134 | $48.90 | 4.1% | 35 | 31.9 | 1.10× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 129 | $47.03 | 4.1% | 34 | 33.1 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 128 | $46.93 | 4.1% | 25 | 33.2 | 0.75× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-field-tested) | 1 in 87 | $31.75 | 4.1% | 150 | 49.1 | 3.06× |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $22.31 | 15.5% | 168 | 262.8 | 0.64× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $20.76 | 15.5% | 183 | 282.4 | 0.65× |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $18.32 | 15.5% | 214 | 320.0 | 0.67× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $5.60 | 3.1% | 244 | 213.1 | 1.15× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Balance (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-balance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $2.90 | 3.1% | 508 | 411.5 | 1.23× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-factory-new) | 10.4% | $2.68 | 3.1% | 412 | 445.3 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) | 13.7% | $2.04 | 3.1% | 687 | 585.0 | 1.17× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 15.1% | $1.93 | 3.3% | 654 | 641.7 | 1.02× |
| [AUG \| Ricochet (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.36 | 0.8% | 852 | 852.4 | 1.00× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/621`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=621)

[AUG | Ricochet (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-battle-scarred) [sasza feszczuk skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/sasza%20feszczuk%20skins.army) $10.00 $0.36 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:46 UTC

[AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) [cygus](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/cygus) $10.00 $2.04 0.20x 2026-11-11 18:46 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) Hidden $10.00 $1.93 0.19x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) [JARO-\_-](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/JARO-_-) $10.00 $1.93 0.19x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $10.00 $18.32 1.83x 2026-11-11 18:24 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-battle-scarred) [𝕸𝕷𝕮](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%B8%F0%9D%95%B7%F0%9D%95%AE) $10.00 $0.36 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:24 UTC

[UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $10.00 $18.32 1.83x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Balance (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-balance-minimal-wear) [y4s](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/y4s) $10.00 $2.90 0.29x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) Hidden $10.00 $48.90 4.89x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Balance (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-balance-minimal-wear) [y4s](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/y4s) $10.00 $2.90 0.29x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 05:19 UTC | $10.00 | 89.01% | 18 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $10.00 | 88.85% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 2.4% classified 18.3% #ffd700 0.6% covert 2.3% mil spec 17.2% restricted 25.5% Rare 13.7% #4b69ff 20.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.01 on average: an expected loss of $10.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt