--- title: "GRILL & CHILL case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "GRILL & CHILL ($4.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.89% from 21 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811374 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [GRILL & CHILL](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811374) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · GRILL & CHILL A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811374?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811374?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811374) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811374?window=all) Price · $4.50 Advertised RTP · 88.89% · EV $4.00 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 5.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 67.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811374?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811374?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811374) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811374?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 1,587 | $184 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $147 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 1 in 962 | $112 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-field-tested) | 1 in 730 | $85.27 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 602 | $70.11 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-well-worn) | 1 in 407 | $47.44 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-field-tested) | 1 in 171 | $38.47 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 149 | $33.55 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $21.15 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 83 | $18.57 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $13.61 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 57 | $12.78 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Nova \| Antique (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $11.68 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP9 \| Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $9.96 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $8.60 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $7.85 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P90 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $7.76 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $7.00 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $6.20 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $5.93 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-colony-field-tested) | 67.2% | $0.03 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/811374`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=811374) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.50 | 88.89% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 10.2% #ffd700 0.2% extraordinary 0.1% classified 8.1% pink 2.9% Legendary 3.1% Classified 4.0% #4b69ff 4.2% consumer 67.2% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.89 on average: an expected loss of $11.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt