---
title: "Dzinold case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Dzinold ($25.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.99% from 28 items with odds, observed 88.29% over 9,262 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630065
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Dzinold](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630065)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Dzinold

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630065?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630065?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630065) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630065?window=all)

Price · $25.00

Advertised RTP · 88.99% · EV $22.25 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.29% · 9,262 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 92.22% ±7.49 2,135 openings

7 days · 87.62% ±4.06 7,525 openings

30 days · 88.29% ±3.67 9,262 openings

since tracking started · 88.29% ±3.67 9,262 openings

83.0% 91.8% 100.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630065?window=24h) | 2,135 | 92.22% ±7.49 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630065?window=7d) | 7,525 | 87.62% ±4.06 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630065) | 9,262 | 88.29% ±3.67 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630065?window=all) | 9,262 | 88.29% ±3.67 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,279 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 971 | $728 | 3.4% | 4 | 9.6 | 0.42× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 402 | $301 | 3.4% | 22 | 23.1 | 0.95× |
| [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 324 | $243 | 3.4% | 23 | 28.7 | 0.80× |
| [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 293 | $220 | 3.4% | 22 | 31.6 | 0.70× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 358 | $211 | 2.6% | 22 | 25.9 | 0.85× |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 334 | $197 | 2.6% | 23 | 27.7 | 0.83× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 318 | $187 | 2.6% | 23 | 29.1 | 0.79× |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 229 | $135 | 2.6% | 45 | 40.5 | 1.11× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 227 | $134 | 2.6% | 42 | 40.8 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 214 | $126 | 2.6% | 50 | 43.3 | 1.15× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 202 | $119 | 2.6% | 33 | 46.0 | 0.72× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 174 | $102 | 2.6% | 44 | 53.4 | 0.82× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 163 | $96.05 | 2.6% | 54 | 56.9 | 0.95× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 151 | $88.83 | 2.6% | 50 | 61.5 | 0.81× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 147 | $86.46 | 2.6% | 75 | 63.2 | 1.19× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 116 | $68.38 | 2.6% | 68 | 79.9 | 0.85× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 109 | $63.99 | 2.6% | 94 | 85.4 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $54.52 | 2.6% | 91 | 100.2 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Afterimage (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-afterimage-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $47.03 | 8.1% | 127 | 353.6 | 0.36× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $41.80 | 8.1% | 563 | 397.9 | 1.41× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $33.97 | 8.1% | 739 | 489.7 | 1.51× |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $33.00 | 8.1% | 620 | 504.0 | 1.23× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $12.56 | 3.0% | 392 | 492.5 | 0.80× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Rose Iron (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-rose-iron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $10.64 | 3.0% | 572 | 581.4 | 0.98× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 14.4% | $4.63 | 3.0% | 1,290 | 1336.1 | 0.97× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 14.7% | $4.06 | 2.7% | 1,345 | 1363.6 | 0.99× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $3.97 | 2.7% | 1,351 | 1394.5 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 16.4% | $3.91 | 2.9% | 1,495 | 1518.8 | 0.98× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/630065`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) [DoRo](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/DoRo) $25.00 $783 31.32x 2026-11-09 19:26 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) [𝕂𝕒𝕞𝕦𝕣](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%82%F0%9D%95%92%F0%9D%95%9E%F0%9D%95%A6%F0%9D%95%A3) $25.00 $783 31.32x 2026-11-09 19:19 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) [qnskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/qnskins.army) $25.00 $783 31.32x 2026-11-05 19:37 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 $728 29.13x 2026-11-11 01:47 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=630065)

[AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) [Kazik67 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Kazik67%20skins.army) $25.00 $3.91 0.16x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) [nafurany oskarek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/nafurany%20oskarek) $25.00 $4.63 0.19x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC

[Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-well-worn) Hidden $25.00 $12.56 0.50x 2026-11-11 19:01 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Rose Iron (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-rose-iron-minimal-wear) [matitati17 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/matitati17%20skins.army) $25.00 $10.64 0.43x 2026-11-11 19:01 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) [Yrath](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Yrath) $25.00 $63.99 2.56x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) [SPENISON](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SPENISON) $25.00 $4.63 0.19x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) [Majtkomat](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Majtkomat) $25.00 $3.97 0.16x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC

[AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) [PIMP](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/PIMP) $25.00 $41.80 1.67x 2026-11-11 18:55 UTC

[USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 $4.06 0.16x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC

[AWP | Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.00 $33.00 1.32x 2026-11-11 18:44 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 05:19 UTC | $25.00 | 88.99% | 28 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $25.00 | 89.07% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 9.9% mil spec 0.7% covert knife 0.4% red 0.5% gold 0.9% classified 31.8% #d32ee6 18.8% #8847ff 6.3% Mythical 14.4% restricted 16.4% best hit $783 (31.32x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.99 on average: an expected loss of $11.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt