---
title: "Maze case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Maze ($80.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.85% from 35 items with odds, observed 83.59% over 1,334 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761243
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Maze](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761243)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Maze

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761243?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761243?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761243) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761243?window=all)

Price · $80.00

Advertised RTP · 88.85% · EV $71.08 from 35 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 83.59% · 1,334 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 63.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 62.70% ±36.73 123 openings

7 days · 76.01% ±12.61 1,030 openings

30 days · 83.59% ±11.08 1,334 openings

since tracking started · 83.59% ±11.08 1,334 openings

25.5% 62.7% 100.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761243?window=24h) | 123 | 62.70% ±36.7 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761243?window=7d) | 1,030 | 76.01% ±12.6 | −2.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761243) | 1,334 | 83.59% ±11.1 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761243?window=all) | 1,334 | 83.59% ±11.1 | −1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,336 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,429 | $3,547 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 658 | $1,624 | 3.5% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 446 | $1,102 | 3.5% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 415 | $1,027 | 3.5% | 1 | 3.2 | 0.31× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 357 | $883 | 3.5% | 1 | 3.7 | 0.27× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 340 | $668 | 2.8% | 1 | 3.9 | 0.25× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 330 | $648 | 2.8% | 2 | 4.0 | 0.49× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 274 | $538 | 2.8% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.82× |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 260 | $511 | 2.8% | 6 | 5.1 | 1.17× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 185 | $364 | 2.8% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.11× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) | 1 in 179 | $351 | 2.8% | 7 | 7.5 | 0.94× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) | 1 in 172 | $337 | 2.8% | 11 | 7.8 | 1.41× |
| [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-field-tested) | 1 in 155 | $304 | 2.8% | 9 | 8.6 | 1.04× |
| [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 154 | $302 | 2.8% | 10 | 8.7 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 131 | $258 | 2.8% | 8 | 10.2 | 0.79× |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-well-worn) | 1 in 127 | $250 | 2.8% | 7 | 10.5 | 0.67× |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $225 | 2.8% | 13 | 11.7 | 1.11× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $185 | 2.8% | 11 | 14.2 | 0.77× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 86 | $169 | 2.8% | 15 | 15.5 | 0.97× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 48 | $148 | 4.4% | 14 | 27.9 | 0.50× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $129 | 4.4% | 25 | 32.0 | 0.78× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-battle-scarred) | 1 in 37 | $115 | 4.4% | 31 | 35.9 | 0.86× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Night Stripe (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-night-stripe-well-worn) | 1 in 35 | $109 | 4.4% | 41 | 38.1 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $107 | 4.4% | 33 | 38.8 | 0.85× |
| [AWP \| Snake Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-snake-camo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $105 | 4.4% | 44 | 39.5 | 1.11× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $94.33 | 4.4% | 40 | 43.9 | 0.91× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $92.62 | 4.4% | 40 | 44.7 | 0.89× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $81.18 | 4.4% | 46 | 51.0 | 0.90× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 134 | $64.56 | 0.7% | 15 | 10.0 | 1.50× |
| [Sticker \| MOUZ (Gold) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mouz-gold-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 76 | $36.94 | 0.7% | 21 | 17.5 | 1.20× |
| ['Blueberries' Buckshot \| NSWC SEAL agent · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/blueberries-buckshot-nswc-seal) | 1 in 25 | $12.07 | 0.7% | 31 | 53.5 | 0.58× |
| [3rd Commando Company \| KSK agent · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/3rd-commando-company-ksk) | 1 in 24 | $11.45 | 0.7% | 48 | 56.4 | 0.85× |
| ['The Doctor' Romanov \| Sabre agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-doctor-romanov-sabre) | 1 in 22 | $10.56 | 0.7% | 46 | 61.1 | 0.75× |
| [1st Lieutenant Farlow \| SWAT agent · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/1st-lieutenant-farlow-swat) | 1 in 17 | $8.26 | 0.7% | 55 | 78.2 | 0.70× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 43.0% | $0.98 | 0.6% | 689 | 574.7 | 1.20× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/761243`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) Hidden $80.00 $1,884 23.55x 2026-11-06 19:20 UTC

[AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) [Swinkaaa skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Swinkaaa%20skins.army) $80.00 $1,293 16.16x 2026-11-04 13:50 UTC

[AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) Hidden $80.00 $1,293 16.16x 2026-11-03 19:54 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) [ku](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ku) $80.00 $1,188 14.85x 2026-11-04 18:45 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $80.00 $1,074 13.43x 2026-11-03 09:48 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $80.00 $790 9.87x 2026-11-06 22:54 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) [MxdyPeek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/MxdyPeek) $80.00 $777 9.71x 2026-11-03 14:30 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $80.00 $777 9.71x 2026-11-02 23:14 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $80.00 $653 8.17x 2026-11-07 23:28 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) [kRaSNAL](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kRaSNAL) $80.00 $653 8.17x 2026-11-06 22:24 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=761243)

[★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-field-tested) Hidden $80.00 $81.18 1.01x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) [Andrew](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Andrew) $80.00 $148 1.85x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC

['The Doctor' Romanov | Sabre agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-doctor-romanov-sabre) Hidden $80.00 $10.56 0.13x 2026-11-11 16:36 UTC

[M4A1-S | Master Piece (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-battle-scarred) [Swinkaaa skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Swinkaaa%20skins.army) $80.00 $92.62 1.16x 2026-11-11 16:36 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) Hidden $80.00 $0.98 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:31 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) [Diabeuu](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Diabeuu) $80.00 $0.98 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:31 UTC

[AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) Hidden $80.00 $107 1.34x 2026-11-11 16:30 UTC

['The Doctor' Romanov | Sabre agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-doctor-romanov-sabre) [Diabeuu](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Diabeuu) $80.00 $10.56 0.13x 2026-11-11 16:30 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) Hidden $80.00 $0.98 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:30 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) Hidden $80.00 $0.98 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 05:19 UTC | $80.00 | 88.85% | 35 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $80.00 | 88.97% | 35 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed high 0.1% covert 12.3% sunny 0.3% legendary 0.3% gold 0.3% restricted 44.9% classified 6.8% red 8.1% pink 7.0% covert knife 3.6% mil spec 3.0% #ffd700 3.8% #eb4b4b 1.3% violet 4.0% blue 4.2% best hit $1,884 (23.55x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.85 on average: an expected loss of $11.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt