---
title: "Galil AR case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Galil AR ($3.30) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.82% from 57 items with odds, observed 88.65% over 14.7K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/88
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Galil AR](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/88)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Galil AR

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/88?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/88?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/88) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/88?window=all)

Price · $3.30

Advertised RTP · 88.82% · EV $2.93 from 57 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.65% · 14.7K openings, odds method

Variance · 6.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 87.03% ±11.54 2,003 openings

7 days · 88.85% ±4.57 12.8K openings

30 days · 88.65% ±4.27 14.7K openings

since tracking started · 88.65% ±4.27 14.7K openings

75.0% 87.0% 99.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/88?window=24h) | 2,003 | 87.03% ±11.5 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/88?window=7d) | 12.8K | 88.85% ±4.57 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/88) | 14.7K | 88.65% ±4.27 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/88?window=all) | 14.7K | 88.65% ±4.27 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 57 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14.7K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $822 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $571 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $227 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $193 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.94× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Shattered (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-shattered-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $163 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $163 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× |
| [Galil AR \| Aqua Terrace (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-aqua-terrace-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $157 | 0.5% | 4 | 1.3 | 3.02× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chatterbox-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $151 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $147 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $147 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $143 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chatterbox-battle-scarred) | 1 in 9,091 | $133 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-battle-scarred) | 1 in 9,091 | $133 | 0.5% | 6 | 1.6 | 3.70× |
| [Galil AR \| Aqua Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-aqua-terrace-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $132 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-sugar-rush-well-worn) | 1 in 7,692 | $114 | 0.5% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.57× |
| [Galil AR \| Aqua Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-aqua-terrace-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $105 | 0.5% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.45× |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,316 | $59.00 | 1.5% | 11 | 11.2 | 0.98× |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-well-worn) | 1 in 1,266 | $56.33 | 1.5% | 8 | 11.6 | 0.69× |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,190 | $53.32 | 1.5% | 8 | 12.4 | 0.65× |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 1,163 | $52.02 | 1.5% | 15 | 12.7 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 980 | $43.81 | 1.5% | 11 | 15.0 | 0.73× |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-field-tested) | 1 in 676 | $30.20 | 1.5% | 24 | 21.8 | 1.10× |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 562 | $25.03 | 1.5% | 17 | 26.2 | 0.65× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $22.29 | 1.5% | 23 | 29.5 | 0.78× |
| [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 452 | $20.19 | 1.5% | 33 | 32.5 | 1.01× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 129 | $14.91 | 3.9% | 119 | 114.3 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Eco (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 128 | $14.84 | 3.9% | 97 | 114.9 | 0.84× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 123 | $14.21 | 3.9% | 121 | 119.9 | 1.01× |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 119 | $13.75 | 3.9% | 130 | 124.0 | 1.05× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-factory-new) | 1 in 88 | $10.21 | 3.9% | 155 | 166.9 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $7.99 | 3.9% | 217 | 213.3 | 1.02× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $7.70 | 3.9% | 232 | 221.4 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $5.57 | 5.0% | 434 | 389.1 | 1.12× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $4.42 | 5.0% | 462 | 490.3 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $4.19 | 5.0% | 467 | 517.2 | 0.90× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $3.84 | 5.0% | 606 | 564.4 | 1.07× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $3.77 | 5.0% | 597 | 574.8 | 1.04× |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $3.49 | 5.0% | 616 | 620.9 | 0.99× |
| [Galil AR \| Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $3.38 | 5.0% | 625 | 641.1 | 0.97× |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-field-tested) | 1 in 111 | $2.89 | 0.9% | 149 | 133.1 | 1.12× |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-factory-new) | 1 in 95 | $2.48 | 0.9% | 165 | 155.1 | 1.06× |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-well-worn) | 1 in 93 | $2.42 | 0.9% | 145 | 158.9 | 0.91× |
| [Galil AR \| Akoben (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-akoben-factory-new) | 1 in 62 | $1.63 | 0.9% | 219 | 235.9 | 0.93× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $1.55 | 0.9% | 265 | 248.2 | 1.07× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 53 | $1.39 | 0.9% | 276 | 276.6 | 1.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $1.30 | 0.9% | 279 | 295.9 | 0.94× |
| [Galil AR \| Signal (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $1.08 | 0.9% | 371 | 356.1 | 1.04× |
| [Galil AR \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $0.92 | 0.9% | 436 | 418.0 | 1.04× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-well-worn) | 1 in 38 | $0.92 | 0.8% | 377 | 387.8 | 0.97× |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $0.88 | 0.8% | 378 | 405.3 | 0.93× |
| [Galil AR \| Signal (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.66 | 0.8% | 522 | 540.5 | 0.97× |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $0.46 | 0.8% | 807 | 775.6 | 1.04× |
| [Galil AR \| Connexion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $0.45 | 0.8% | 741 | 792.8 | 0.93× |
| [Galil AR \| Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $0.41 | 0.8% | 871 | 870.1 | 1.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Cold Fusion (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.31 | 0.8% | 1,160 | 1150.8 | 1.01× |
| [Galil AR \| Akoben (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-akoben-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.30 | 0.8% | 1,205 | 1189.1 | 1.01× |
| [Galil AR \| Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $0.28 | 0.8% | 1,309 | 1271.3 | 1.03× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/88`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) [Andrzej SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Andrzej%20SKINS) $3.30 $822 249.2x 2026-11-05 15:33 UTC

[Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) Hidden $3.30 $193 58.59x 2026-11-11 07:27 UTC

[Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) Hidden $3.30 $193 58.59x 2026-11-10 20:21 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=88)

[Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.30 $1.08 0.33x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-field-tested) [Potterowski](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Potterowski) $3.30 $0.31 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[Galil AR | Akoben (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-akoben-factory-new) Hidden $3.30 $1.63 0.49x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-field-tested) [Potterowski](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Potterowski) $3.30 $0.31 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-field-tested) Hidden $3.30 $1.30 0.39x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-minimal-wear) [Potterowski](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Potterowski) $3.30 $0.28 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[Galil AR | Akoben (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-akoben-field-tested) Hidden $3.30 $0.30 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-field-tested) [ziutekk skins.army b](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ziutekk%20skins.army%20b) $3.30 $20.19 6.12x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[Galil AR | Connexion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.30 $0.45 0.14x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

[Galil AR | Akoben (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-akoben-field-tested) Hidden $3.30 $0.30 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $3.30 | 88.82% | 57 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 10.4% covert 0.0% classified 2.1% #4b69ff 8.8% mil spec 12.3% #eb4b4b 0.0% #d32ee6 3.4% Legendary 10.3% pink 4.6% #8847ff 11.0% Mythical 7.0% Rare 4.4% violet 7.1% milspec 2.0% #87c7ff 16.4% best hit $822 (249.2x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.82 on average: an expected loss of $11.18 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt