---
title: "Pevor case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Pevor ($35.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.91% from 36 items with odds, observed 80.08% over 1,250 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630117
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Pevor](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630117)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Pevor

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630117?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630117?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630117) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630117?window=all)

Price · $35.00

Advertised RTP · 88.91% · EV $31.12 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.08% · 1,250 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 64.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 75.05% ±29.33 241 openings

7 days · 80.74% ±14.21 991 openings

30 days · 80.08% ±12.64 1,250 openings

since tracking started · 80.08% ±12.64 1,250 openings

45.0% 75.0% 105.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630117?window=24h) | 241 | 75.05% ±29.3 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630117?window=7d) | 991 | 80.74% ±14.2 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630117) | 1,250 | 80.08% ±12.6 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/630117?window=all) | 1,250 | 80.08% ±12.6 | −1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,253 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,439 | $2,650 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 893 | $977 | 3.5% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 493 | $538 | 3.5% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 420 | $458 | 3.5% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 1 in 391 | $425 | 3.5% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 352 | $338 | 3.1% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 313 | $301 | 3.1% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 238 | $229 | 3.1% | 4 | 5.3 | 0.76× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 174 | $167 | 3.1% | 10 | 7.2 | 1.39× |
| [MP9 \| Stained Glass (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 141 | $135 | 3.1% | 9 | 8.9 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-battle-scarred) | 1 in 139 | $134 | 3.1% | 12 | 9.0 | 1.33× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 135 | $130 | 3.1% | 11 | 9.3 | 1.19× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 110 | $105 | 3.1% | 8 | 11.4 | 0.70× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 96 | $92.06 | 3.1% | 12 | 13.1 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 93 | $89.41 | 3.1% | 10 | 13.4 | 0.74× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-well-worn) | 1 in 90 | $86.02 | 3.1% | 16 | 14.0 | 1.15× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $56.06 | 4.8% | 31 | 33.3 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $53.22 | 4.8% | 20 | 35.0 | 0.57× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $48.85 | 4.8% | 39 | 38.2 | 1.02× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $44.25 | 4.8% | 26 | 42.2 | 0.62× |
| [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $43.96 | 4.8% | 31 | 42.4 | 0.73× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $42.91 | 4.8% | 45 | 43.5 | 1.04× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $37.39 | 4.8% | 50 | 49.9 | 1.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $35.06 | 4.8% | 34 | 53.2 | 0.64× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 146 | $32.88 | 0.7% | 59 | 8.6 | 6.88× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 82 | $18.54 | 0.7% | 16 | 15.2 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-well-worn) | 1 in 59 | $13.22 | 0.7% | 16 | 21.3 | 0.75× |
| [P2000 \| Red FragCam (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $12.74 | 0.7% | 23 | 22.1 | 1.04× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $11.88 | 0.7% | 26 | 23.7 | 1.10× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-well-worn) | 1 in 41 | $9.17 | 0.7% | 19 | 30.7 | 0.62× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Devourer (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-devourer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $7.79 | 0.7% | 40 | 36.2 | 1.11× |
| [MP9 \| Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $5.20 | 0.7% | 43 | 54.2 | 0.79× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10 | $3.61 | 1.1% | 146 | 121.5 | 1.20× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-field-tested) | 10.9% | $3.21 | 1.1% | 168 | 136.6 | 1.23× |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-minimal-wear) | 12.4% | $2.82 | 1.1% | 158 | 155.5 | 1.02× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-factory-new) | 14.4% | $2.49 | 1.1% | 164 | 179.9 | 0.91× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/630117`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $35.00 $590 16.85x 2026-11-10 12:17 UTC

[Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $35.00 $590 16.85x 2026-11-08 18:08 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=630117)

[AWP | Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) Hidden $35.00 $3.61 0.10x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC

[M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-minimal-wear) Hidden $35.00 $2.82 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-factory-new) Hidden $35.00 $2.49 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC

[M4A1-S | Control Panel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-minimal-wear) [type shittttt](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/type%20shittttt) $35.00 $35.06 1.00x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC

[★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-field-tested) Hidden $35.00 $56.06 1.60x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-minimal-wear) [Psemek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Psemek) $35.00 $2.82 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-factory-new) Hidden $35.00 $2.49 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[M4A1-S | Control Panel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-minimal-wear) [Psemek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Psemek) $35.00 $35.06 1.00x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[AK-47 | Jaguar (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) Hidden $35.00 $89.41 2.55x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[Galil AR | CAUTION! (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-field-tested) [Psemek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Psemek) $35.00 $43.96 1.26x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 05:19 UTC | $35.00 | 88.91% | 36 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $35.00 | 88.83% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% classified 14.2% restricted 10.3% covert 12.7% sunny 0.3% pink 4.0% red 0.9% #eb4b4b 1.0% extraordinary 2.7% Ancient 4.0% Mythical 13.1% Mil Spec Grade 1.8% #8847ff 24.1% Legendary 10.9% best hit $590 (16.85x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.91 on average: an expected loss of $11.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt