---
title: "Into the Jungle case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Into the Jungle ($105.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.74% from 23 items with odds, observed 92.70% over 285 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/776393
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Into the Jungle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/776393)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Into the Jungle

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/776393?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/776393?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/776393) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/776393?window=all)

Price · $105.00

Advertised RTP · 88.74% · EV $93.18 from 23 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.70% · 285 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 37 openings · below min

7 days · 99.52% ±16.65 213 openings

30 days · 92.70% ±14.39 285 openings

since tracking started · 92.70% ±14.39 285 openings

32.0% 74.5% 117.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/776393?window=24h) | 37 | 72.78% ±39.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/776393?window=7d) | 213 | 99.52% ±16.6 | +1.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/776393) | 285 | 92.70% ±14.4 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/776393?window=all) | 285 | 92.70% ±14.4 | +0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 285 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 1,562 | $1,831 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 1,235 | $1,435 | 1.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Pillow Punchers (Minimal Wear) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-pillow-punchers-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,190 | $1,389 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,064 | $1,246 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,010 | $1,183 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-field-tested) | 1 in 971 | $1,132 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-minimal-wear) | 1 in 339 | $935 | 3.0% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 247 | $680 | 3.0% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.87× |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 216 | $595 | 3.0% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-well-worn) | 1 in 139 | $382 | 3.0% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.46× |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 98 | $269 | 3.0% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.34× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 86 | $237 | 3.0% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.90× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Minimal Wear) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $221 | 3.0% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.84× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $193 | 4.8% | 6 | 6.6 | 0.90× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $184 | 4.8% | 5 | 7.0 | 0.72× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $161 | 4.8% | 3 | 8.0 | 0.38× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $160 | 4.8% | 12 | 8.0 | 1.50× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $134 | 4.8% | 13 | 9.6 | 1.36× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $120 | 4.8% | 14 | 10.7 | 1.30× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 10.6% | $94.35 | 10.7% | 31 | 30.2 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 11.2% | $89.51 | 10.7% | 31 | 31.8 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 21.7% | $46.08 | 10.7% | 58 | 61.8 | 0.94× |
| [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) | 33.2% | $29.74 | 10.6% | 96 | 94.5 | 1.02× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/776393`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) Hidden $105 $1,435 13.67x 2026-11-08 17:24 UTC

[M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) [Murlok](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Murlok) $105 $1,246 11.87x 2026-11-08 03:25 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-minimal-wear) [saju](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/saju) $105 $935 8.91x 2026-11-06 18:17 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-minimal-wear) Hidden $105 $935 8.91x 2026-11-03 18:22 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $105 $680 6.48x 2026-11-06 16:44 UTC

[M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) Hidden $105 $595 5.66x 2026-11-07 00:12 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=776393)

[★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $105 $94.35 0.90x 2026-11-11 15:03 UTC

[AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $105 $89.51 0.85x 2026-11-11 15:03 UTC

[AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) [KURI](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KURI) $105 $89.51 0.85x 2026-11-11 15:03 UTC

[AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $105 $89.51 0.85x 2026-11-11 14:53 UTC

[AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $105 $46.08 0.44x 2026-11-11 14:53 UTC

[AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) [KURI](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KURI) $105 $29.74 0.28x 2026-11-11 14:53 UTC

[AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $105 $46.08 0.44x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-field-tested) [twitch.tv/kosior\_777](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/twitch.tv%2Fkosior_777) $105 $161 1.53x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $105 $94.35 0.90x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) Hidden $105 $29.74 0.28x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $105 | 88.74% | 23 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.1% extraordinary 5.0% sunny 0.1% covert 43.4% rare 0.4% restricted 0.5% Extraordinary 1.2% gold 13.4% Legendary 2.8% industrial 33.2% best hit $1,435 (13.67x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.74 on average: an expected loss of $11.26 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt