---
title: "ZaMocnoSkuty case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "ZaMocnoSkuty ($105.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.84% from 24 items with odds, observed 76.41% over 301 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/809560
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:45Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [ZaMocnoSkuty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/809560)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · ZaMocnoSkuty

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/809560?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/809560?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/809560) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/809560?window=all)

Price · $105.00

Advertised RTP · 88.84% · EV $93.28 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.41% · 301 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 40 openings · below min

7 days · 74.76% ±24.59 219 openings

30 days · 76.41% ±20.97 301 openings

since tracking started · 76.41% ±20.97 301 openings

49.5% 110.3% 171.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/809560?window=24h) | 40 | 112.69% ±57.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/809560?window=7d) | 219 | 74.76% ±24.6 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/809560) | 301 | 76.41% ±21.0 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/809560?window=all) | 301 | 76.41% ±21.0 | −1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 301 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,083 | $5,378 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 862 | $2,237 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 562 | $1,467 | 2.8% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 529 | $1,376 | 2.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 331 | $863 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 220 | $574 | 2.8% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.20× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 70 | $493 | 7.5% | 1 | 4.3 | 0.23× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $464 | 7.5% | 8 | 4.5 | 1.76× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $251 | 7.5% | 8 | 8.4 | 0.95× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $219 | 7.5% | 6 | 9.6 | 0.62× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $218 | 7.5% | 6 | 9.7 | 0.62× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $179 | 7.5% | 4 | 11.8 | 0.34× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $133 | 7.5% | 9 | 15.8 | 0.57× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $120 | 7.5% | 17 | 17.6 | 0.97× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $97.12 | 4.4% | 12 | 12.7 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $82.21 | 4.4% | 10 | 15.0 | 0.67× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $74.83 | 4.4% | 26 | 16.5 | 1.58× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-factory-new) | 10.8% | $37.75 | 4.4% | 29 | 32.6 | 0.89× |
| [MAC-10 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 15.5% | $26.35 | 4.4% | 54 | 46.7 | 1.16× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 93 | $22.22 | 0.3% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.92× |
| [MAC-10 \| Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-battle-scarred) | 1 in 68 | $16.27 | 0.3% | 3 | 4.4 | 0.68× |
| [MAC-10 \| Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-field-tested) | 1 in 65 | $15.68 | 0.3% | 3 | 4.6 | 0.65× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Chemical Green (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-battle-scarred) | 11.7% | $2.06 | 0.3% | 38 | 35.1 | 1.08× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-battle-scarred) | 14.8% | $1.75 | 0.3% | 59 | 44.6 | 1.32× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/809560`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Czapa 1 lvl Faceit](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Czapa%201%20lvl%20Faceit) $105 $1,467 13.97x 2026-11-11 03:44 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) [Bylek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Bylek) $105 $1,376 13.10x 2026-11-03 20:21 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [ku](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ku) $105 $574 5.47x 2026-11-11 01:33 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $105 $574 5.47x 2026-11-10 13:57 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Murlok](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Murlok) $105 $574 5.47x 2026-11-06 15:20 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=809560)

[PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-battle-scarred) Hidden $105 $2.06 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-factory-new) [Psemek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Psemek) $105 $26.35 0.25x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-factory-new) Hidden $105 $26.35 0.25x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) [Psemek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Psemek) $105 $74.83 0.71x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-battle-scarred) Hidden $105 $1.75 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Psemek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Psemek) $105 $120 1.14x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $105 $37.75 0.36x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) [Psemek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Psemek) $105 $74.83 0.71x 2026-11-11 18:27 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-battle-scarred) Hidden $105 $2.06 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:53 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-battle-scarred) Hidden $105 $2.06 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:53 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $105 | 88.84% | 24 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 5.8% #ffd700 1.8% extraordinary 5.5% gold 0.5% restricted 19.4% sunny 6.0% Immortal 3.9% red 5.8% mil spec 32.1% #eb4b4b 5.0% classified 1.1% #4b69ff 1.5% #87c7ff 11.7% best hit $1,467 (13.97x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.84 on average: an expected loss of $11.16 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt