---
title: "P90 case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "P90 ($4.10) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.74% from 56 items with odds, observed 89.96% over 8,145 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/89
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [P90](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/89)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · P90

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/89?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/89?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/89) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/89?window=all)

Price · $4.10

Advertised RTP · 88.74% · EV $3.64 from 56 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.96% · 8,145 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 86.36% ±12.42 1,276 openings

7 days · 90.70% ±5.35 6,867 openings

30 days · 89.96% ±4.92 8,145 openings

since tracking started · 89.96% ±4.92 8,145 openings

73.5% 86.5% 99.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/89?window=24h) | 1,276 | 86.36% ±12.4 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/89?window=7d) | 6,867 | 90.70% ±5.35 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/89) | 8,145 | 89.96% ±4.92 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/89?window=all) | 8,145 | 89.96% ±4.92 | +0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 56 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,170 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $611 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $463 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 25,000 | $380 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $351 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $288 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $228 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $218 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 11,111 | $158 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $141 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $98.16 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $91.11 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.53× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $86.27 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.44× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) | 1 in 617 | $67.96 | 3.0% | 13 | 13.2 | 0.98× |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-factory-new) | 1 in 495 | $54.65 | 3.0% | 14 | 16.5 | 0.85× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 490 | $53.94 | 3.0% | 17 | 16.7 | 1.02× |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 369 | $40.63 | 3.0% | 19 | 22.1 | 0.86× |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-field-tested) | 1 in 441 | $33.10 | 2.1% | 17 | 18.5 | 0.92× |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-well-worn) | 1 in 433 | $32.42 | 2.1% | 17 | 18.9 | 0.90× |
| [P90 \| Baroque Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-baroque-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 420 | $31.46 | 2.1% | 22 | 19.4 | 1.13× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 357 | $26.77 | 2.1% | 27 | 22.9 | 1.18× |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-factory-new) | 1 in 353 | $26.47 | 2.1% | 24 | 23.1 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-nostalgia-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $25.00 | 2.1% | 17 | 24.5 | 0.69× |
| [P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 314 | $23.61 | 2.1% | 21 | 26.0 | 0.81× |
| [P90 \| Virus (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-factory-new) | 1 in 292 | $21.92 | 2.1% | 24 | 27.9 | 0.86× |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 178 | $13.33 | 2.1% | 49 | 46.0 | 1.07× |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) | 1 in 164 | $12.27 | 2.1% | 46 | 49.9 | 0.92× |
| [P90 \| Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) | 1 in 158 | $11.85 | 2.1% | 56 | 51.7 | 1.08× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-factory-new) | 1 in 148 | $11.13 | 2.1% | 60 | 55.1 | 1.09× |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-well-worn) | 1 in 143 | $10.70 | 2.1% | 64 | 57.3 | 1.12× |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-field-tested) | 1 in 142 | $10.69 | 2.1% | 74 | 57.4 | 1.29× |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-well-worn) | 1 in 142 | $10.67 | 2.1% | 44 | 57.4 | 0.77× |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-field-tested) | 1 in 142 | $10.64 | 2.1% | 56 | 57.6 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-nostalgia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $8.20 | 6.0% | 222 | 217.6 | 1.02× |
| [P90 \| Blind Spot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $7.71 | 6.0% | 212 | 231.4 | 0.92× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $5.97 | 6.0% | 314 | 298.8 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $5.10 | 6.0% | 377 | 349.8 | 1.08× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $4.31 | 6.0% | 399 | 413.9 | 0.96× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $4.22 | 6.0% | 402 | 422.7 | 0.95× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-factory-new) | 1 in 116 | $3.61 | 0.9% | 68 | 70.2 | 0.97× |
| [P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 116 | $3.60 | 0.9% | 77 | 70.3 | 1.09× |
| [P90 \| Virus (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $3.21 | 0.9% | 74 | 78.9 | 0.94× |
| [P90 \| Virus (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $2.51 | 0.9% | 105 | 100.9 | 1.04× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 62 | $1.93 | 0.9% | 141 | 131.2 | 1.07× |
| [P90 \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $1.88 | 0.9% | 123 | 134.7 | 0.91× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $1.62 | 0.9% | 140 | 156.4 | 0.90× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-battle-scarred) | 1 in 49 | $1.53 | 0.9% | 170 | 165.5 | 1.03× |
| [P90 \| Module (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-factory-new) | 1 in 48 | $1.50 | 0.9% | 146 | 168.9 | 0.86× |
| [P90 \| Grim (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $1.24 | 0.9% | 225 | 204.3 | 1.10× |
| [P90 \| Module (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-module-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $1.17 | 0.7% | 180 | 181.5 | 0.99× |
| [P90 \| Grim (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $0.84 | 0.7% | 233 | 252.9 | 0.92× |
| [P90 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.54 | 0.7% | 365 | 393.4 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.43 | 0.7% | 474 | 494.0 | 0.96× |
| [P90 \| Grim (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $0.35 | 0.7% | 656 | 606.9 | 1.08× |
| [P90 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $0.33 | 0.7% | 655 | 643.7 | 1.02× |
| [P90 \| Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.31 | 0.7% | 727 | 685.2 | 1.06× |
| [P90 \| Freight (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-minimal-wear) | 12.3% | $0.20 | 0.7% | 992 | 1006.7 | 0.99× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/89`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[P90 | Astral Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-field-tested) [kapi](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kapi) $4.10 $380 92.63x 2026-11-05 19:40 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-factory-new) [Oneki](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Oneki) $4.10 $351 85.63x 2026-11-06 19:21 UTC

[P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) [guci skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/guci%20skins.army) $4.10 $288 70.25x 2026-11-10 22:00 UTC

[P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) [kamolll6skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kamolll6skins.army) $4.10 $218 53.19x 2026-11-10 03:18 UTC

[P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) [Hitler](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Hitler) $4.10 $218 53.19x 2026-11-05 01:18 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=89)

[P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) Hidden $4.10 $4.22 1.03x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC

[P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) Hidden $4.10 $4.22 1.03x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC

[P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.10 $5.97 1.46x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC

[P90 | Grim (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-well-worn) [G-E-I-T](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/G-E-I-T) $4.10 $0.35 0.09x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC

[P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.10 $0.20 0.05x 2026-11-11 17:00 UTC

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.10 $67.96 16.58x 2026-11-11 17:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-elite-build-field-tested) [Televizorlg skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Televizorlg%20skins.army) $4.10 $0.43 0.10x 2026-11-11 17:00 UTC

[P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.10 $0.84 0.20x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC

[P90 | Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) Hidden $4.10 $0.31 0.08x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC

[P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-elite-build-well-worn) Hidden $4.10 $0.33 0.08x 2026-11-11 16:59 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $4.10 | 88.74% | 56 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 14.9% restricted 6.5% #eb4b4b 0.0% covert 0.1% #d32ee6 3.4% Legendary 4.4% pink 0.2% Classified 0.2% mil spec 7.9% violet 0.6% Mythical 0.6% #8847ff 9.2% #4b69ff 44.6% Mil Spec 2.5% Rare 4.8% best hit $380 (92.63x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.74 on average: an expected loss of $11.26 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt