---
title: "Rush B case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Rush B ($35.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 85.15% from 35 items with odds, observed 89.54% over 1,187 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/647204
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:01Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Rush B](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/647204)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Rush B

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/647204?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/647204?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/647204) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/647204?window=all)

Price · $35.00

Advertised RTP · 85.15% · EV $29.80 from 35 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.54% · 1,187 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 77.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 83.30% ±12.46 471 openings

7 days · 88.60% ±8.45 1,025 openings

30 days · 89.54% ±7.85 1,187 openings

since tracking started · 89.54% ±7.85 1,187 openings

70.0% 84.0% 98.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/647204?window=24h) | 471 | 83.30% ±12.5 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/647204?window=7d) | 1,025 | 88.60% ±8.45 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/647204) | 1,187 | 89.54% ±7.85 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/647204?window=all) | 1,187 | 89.54% ±7.85 | +1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,187 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,226 | $1,720 | 1.8% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-modern-hunter-factory-new) | 1 in 952 | $514 | 1.8% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.80× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-well-worn) | 1 in 541 | $291 | 1.8% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 465 | $251 | 1.8% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× |
| [MAC-10 \| Hot Snakes (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-hot-snakes-field-tested) | 1 in 450 | $244 | 1.8% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.76× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Duelist (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-well-worn) | 1 in 549 | $223 | 1.4% | 7 | 2.2 | 3.24× |
| [P90 \| Run and Hide (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-run-and-hide-factory-new) | 1 in 529 | $214 | 1.4% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $203 | 1.4% | 6 | 2.4 | 2.53× |
| [MP9 \| Stained Glass (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 388 | $157 | 1.4% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.31× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 368 | $149 | 1.4% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.24× |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 319 | $130 | 1.4% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.08× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 311 | $126 | 1.4% | 6 | 3.8 | 1.57× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 299 | $121 | 1.4% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.26× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-battle-scarred) | 1 in 291 | $118 | 1.4% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.22× |
| [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-field-tested) | 1 in 269 | $109 | 1.4% | 4 | 4.4 | 0.91× |
| [MP7 \| Teal Blossom (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-teal-blossom-factory-new) | 1 in 268 | $109 | 1.4% | 3 | 4.4 | 0.68× |
| [UMP-45 \| Minotaur's Labyrinth (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-minotaurs-labyrinth-factory-new) | 1 in 255 | $103 | 1.4% | 1 | 4.7 | 0.21× |
| [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 239 | $96.99 | 1.4% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.81× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 234 | $94.75 | 1.4% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 225 | $91.25 | 1.4% | 7 | 5.3 | 1.33× |
| [UMP-45 \| Day Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-day-lily-minimal-wear) | 1 in 223 | $90.24 | 1.4% | 6 | 5.3 | 1.13× |
| [UMP-45 \| Crime Scene (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-field-tested) | 1 in 219 | $88.66 | 1.4% | 10 | 5.4 | 1.84× |
| [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-factory-new) | 1 in 199 | $80.49 | 1.4% | 8 | 6.0 | 1.34× |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-factory-new) | 1 in 177 | $71.60 | 1.4% | 5 | 6.7 | 0.74× |
| [MP9 \| Dark Age (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dark-age-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $66.98 | 4.4% | 24 | 23.2 | 1.04× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $64.25 | 4.4% | 22 | 24.2 | 0.91× |
| [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $60.92 | 4.4% | 20 | 25.5 | 0.78× |
| [MAC-10 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $55.51 | 4.4% | 36 | 28.0 | 1.29× |
| [MAC-10 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $45.91 | 4.4% | 39 | 33.8 | 1.15× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $40.00 | 4.4% | 40 | 38.8 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $27.57 | 7.7% | 98 | 99.0 | 0.99× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 12.8% | $17.96 | 7.7% | 149 | 152.0 | 0.98× |
| [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-factory-new) | 13.0% | $17.73 | 7.7% | 125 | 154.0 | 0.81× |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) | 13.8% | $16.61 | 7.7% | 183 | 164.4 | 1.11× |
| [P90 \| Blind Spot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-field-tested) | 29.8% | $7.91 | 7.9% | 353 | 354.2 | 1.00× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/647204`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $35.00 $1,720 49.13x 2026-11-07 22:28 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-modern-hunter-factory-new) [Czapa 1 lvl Faceit](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Czapa%201%20lvl%20Faceit) $35.00 $514 14.70x 2026-11-03 20:49 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=647204)

[MP9 | Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) Hidden $35.00 $16.61 0.47x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[Tec-9 | Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) Hidden $35.00 $17.96 0.51x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[P90 | Blind Spot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-field-tested) [7\\](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/7%5C) $35.00 $7.91 0.23x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[Tec-9 | Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) Hidden $35.00 $17.96 0.51x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[MP9 | Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) [Psemek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Psemek) $35.00 $16.61 0.47x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[P90 | Blind Spot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-field-tested) Hidden $35.00 $7.91 0.23x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) [Psemek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Psemek) $35.00 $40.00 1.14x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[MP9 | Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) Hidden $35.00 $16.61 0.47x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) [Psemek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Psemek) $35.00 $126 3.60x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[P90 | Blind Spot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-field-tested) Hidden $35.00 $7.91 0.23x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $35.00 | 85.15% | 35 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 41.9% mil spec 17.5% extraordinary 0.5% classified 16.8% covert 1.2% #4b69ff 2.8% #8847ff 2.1% Ancient 3.3% violet 13.8% best hit $1,720 (49.13x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.15 on average: an expected loss of $14.85 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt