---
title: "Tuszol case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Tuszol ($18.70) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.82% from 40 items with odds, observed 91.54% over 3,158 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/644530
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:54Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Tuszol](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/644530)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Tuszol

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/644530?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/644530?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/644530) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/644530?window=all)

Price · $18.70

Advertised RTP · 88.82% · EV $16.61 from 40 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.54% · 3,158 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 102.82% ±13.73 516 openings

7 days · 91.13% ±6.13 2,590 openings

30 days · 91.54% ±5.55 3,158 openings

since tracking started · 91.54% ±5.55 3,158 openings

84.5% 100.7% 117.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/644530?window=24h) | 516 | 102.82% ±13.7 | +2.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/644530?window=7d) | 2,590 | 91.13% ±6.13 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/644530) | 3,158 | 91.54% ±5.55 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/644530?window=all) | 3,158 | 91.54% ±5.55 | +1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,171 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 2,941 | $562 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.93× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 2,703 | $510 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,439 | $460 | 1.1% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.54× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,667 | $314 | 1.1% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) | 1 in 1,124 | $213 | 1.1% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,099 | $208 | 1.1% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.73× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 990 | $187 | 1.1% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 382 | $138 | 2.2% | 10 | 8.3 | 1.20× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 368 | $133 | 2.2% | 11 | 8.6 | 1.28× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 331 | $120 | 2.2% | 9 | 9.6 | 0.94× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 324 | $117 | 2.2% | 11 | 9.8 | 1.12× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 292 | $106 | 2.2% | 17 | 10.8 | 1.57× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-battle-scarred) | 1 in 279 | $101 | 2.2% | 11 | 11.4 | 0.97× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 265 | $95.77 | 2.2% | 22 | 12.0 | 1.84× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 247 | $89.53 | 2.2% | 12 | 12.8 | 0.93× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 236 | $85.36 | 2.2% | 18 | 13.4 | 1.34× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 1 in 172 | $62.46 | 2.2% | 15 | 18.4 | 0.82× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 162 | $58.75 | 2.2% | 17 | 19.6 | 0.87× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 158 | $57.12 | 2.2% | 26 | 20.1 | 1.29× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 149 | $54.15 | 2.2% | 28 | 21.2 | 1.32× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $51.88 | 2.2% | 18 | 22.1 | 0.81× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 141 | $51.05 | 2.2% | 22 | 22.5 | 0.98× |
| [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 132 | $47.73 | 2.2% | 21 | 24.1 | 0.87× |
| [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $39.02 | 2.2% | 27 | 29.5 | 0.92× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 51 | $35.15 | 4.1% | 69 | 62.1 | 1.11× |
| [G3SG1 \| Flux (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $35.05 | 4.1% | 58 | 62.3 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 51 | $34.91 | 4.1% | 51 | 62.6 | 0.82× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $32.84 | 4.1% | 65 | 66.5 | 0.98× |
| [AUG \| Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $28.83 | 4.1% | 76 | 75.8 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 35 | $23.89 | 4.1% | 90 | 91.4 | 0.98× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $23.08 | 4.1% | 108 | 94.6 | 1.14× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $20.21 | 4.1% | 101 | 108.1 | 0.93× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $10.93 | 3.2% | 146 | 152.3 | 0.96× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $10.88 | 3.2% | 163 | 153.0 | 1.07× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $8.40 | 3.2% | 170 | 198.2 | 0.86× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $7.33 | 3.2% | 273 | 227.1 | 1.20× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $6.38 | 2.3% | 172 | 187.6 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $4.31 | 2.3% | 289 | 277.7 | 1.04× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-well-worn) | 16.2% | $2.33 | 2.3% | 511 | 513.8 | 0.99× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-battle-scarred) | 17.3% | $2.22 | 2.3% | 523 | 549.3 | 0.95× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/644530`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $18.70 $562 30.06x 2026-11-08 17:57 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) [jendrula](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/jendrula) $18.70 $510 27.29x 2026-11-10 19:22 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=644530)

[FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) Hidden $18.70 $7.33 0.39x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC

[SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) [szeligator1](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/szeligator1) $18.70 $20.21 1.08x 2026-11-11 13:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Steel Delta (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-well-worn) [Not\_AnoN](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Not_AnoN) $18.70 $2.33 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) [Guanoqthemorisskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Guanoqthemorisskins.army) $18.70 $10.88 0.58x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) Hidden $18.70 $4.31 0.23x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[AK-47 | Steel Delta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-battle-scarred) [SpizganyBanan](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SpizganyBanan) $18.70 $2.22 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC

[FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) Hidden $18.70 $7.33 0.39x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[AK-47 | Steel Delta (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-well-worn) [Deathstrike](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Deathstrike) $18.70 $2.33 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[AK-47 | Steel Delta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.70 $2.22 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

[SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) [JOHN CENA skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/JOHN%20CENA%20skins.army) $18.70 $20.21 1.08x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $18.70 | 88.82% | 40 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 5.4% sunny 0.0% Ancient 0.1% extraordinary 0.3% classified 24.9% Covert 0.7% restricted 1.7% red 2.0% Classified 2.1% Restricted 2.4% Mythical 4.8% violet 6.3% pink 7.2% mil spec 8.8% blue 33.5% best hit $562 (30.06x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.82 on average: an expected loss of $11.18 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt