---
title: "BYALI case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "BYALI ($10.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.92% from 45 items with odds, observed 87.52% over 2,515 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/853204
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [BYALI](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/853204)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · BYALI

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/853204?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/853204?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/853204) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/853204?window=all)

Price · $10.00

Advertised RTP · 88.92% · EV $8.89 from 45 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.52% · 2,515 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 100.71% ±28.55 273 openings

7 days · 86.62% ±10.34 2,080 openings

30 days · 87.52% ±9.41 2,515 openings

since tracking started · 87.52% ±9.41 2,515 openings

71.5% 100.8% 130.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/853204?window=24h) | 273 | 100.71% ±28.5 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/853204?window=7d) | 2,080 | 86.62% ±10.3 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/853204) | 2,515 | 87.52% ±9.41 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/853204?window=all) | 2,515 | 87.52% ±9.41 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 45 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,515 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) | 1 in 3,846 | $666 | 1.9% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,887 | $322 | 1.9% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.50× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $287 | 1.9% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,099 | $190 | 1.9% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 1,064 | $183 | 1.9% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,064 | $182 | 1.9% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| [AWP \| Graphite (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-factory-new) | 1 in 917 | $158 | 1.9% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.36× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 877 | $151 | 1.9% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.70× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 741 | $127 | 1.9% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.47× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 741 | $127 | 1.9% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.47× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-minimal-wear) | 1 in 633 | $109 | 1.9% | 6 | 4.0 | 1.51× |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-well-worn) | 1 in 543 | $96.17 | 2.0% | 1 | 4.6 | 0.22× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-battle-scarred) | 1 in 431 | $76.30 | 2.0% | 4 | 5.8 | 0.69× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 427 | $75.68 | 2.0% | 7 | 5.9 | 1.19× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 420 | $74.47 | 2.0% | 4 | 6.0 | 0.67× |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 410 | $72.58 | 2.0% | 11 | 6.1 | 1.79× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 331 | $58.62 | 2.0% | 5 | 7.6 | 0.66× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 319 | $56.58 | 2.0% | 8 | 7.9 | 1.02× |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-field-tested) | 1 in 285 | $50.56 | 2.0% | 11 | 8.8 | 1.25× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 269 | $47.66 | 2.0% | 8 | 9.4 | 0.86× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 236 | $41.87 | 2.0% | 7 | 10.6 | 0.66× |
| [AUG \| Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 236 | $41.87 | 2.0% | 5 | 10.6 | 0.47× |
| [Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-factory-new) | 1 in 234 | $41.45 | 2.0% | 6 | 10.8 | 0.56× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 225 | $39.80 | 2.0% | 16 | 11.2 | 1.43× |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 220 | $39.01 | 2.0% | 16 | 11.4 | 1.40× |
| [MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 216 | $38.17 | 2.0% | 13 | 11.7 | 1.11× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 214 | $37.95 | 2.0% | 11 | 11.7 | 0.94× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) | 1 in 197 | $34.96 | 2.0% | 18 | 12.8 | 1.41× |
| [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-well-worn) | 1 in 188 | $33.24 | 2.0% | 20 | 13.4 | 1.49× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 161 | $28.53 | 2.0% | 13 | 15.6 | 0.83× |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 138 | $24.43 | 2.0% | 19 | 18.3 | 1.04× |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 131 | $23.14 | 2.0% | 21 | 19.3 | 1.09× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 126 | $22.32 | 2.0% | 23 | 20.0 | 1.15× |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-battle-scarred) | 1 in 41 | $18.23 | 5.0% | 66 | 61.4 | 1.08× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $16.58 | 5.0% | 73 | 67.5 | 1.08× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Eastern Enigma (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-eastern-enigma-well-worn) | 1 in 35 | $15.72 | 5.0% | 70 | 71.2 | 0.98× |
| [M4A1-S \| Solitude (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $13.83 | 5.0% | 83 | 80.9 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $12.43 | 5.0% | 97 | 90.0 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-mirror-mosaic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $12.21 | 5.0% | 90 | 91.7 | 0.98× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 122 | $8.77 | 0.8% | 15 | 20.5 | 0.73× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.77 | 0.8% | 234 | 234.1 | 1.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-battle-scarred) | 14.1% | $0.51 | 0.8% | 346 | 353.4 | 0.98× |
| [MAC-10 \| Allure (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-field-tested) | 15.2% | $0.47 | 0.8% | 383 | 383.5 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-field-tested) | 16.0% | $0.46 | 0.8% | 403 | 402.6 | 1.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-field-tested) | 15.6% | $0.46 | 0.8% | 383 | 391.8 | 0.98× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/853204`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) [𝓟𝓲𝓶~𝓟𝓮𝓮𝓴](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%93%9F%F0%9D%93%B2%F0%9D%93%B6~%F0%9D%93%9F%F0%9D%93%AE%F0%9D%93%AE%F0%9D%93%B4) $10.00 $666 66.60x 2026-11-04 20:25 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=853204)

[G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-field-tested) [Jabari Tahir♛ -C13\_r|\_|ch4M-](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Jabari%20Tahir%E2%99%9B%20-C13_r%7C_%7Cch4M-) $10.00 $0.77 0.08x 2026-11-11 19:17 UTC

[MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-field-tested) [Patryyk\_8](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Patryyk_8) $10.00 $0.47 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:17 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.00 $109 10.87x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC

[P2000 | Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) Hidden $10.00 $72.58 7.26x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC

[StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) [Eck0](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Eck0) $10.00 $12.43 1.24x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC

[Galil AR | Connexion (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-field-tested) Hidden $10.00 $0.46 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-battle-scarred) [Wujek CSGOSKINS #CASEHUG](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Wujek%20CSGOSKINS%20%23CASEHUG) $10.00 $0.51 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.00 $0.51 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC

[G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-field-tested) [Wujek CSGOSKINS #CASEHUG](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Wujek%20CSGOSKINS%20%23CASEHUG) $10.00 $0.77 0.08x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.00 $0.51 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $10.00 | 88.92% | 45 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.4% restricted 14.6% red 1.2% classified 11.1% pink 3.3% Immortal 0.1% Covert 0.1% extraordinary 0.3% Ancient 0.4% mil spec 0.9% Classified 0.5% #d32ce6 0.8% #d32ee6 2.4% Legendary 6.7% Mythical 9.3% #8847ff 15.2% violet 31.6% best hit $666 (66.60x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.92 on average: an expected loss of $11.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt