--- title: "Mork case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Mork ($1.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.88% from 32 items with odds, observed 88.74% over 65.7K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/850585 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Mork](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/850585) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Mork A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/850585?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/850585?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/850585) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/850585?window=all) Price · $1.50 Advertised RTP · 88.88% · EV $1.33 from 32 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.74% · 65.7K openings, odds method Variance · 5.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.80% ±4.71 9,039 openings 7 days · 88.30% ±1.95 52.7K openings 30 days · 88.74% ±1.75 65.7K openings since tracking started · 88.74% ±1.75 65.7K openings 83.5% 88.8% 94.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/850585?window=24h) | 9,039 | 88.80% ±4.71 | −0.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/850585?window=7d) | 52.7K | 88.30% ±1.95 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/850585) | 65.7K | 88.74% ±1.75 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/850585?window=all) | 65.7K | 88.74% ±1.75 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 65.8K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $248 | 0.6% | 5 | 2.0 | 2.53× | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $76.33 | 0.6% | 2 | 6.6 | 0.30× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $75.34 | 0.6% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.76× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 9,091 | $74.30 | 0.6% | 7 | 7.2 | 0.97× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 7,692 | $59.72 | 0.6% | 8 | 8.6 | 0.93× | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $57.35 | 0.6% | 10 | 9.2 | 1.09× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,882 | $46.55 | 0.6% | 6 | 11.2 | 0.54× | | [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-field-tested) | 1 in 3,704 | $29.76 | 0.6% | 15 | 17.8 | 0.84× | | [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-well-worn) | 1 in 3,030 | $23.95 | 0.6% | 19 | 21.7 | 0.87× | | [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 1,961 | $15.49 | 0.6% | 27 | 33.6 | 0.80× | | [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 162 | $14.15 | 6.5% | 398 | 405.5 | 0.98× | | [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 153 | $13.33 | 6.5% | 441 | 429.8 | 1.03× | | [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-factory-new) | 1 in 142 | $12.33 | 6.5% | 472 | 464.7 | 1.02× | | [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) | 1 in 130 | $11.36 | 6.5% | 496 | 504.9 | 0.98× | | [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-factory-new) | 1 in 105 | $9.15 | 6.5% | 620 | 626.6 | 0.99× | | [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-field-tested) | 1 in 88 | $7.64 | 6.5% | 736 | 750.4 | 0.98× | | [P250 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $4.73 | 6.5% | 1,194 | 1212.5 | 0.98× | | [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $4.57 | 6.5% | 1,278 | 1254.6 | 1.02× | | [USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 48 | $4.17 | 6.5% | 1,353 | 1375.1 | 0.98× | | [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 74 | $3.98 | 4.1% | 903 | 893.2 | 1.01× | | [AWP \| PAW (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $3.82 | 4.1% | 967 | 930.8 | 1.04× | | [MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 71 | $3.81 | 4.0% | 928 | 932.7 | 0.99× | | [SG 553 \| Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $2.81 | 4.1% | 1,295 | 1265.1 | 1.02× | | [P90 \| Chopper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $2.44 | 4.1% | 1,477 | 1456.7 | 1.01× | | [AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 1 in 93 | $1.30 | 1.1% | 695 | 708.9 | 0.98× | | [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) | 1 in 62 | $0.87 | 1.0% | 1,048 | 1059.1 | 0.99× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 60 | $0.84 | 1.1% | 1,121 | 1097.3 | 1.02× | | [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $0.72 | 1.0% | 1,287 | 1279.6 | 1.01× | | [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $0.32 | 1.1% | 2,900 | 2879.8 | 1.01× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-well-worn) | 14.4% | $0.30 | 3.3% | 9,378 | 9508.3 | 0.99× | | [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-battle-scarred) | 24.1% | $0.18 | 3.3% | 15,975 | 15846.5 | 1.01× | | [MAG-7 \| Foresight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-field-tested) | 31.6% | $0.14 | 3.3% | 20,758 | 20817.5 | 1.00× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/850585`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) Hidden $1.50 $248 165.4x 2026-11-06 16:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) Hidden $1.50 $248 165.4x 2026-11-05 19:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) Hidden $1.50 $248 165.4x 2026-11-04 17:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) Hidden $1.50 $248 165.4x 2026-11-03 20:51 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) Hidden $1.50 $248 165.4x 2026-11-02 22:53 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) [WnukW3ndkarza skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/WnukW3ndkarza%20skins.army) $1.50 $76.33 50.89x 2026-11-05 05:24 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) Hidden $1.50 $76.33 50.89x 2026-11-03 20:26 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-stained-minimal-wear) [gKuchta3,skins.army,](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/gKuchta3%2Cskins.army%2C) $1.50 $75.34 50.23x 2026-11-10 19:59 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.50 $75.34 50.23x 2026-11-07 03:52 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.50 $75.34 50.23x 2026-11-05 13:48 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=850585) [P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-minimal-wear) [l๏๏к profesor323](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/l%E0%B9%8F%E0%B9%8F%D0%BA%20profesor323) $1.50 $2.44 1.63x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-battle-scarred) [AnimeEnjoyer](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/AnimeEnjoyer) $1.50 $0.18 0.12x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-field-tested) [WIECZNY skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/WIECZNY%20skins.army) $1.50 $2.81 1.87x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [AK-47 | Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) [Tupcio skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Tupcio%20skins.army) $1.50 $4.57 3.05x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-battle-scarred) [WIECZNY skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/WIECZNY%20skins.army) $1.50 $0.18 0.12x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [MAG-7 | Foresight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-field-tested) [Tupcio skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Tupcio%20skins.army) $1.50 $0.14 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [MAC-10 | Ensnared (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-factory-new) [WIECZNY skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/WIECZNY%20skins.army) $1.50 $0.72 0.48x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-battle-scarred) [Tupcio skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Tupcio%20skins.army) $1.50 $0.18 0.12x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [MAG-7 | Foresight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-field-tested) Hidden $1.50 $0.14 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC [MAG-7 | Foresight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-field-tested) [gonzalez](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/gonzalez) $1.50 $0.14 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.50 | 88.88% | 32 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% #ffd700 0.0% pink 2.6% #d32ee6 0.0% classified 2.5% Legendary 0.7% restricted 5.7% Mythical 3.1% violet 1.9% #8847ff 5.4% mil spec 1.6% Rare 6.3% #4b69ff 70.1% best hit $248 (165.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.88 on average: an expected loss of $11.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt