---
title: "Eagle case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Eagle ($750.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.63% from 35 items with odds, observed 102.33% over 63 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761279
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Eagle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761279)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Eagle

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761279?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761279?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761279) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761279?window=all)

Price · $750.00

Advertised RTP · 86.63% · EV $649.71 from 35 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 102.33% · 63 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 3 openings · below min

7 days · 51 openings · below min

30 days · 63 openings · below min

since tracking started · 63 openings · below min

-0.5% 141.3% 283.0%

**Small sample.** 63 openings and 6.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761279?window=24h) | 3 | 82.86% ±199.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761279?window=7d) | 51 | 116.52% ±48.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761279) | 63 | 102.33% ±43.5 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761279?window=all) | 63 | 102.33% ±43.5 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 63 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 549 | $13.6K | 3.8% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) | 1 in 424 | $10.5K | 3.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 418 | $10.4K | 3.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 310 | $7,682 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 302 | $7,502 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 86 | $3,786 | 6.8% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [Negev \| Mjölnir (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $3,045 | 6.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $2,432 | 6.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.87× |
| [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 51 | $2,247 | 6.8% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.61× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $1,988 | 6.8% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.71× |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $1,701 | 6.8% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.22× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $1,610 | 4.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $1,492 | 4.7% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 46 | $1,414 | 4.7% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.47× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $1,410 | 4.7% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.20× |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $1,081 | 4.7% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.12× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $881 | 4.7% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.92× |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) | 1 in 155 | $677 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 131 | $571 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-factory-new) | 1 in 118 | $517 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 106 | $462 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $342 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $337 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $336 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $277 | 0.7% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $193 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 37 | $160 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.58× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $152 | 0.7% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.65× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $126 | 0.7% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.38× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $119 | 0.7% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.29× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $88.24 | 0.7% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.96× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $85.61 | 0.6% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.44× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $83.27 | 0.7% | 0 | 3.3 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Brass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-battle-scarred) | 15.6% | $24.12 | 0.6% | 10 | 9.8 | 1.02× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 19.0% | $20.88 | 0.6% | 11 | 12.0 | 0.92× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/761279`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) [JEZUS1337](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/JEZUS1337) $750 $13.6K 18.19x 2026-11-07 12:46 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) Hidden $750 $3,786 5.05x 2026-11-05 18:52 UTC

[MP9 | Wild Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-field-tested) Hidden $750 $2,432 3.24x 2026-11-06 16:31 UTC

[Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2015) [KICK/YT: Prz3mqu](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KICK%2FYT%3A%20Prz3mqu) $750 $2,247 3.00x 2026-11-09 16:44 UTC

[Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2015) Hidden $750 $2,247 3.00x 2026-11-04 20:56 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) Hidden $750 $1,988 2.65x 2026-11-09 12:57 UTC

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) [ku](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ku) $750 $1,701 2.27x 2026-11-05 18:52 UTC

[AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) [ku](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ku) $750 $1,701 2.27x 2026-11-05 18:36 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-factory-new) [boltz](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/boltz) $750 $1,610 2.15x 2026-11-07 12:51 UTC

[M4A4 | Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) [KIWI77](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KIWI77) $750 $1,492 1.99x 2026-11-04 14:03 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=761279)

[★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $750 $336 0.45x 2026-11-11 15:33 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) Hidden $750 $1,410 1.88x 2026-11-11 15:33 UTC

[AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) [mrouZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/mrouZ) $750 $119 0.16x 2026-11-11 15:33 UTC

[M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) Hidden $750 $20.88 0.03x 2026-11-10 03:16 UTC

[M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) [cerolziN](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/cerolziN) $750 $677 0.90x 2026-11-10 03:16 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) Hidden $750 $1,410 1.88x 2026-11-09 16:44 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Night Heist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-factory-new) Hidden $750 $85.61 0.11x 2026-11-09 16:44 UTC

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) Hidden $750 $1,081 1.44x 2026-11-09 16:44 UTC

[Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2015) [KICK/YT: Prz3mqu](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KICK%2FYT%3A%20Prz3mqu) $750 $2,247 3.00x 2026-11-09 16:44 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-minimal-wear) Hidden $750 $881 1.17x 2026-11-09 12:57 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $750 | 86.63% | 35 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 19.5% legendary 3.6% extraordinary 14.0% classified 32.3% remarkable 2.0% Covert 2.2% gold 2.0% #ffd700 0.9% restricted 19.1% mil spec 4.4% best hit $13.6K (18.19x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.63 on average: an expected loss of $13.37 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt