---
title: "Jurassic case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Jurassic ($15.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.84% from 36 items with odds, observed 74.60% over 2,020 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761300
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:41Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Jurassic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761300)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Jurassic

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761300?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761300?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761300) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761300?window=all)

Price · $15.00

Advertised RTP · 88.84% · EV $13.33 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 74.60% · 2,020 openings, odds method

Variance · 13.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 28 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 108.12% ±49.94 220 openings

7 days · 77.94% ±19.06 1,612 openings

30 days · 74.60% ±17.05 2,020 openings

since tracking started · 74.60% ±17.05 2,020 openings

57.0% 107.7% 158.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761300?window=24h) | 220 | 108.12% ±49.9 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761300?window=7d) | 1,612 | 77.94% ±19.1 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761300) | 2,020 | 74.60% ±17.0 | −1.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/761300?window=all) | 2,020 | 74.60% ±17.0 | −1.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,024 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) | 1 in 2,083 | $1,148 | 4.1% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) | 1 in 1,724 | $947 | 4.1% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 1,220 | $665 | 4.1% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-well-worn) | 1 in 1,190 | $650 | 4.1% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,064 | $577 | 4.1% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 952 | $520 | 4.1% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) | 1 in 694 | $378 | 4.1% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.34× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-field-tested) | 1 in 342 | $187 | 4.1% | 10 | 5.9 | 1.69× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 306 | $167 | 4.1% | 7 | 6.6 | 1.06× |
| [M4A4 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 481 | $129 | 2.0% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.19× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 446 | $120 | 2.0% | 5 | 4.5 | 1.10× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 435 | $117 | 2.0% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.43× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 270 | $72.57 | 2.0% | 6 | 7.5 | 0.80× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 243 | $65.25 | 2.0% | 9 | 8.3 | 1.08× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 215 | $57.74 | 2.0% | 14 | 9.4 | 1.48× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 213 | $57.32 | 2.0% | 7 | 9.5 | 0.74× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-forest-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 211 | $56.80 | 2.0% | 7 | 9.6 | 0.73× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 204 | $54.73 | 2.0% | 8 | 9.9 | 0.81× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 191 | $51.26 | 2.0% | 11 | 10.6 | 1.04× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 182 | $48.90 | 2.0% | 13 | 11.1 | 1.17× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 177 | $47.67 | 2.0% | 7 | 11.4 | 0.61× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Arboreal (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-arboreal-well-worn) | 1 in 162 | $43.48 | 2.0% | 8 | 12.5 | 0.64× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 124 | $33.43 | 2.0% | 19 | 16.3 | 1.17× |
| [G3SG1 \| Flux (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-factory-new) | 1 in 123 | $33.14 | 2.0% | 9 | 16.4 | 0.55× |
| [Bloody Darryl The Strapped \| The Professionals agent · superior](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloody-darryl-the-strapped-the-professionals) | 1 in 120 | $32.34 | 2.0% | 13 | 16.8 | 0.77× |
| [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $29.17 | 6.7% | 69 | 61.6 | 1.12× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $23.50 | 6.7% | 59 | 76.4 | 0.77× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $19.14 | 6.7% | 92 | 93.9 | 0.98× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $18.96 | 6.7% | 82 | 94.7 | 0.87× |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-battle-scarred) | 1 in 151 | $12.55 | 0.6% | 11 | 13.4 | 0.82× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-field-tested) | 1 in 79 | $6.62 | 0.6% | 21 | 25.5 | 0.82× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $5.68 | 0.6% | 19 | 29.7 | 0.64× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $3.30 | 0.6% | 39 | 51.1 | 0.76× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $2.06 | 0.6% | 82 | 81.9 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $1.69 | 0.6% | 68 | 99.8 | 0.68× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Stained (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-well-worn) | 59.7% | $0.10 | 0.4% | 1,319 | 1208.2 | 1.09× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/761300`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $15.00 $790 52.65x 2026-11-10 23:17 UTC

[AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $15.00 $698 46.51x 2026-11-08 12:40 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=761300)

[Dual Berettas | Stained (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-well-worn) Hidden $15.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:23 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) [Flyzo](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Flyzo) $15.00 $19.14 1.28x 2026-11-11 20:23 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Stained (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-well-worn) Hidden $15.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Stained (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-well-worn) [hol3k](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/hol3k) $15.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Stained (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-well-worn) [Chudyy "skins.army”](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Chudyy%20%22skins.army%E2%80%9D) $15.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-field-tested) [𝕂𝕒𝕞𝕦𝕣 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%82%F0%9D%95%92%F0%9D%95%9E%F0%9D%95%A6%F0%9D%95%A3%20skins.army) $15.00 $6.62 0.44x 2026-11-11 20:05 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-minimal-wear) [SzybszyNiżNatychmiast](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SzybszyNi%C5%BCNatychmiast) $15.00 $5.68 0.38x 2026-11-11 20:05 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Stained (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-well-worn) Hidden $15.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:01 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Stained (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-well-worn) Hidden $15.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:01 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Stained (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-well-worn) Hidden $15.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:01 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 05:19 UTC | $15.00 | 88.84% | 36 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $15.00 | 88.81% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 3.3% rare 0.1% classified 6.3% pink 8.2% red 0.2% covert knife 0.9% #ffd700 0.5% Covert 0.5% extraordinary 0.6% Mythical 0.8% superior 0.8% industrial 62.7% #d32ee6 4.7% restricted 6.4% Rare 4.0% best hit $790 (52.65x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.84 on average: an expected loss of $11.16 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt