---
title: "Future Strike case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Future Strike ($80.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.93% from 34 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/862852
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:40Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Future Strike](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/862852)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Future Strike

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/862852?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/862852?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/862852) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/862852?window=all)

Price · $80.00

Advertised RTP · 88.93% · EV $71.14 from 34 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 3.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 61.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/862852?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/862852?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/862852) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/862852?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,010 | $1,947 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $1,599 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 592 | $1,135 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-minimal-wear) | 1 in 495 | $952 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 467 | $899 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 228 | $834 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 152 | $556 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 101 | $369 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $283 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $187 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 48 | $176 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $175 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $168 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $159 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $143 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $124 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $95.62 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $88.42 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $87.17 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 195 | $82.66 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 1 in 116 | $49.45 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 85 | $36.03 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $19.15 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $12.11 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $5.26 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $5.14 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $5.12 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 64 | $4.82 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $4.26 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-well-worn) | 1 in 48 | $3.65 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $3.04 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $1.24 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $1.03 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Lapis Gator (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $1.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/862852`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=862852)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $80.00 | 88.93% | 34 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 29.7% restricted 12.3% gold 0.6% extraordinary 5.2% sunny 0.7% classified 20.9% #eb4b4b 0.5% blue 2.2% Mythical 8.1% Legendary 4.1% red 2.1% pink 6.1% mil spec 7.7%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.93 on average: an expected loss of $11.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt