---
title: "Conductor case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Conductor ($250.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.67% from 24 items with odds, observed 82.85% over 751 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/625
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:09Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Conductor](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/625)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Conductor

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/625?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/625?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/625) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/625?window=all)

Price · $250.00

Advertised RTP · 86.67% · EV $216.67 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 82.85% · 751 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 97 openings · below min

7 days · 82.37% ±10.04 666 openings

30 days · 82.85% ±9.45 751 openings

since tracking started · 82.85% ±9.45 751 openings

66.0% 93.0% 120.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/625?window=24h) | 97 | 93.19% ±26.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/625?window=7d) | 666 | 82.37% ±10.0 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/625) | 751 | 82.85% ±9.45 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/625?window=all) | 751 | 82.85% ±9.45 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 751 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 1 in 178 | $1,955 | 5.1% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× |
| [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-battle-scarred) | 1 in 176 | $1,940 | 5.1% | 2 | 4.3 | 0.47× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 136 | $1,496 | 5.1% | 8 | 5.5 | 1.45× |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 134 | $1,478 | 5.1% | 10 | 5.6 | 1.79× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $1,376 | 5.1% | 2 | 6.0 | 0.33× |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 63 | $693 | 5.1% | 12 | 11.9 | 1.01× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $648 | 5.1% | 9 | 12.8 | 0.71× |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 48 | $529 | 5.1% | 12 | 15.6 | 0.77× |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 46 | $506 | 5.1% | 13 | 16.3 | 0.80× |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $494 | 5.6% | 19 | 18.6 | 1.02× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Well-Worn) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $487 | 5.6% | 12 | 18.9 | 0.64× |
| [AUG \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $450 | 5.6% | 24 | 20.4 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $428 | 5.6% | 29 | 21.4 | 1.35× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $389 | 5.6% | 22 | 23.6 | 0.93× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $302 | 5.6% | 33 | 30.4 | 1.09× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $302 | 5.6% | 29 | 30.4 | 0.95× |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $228 | 2.1% | 10 | 15.1 | 0.66× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $200 | 2.1% | 16 | 17.2 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $135 | 2.1% | 29 | 25.4 | 1.14× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $129 | 2.1% | 29 | 26.5 | 1.09× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $124 | 2.1% | 28 | 27.8 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $72.77 | 2.1% | 45 | 47.2 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $68.92 | 2.1% | 52 | 49.8 | 1.04× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-battle-scarred) | 39.4% | $0.14 | 0.0% | 303 | 296.1 | 1.02× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/625`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) Hidden $250 $1,955 7.82x 2026-11-06 15:25 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) Hidden $250 $1,955 7.82x 2026-11-05 14:23 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) Hidden $250 $1,955 7.82x 2026-11-04 21:04 UTC

[MP9 | Wild Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-battle-scarred) Hidden $250 $1,940 7.76x 2026-11-10 17:24 UTC

[MP9 | Wild Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-battle-scarred) [Mateuszyście](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mateuszy%C5%9Bcie) $250 $1,940 7.76x 2026-11-05 19:08 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $250 $1,496 5.98x 2026-11-10 20:57 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) [Bylek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Bylek) $250 $1,496 5.98x 2026-11-10 17:31 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) [hades](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/hades) $250 $1,496 5.98x 2026-11-09 15:25 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) [Mateuszyście](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mateuszy%C5%9Bcie) $250 $1,496 5.98x 2026-11-08 21:48 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $250 $1,496 5.98x 2026-11-06 19:19 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=625)

[AUG | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $250 $450 1.80x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC

[USP-S | Forest Leaves (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-battle-scarred) [hades](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/hades) $250 $0.14 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $250 $428 1.71x 2026-11-11 08:28 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) [KIWI77](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KIWI77) $250 $68.92 0.28x 2026-11-11 08:28 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) Hidden $250 $68.92 0.28x 2026-11-11 01:24 UTC

[USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $250 $124 0.49x 2026-11-11 01:24 UTC

[USP-S | Forest Leaves (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-battle-scarred) Hidden $250 $0.14 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:24 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) [ku](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ku) $250 $135 0.54x 2026-11-11 01:24 UTC

[M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) Hidden $250 $506 2.02x 2026-11-11 01:24 UTC

[Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) Hidden $250 $68.92 0.28x 2026-11-11 01:24 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $250 | 86.67% | 24 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 2.3% classified 8.2% gold 0.7% Covert 0.7% #ffd700 4.9% covert 30.8% #d32ee6 2.1% restricted 2.2% sunny 2.5% mil spec 2.7% red 3.5% #87c7ff 39.4% best hit $1,955 (7.82x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.67 on average: an expected loss of $13.33 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt