---
title: "JOYFUL VIBES case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "JOYFUL VIBES ($105.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.87% from 35 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811497
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [JOYFUL VIBES](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811497)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · JOYFUL VIBES

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811497?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811497?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811497) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811497?window=all)

Price · $105.00

Advertised RTP · 88.87% · EV $93.31 from 35 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 63.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811497?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811497?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811497) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/811497?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 1,031 | $2,566 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 1 in 1,010 | $2,520 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 935 | $2,341 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 725 | $1,816 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 578 | $1,444 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 521 | $1,299 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 218 | $898 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 186 | $768 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $561 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $475 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $346 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 65 | $267 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-battle-scarred) | 1 in 63 | $261 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $223 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $205 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $184 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $173 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $157 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $149 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $136 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $131 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 249 | $97.74 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 211 | $83.02 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 111 | $43.58 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $26.30 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $10.13 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $5.72 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 11.2% | $3.50 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $1.20 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-battle-scarred) | 1 in 82 | $0.98 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $0.62 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $0.47 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Off World (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-battle-scarred) | 12.0% | $0.10 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 15.1% | $0.08 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/811497`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=811497)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $105 | 88.87% | 35 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 22.3% extraordinary 5.2% restricted 7.2% sunny 0.2% rare 0.5% gold 0.7% Covert 1.5% #ffd700 8.1% classified 12.1% #d32ee6 6.9% mil spec 5.6% violet 2.6% #4b69ff 12.0% Uncommon 15.1%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.87 on average: an expected loss of $11.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt