---
title: "Bandura case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Bandura ($10.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.00% from 27 items with odds, observed 88.71% over 6,126 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630111
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Bandura](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630111)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Bandura

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630111?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630111?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630111) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630111?window=all)

Price · $10.00

Advertised RTP · 89.00% · EV $8.90 from 27 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.71% · 6,126 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 69.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.48% ±9.57 870 openings

7 days · 88.79% ±4.00 4,969 openings

30 days · 88.71% ±3.61 6,126 openings

since tracking started · 88.71% ±3.61 6,126 openings

80.5% 90.5% 100.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630111?window=24h) | 870 | 90.48% ±9.57 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630111?window=7d) | 4,969 | 88.79% ±4.00 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630111) | 6,126 | 88.71% ±3.61 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630111?window=all) | 6,126 | 88.71% ±3.61 | −0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,140 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,083 | $212 | 1.1% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.36× |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-field-tested) | 1 in 2,083 | $212 | 1.1% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.36× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 1,961 | $201 | 1.1% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.28× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 1,220 | $124 | 1.1% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.19× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 1,075 | $109 | 1.1% | 6 | 5.7 | 1.05× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 147 | $63.22 | 4.8% | 48 | 41.9 | 1.15× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $54.01 | 4.8% | 45 | 49.0 | 0.92× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $51.23 | 4.8% | 38 | 51.7 | 0.74× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $49.60 | 4.8% | 34 | 53.4 | 0.64× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $39.15 | 4.8% | 72 | 67.7 | 1.06× |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-minimal-wear) | 1 in 76 | $32.86 | 4.8% | 80 | 80.6 | 0.99× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $28.47 | 4.8% | 97 | 93.0 | 1.04× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $24.49 | 4.8% | 109 | 108.1 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $19.58 | 5.6% | 177 | 156.8 | 1.13× |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-battle-scarred) | 1 in 34 | $17.23 | 5.6% | 193 | 178.2 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Woodsman (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-woodsman-battle-scarred) | 1 in 34 | $16.99 | 5.6% | 154 | 180.7 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-hydro-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $12.57 | 5.6% | 241 | 244.2 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $11.48 | 5.6% | 259 | 267.4 | 0.97× |
| [Nova \| Antique (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $10.88 | 5.6% | 303 | 282.2 | 1.07× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $8.40 | 1.4% | 86 | 92.1 | 0.93× |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 60 | $7.60 | 1.4% | 109 | 101.8 | 1.07× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $6.30 | 1.4% | 126 | 122.8 | 1.03× |
| [M4A1-S \| Briefing (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $4.68 | 1.4% | 157 | 165.3 | 0.95× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $3.76 | 1.4% | 196 | 205.8 | 0.95× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-well-worn) | 16.7% | $2.59 | 4.9% | 1,028 | 1027.3 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 20.2% | $2.15 | 4.9% | 1,218 | 1237.5 | 0.98× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 21.4% | $2.08 | 5.0% | 1,346 | 1312.9 | 1.03× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/630111`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=630111)

[MAC-10 | Toybox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-battle-scarred) [ΩM3GA | Senior Koras](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%CE%A9M3GA%20%7C%20Senior%20Koras) $10.00 $17.23 1.72x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) [sepko](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/sepko) $10.00 $2.15 0.22x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) [GERARD](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/GERARD) $10.00 $2.15 0.22x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC

[Nova | Antique (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-minimal-wear) [hol3k](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/hol3k) $10.00 $10.88 1.09x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) [kick.com/krycholewa (rozdaje$)](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kick.com%2Fkrycholewa%20%28rozdaje%24%29) $10.00 $51.23 5.12x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[StatTrak™ P2000 | Woodsman (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-woodsman-battle-scarred) [Łysy SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%C5%81ysy%20SKINS) $10.00 $16.99 1.70x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) [sasza feszczuk skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/sasza%20feszczuk%20skins.army) $10.00 $2.15 0.22x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) [Grubiii](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Grubiii) $10.00 $2.15 0.22x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[USP-S | Caiman (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-minimal-wear) [Jabari Tahir♛ -C13\_r|\_|ch4M-](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Jabari%20Tahir%E2%99%9B%20-C13_r%7C_%7Cch4M-) $10.00 $32.86 3.29x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) [gołąb](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/go%C5%82%C4%85b) $10.00 $2.15 0.22x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $10.00 | 89.00% | 27 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Immortal 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% epic 0.1% covert 1.7% classified 13.0% mil spec 2.0% pink 5.9% #d32ee6 2.9% #8847ff 19.7% uncommon 4.0% violet 1.5% industrial 1.7% blue 2.7% restricted 23.5% Rare 21.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.00 on average: an expected loss of $11.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt