---
title: "Robo case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Robo ($15.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.73% from 31 items with odds, observed 82.38% over 3,105 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/646679
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:46Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Robo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/646679)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Robo

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/646679?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/646679?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/646679) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/646679?window=all)

Price · $15.00

Advertised RTP · 86.73% · EV $13.01 from 31 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 82.38% · 3,105 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 65.12% ±15.85 314 openings

7 days · 81.38% ±5.54 2,652 openings

30 days · 82.38% ±5.15 3,105 openings

since tracking started · 82.38% ±5.15 3,105 openings

48.5% 68.3% 88.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/646679?window=24h) | 314 | 65.12% ±15.8 | −2.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/646679?window=7d) | 2,652 | 81.38% ±5.54 | −1.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/646679) | 3,105 | 82.38% ±5.15 | −1.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/646679?window=all) | 3,105 | 82.38% ±5.15 | −1.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,114 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,538 | $325 | 1.6% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 971 | $206 | 1.6% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 926 | $196 | 1.6% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.59× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 699 | $149 | 1.6% | 5 | 4.5 | 1.12× |
| [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 535 | $126 | 1.8% | 0 | 5.8 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-well-worn) | 1 in 532 | $125 | 1.8% | 7 | 5.9 | 1.20× |
| [MP9 \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 515 | $121 | 1.8% | 3 | 6.0 | 0.50× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 513 | $121 | 1.8% | 9 | 6.1 | 1.48× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 488 | $115 | 1.8% | 7 | 6.4 | 1.10× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 469 | $110 | 1.8% | 6 | 6.6 | 0.90× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 446 | $105 | 1.8% | 4 | 7.0 | 0.57× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 389 | $91.52 | 1.8% | 6 | 8.0 | 0.75× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-factory-new) | 1 in 337 | $79.28 | 1.8% | 5 | 9.2 | 0.54× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 334 | $78.60 | 1.8% | 10 | 9.3 | 1.07× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 314 | $74.01 | 1.8% | 18 | 9.9 | 1.82× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Fade (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-fade-well-worn) | 1 in 245 | $57.64 | 1.8% | 16 | 12.7 | 1.26× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 215 | $50.50 | 1.8% | 13 | 14.5 | 0.90× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 208 | $49.04 | 1.8% | 11 | 14.9 | 0.74× |
| [P250 \| Undertow (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-factory-new) | 1 in 185 | $43.53 | 1.8% | 7 | 16.8 | 0.42× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 181 | $42.57 | 1.8% | 14 | 17.2 | 0.81× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $39.82 | 1.8% | 14 | 18.4 | 0.76× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 46 | $28.28 | 4.7% | 49 | 67.9 | 0.72× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $21.92 | 4.7% | 93 | 87.6 | 1.06× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 35 | $21.66 | 4.7% | 99 | 88.7 | 1.12× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $20.50 | 4.7% | 80 | 93.7 | 0.85× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $19.26 | 4.7% | 111 | 99.7 | 1.11× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $15.03 | 4.7% | 117 | 127.8 | 0.92× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $11.09 | 8.5% | 253 | 308.9 | 0.82× |
| [G3SG1 \| Flux (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-well-worn) | 14.5% | $7.61 | 8.5% | 457 | 450.1 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 23.2% | $4.75 | 8.5% | 743 | 721.1 | 1.03× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 28.3% | $4.10 | 8.9% | 954 | 880.6 | 1.08× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/646679`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=646679)

[AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) [sasza feszczuk skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/sasza%20feszczuk%20skins.army) $15.00 $4.10 0.27x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) [Grubiii](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Grubiii) $15.00 $4.10 0.27x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) [Jabari Tahir♛ -C13\_r|\_|ch4M-](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Jabari%20Tahir%E2%99%9B%20-C13_r%7C_%7Cch4M-) $15.00 $4.10 0.27x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) [gołąb](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/go%C5%82%C4%85b) $15.00 $4.75 0.32x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-well-worn) Hidden $15.00 $7.61 0.51x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC

[G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-well-worn) Hidden $15.00 $7.61 0.51x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) [kick.com/RadmeR77](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kick.com%2FRadmeR77) $15.00 $19.26 1.28x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC

[G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-well-worn) Hidden $15.00 $7.61 0.51x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC

[AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) Hidden $15.00 $4.10 0.27x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC

[AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) [kick.com/RadmeR77](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kick.com%2FRadmeR77) $15.00 $4.10 0.27x 2026-11-11 18:17 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 6 Nov, 19:45 UTC | $15.00 | 86.73% | 31 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $15.00 | 86.84% | 31 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 4.2% classified 56.9% restricted 0.2% mil spec 2.4% #eb4b4b 0.2% extraordinary 0.2% pink 2.8% Legendary 33.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.73 on average: an expected loss of $13.27 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt