---
title: "Tiger Speed case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Tiger Speed ($25.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.86% from 64 items with odds, observed 88.03% over 2,955 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/90
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:49Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Tiger Speed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/90)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Tiger Speed

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/90?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/90?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/90) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/90?window=all)

Price · $25.00

Advertised RTP · 88.86% · EV $22.21 from 64 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.03% · 2,955 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 87.29% ±20.39 376 openings

7 days · 90.05% ±9.02 1,920 openings

30 days · 88.03% ±7.27 2,955 openings

since tracking started · 88.03% ±7.27 2,955 openings

66.0% 87.3% 108.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/90?window=24h) | 376 | 87.29% ±20.4 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/90?window=7d) | 1,920 | 90.05% ±9.02 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/90) | 2,955 | 88.03% ±7.27 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/90?window=all) | 2,955 | 88.03% ±7.27 | −0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 64 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,970 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50,000 | $1,444 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $1,335 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50,000 | $1,144 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $1,012 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33,333 | $800 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33,333 | $740 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $731 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 719 | $562 | 3.5% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.97× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $547 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,000 | $517 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Spitfire (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-factory-new) | 1 in 658 | $511 | 3.5% | 3 | 4.5 | 0.66× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-factory-new) | 1 in 645 | $502 | 3.5% | 6 | 4.6 | 1.30× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $403 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $336 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14,286 | $328 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $317 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-battle-scarred) | 1 in 402 | $314 | 3.5% | 6 | 7.4 | 0.81× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 385 | $300 | 3.5% | 10 | 7.7 | 1.30× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $245 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $219 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $205 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-battle-scarred) | 1 in 769 | $198 | 1.2% | 1 | 3.9 | 0.26× |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $198 | 1.2% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.78× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $192 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,333 | $186 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 694 | $179 | 1.2% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.70× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 625 | $160 | 1.2% | 2 | 4.8 | 0.42× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 606 | $156 | 1.2% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.22× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 602 | $155 | 1.2% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.81× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 588 | $152 | 1.2% | 3 | 5.0 | 0.59× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-well-worn) | 1 in 549 | $141 | 1.2% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.93× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 541 | $139 | 1.2% | 3 | 5.5 | 0.55× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 538 | $138 | 1.2% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.91× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 526 | $135 | 1.2% | 3 | 5.6 | 0.53× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 426 | $109 | 1.2% | 7 | 7.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 408 | $105 | 1.2% | 2 | 7.3 | 0.27× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 402 | $103 | 1.2% | 9 | 7.4 | 1.22× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 366 | $94.31 | 1.2% | 10 | 8.1 | 1.23× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 357 | $91.78 | 1.2% | 6 | 8.3 | 0.72× |
| [FAMAS \| Spitfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 314 | $80.70 | 1.2% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.95× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 311 | $79.88 | 1.2% | 12 | 9.6 | 1.25× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 304 | $78.05 | 1.2% | 17 | 9.8 | 1.74× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 298 | $76.48 | 1.2% | 10 | 10.0 | 1.00× |
| [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $53.05 | 8.1% | 107 | 100.4 | 1.07× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $51.69 | 8.1% | 123 | 103.1 | 1.19× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $51.05 | 8.1% | 110 | 104.4 | 1.05× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $32.58 | 8.1% | 147 | 163.5 | 0.90× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $28.46 | 8.1% | 185 | 187.2 | 0.99× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-factory-new) | 1 in 97 | $21.86 | 1.0% | 33 | 30.6 | 1.08× |
| [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 73 | $16.43 | 1.0% | 38 | 40.7 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 69 | $15.55 | 1.0% | 40 | 43.0 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $11.33 | 1.0% | 61 | 59.0 | 1.03× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 46 | $10.40 | 1.0% | 71 | 64.2 | 1.11× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $8.44 | 1.0% | 65 | 79.2 | 0.82× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $8.05 | 1.0% | 83 | 83.0 | 1.00× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $7.69 | 1.0% | 82 | 86.9 | 0.94× |
| [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $5.61 | 1.0% | 117 | 119.1 | 0.98× |
| [SG 553 \| Tiger Moth (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $5.17 | 1.0% | 128 | 129.3 | 0.99× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Dualing Dragons (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dualing-dragons-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $3.89 | 1.0% | 170 | 171.8 | 0.99× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $3.83 | 1.0% | 178 | 174.5 | 1.02× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $3.69 | 1.2% | 231 | 221.4 | 1.04× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $3.09 | 1.2% | 274 | 264.3 | 1.04× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $2.90 | 1.2% | 271 | 281.6 | 0.96× |
| [SG 553 \| Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-minimal-wear) | 10.1% | $2.72 | 1.2% | 303 | 300.9 | 1.01× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/90`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.00 $800 32.00x 2026-11-09 23:20 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 $562 22.49x 2026-11-05 19:52 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 $562 22.49x 2026-11-04 22:49 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 $562 22.49x 2026-11-02 22:19 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 $562 22.49x 2026-11-02 22:14 UTC

[FAMAS | Spitfire (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 $511 20.45x 2026-11-09 01:36 UTC

[FAMAS | Spitfire (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 $511 20.45x 2026-11-06 21:08 UTC

[FAMAS | Spitfire (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 $511 20.45x 2026-11-04 15:20 UTC

[AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 $502 20.10x 2026-11-09 04:11 UTC

[AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 $502 20.10x 2026-11-06 18:02 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=90)

[Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 $51.69 2.07x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-field-tested) Hidden $25.00 $51.69 2.07x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-factory-new) [marcin](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/marcin) $25.00 $21.86 0.87x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.00 $2.90 0.12x 2026-11-11 16:31 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 $21.86 0.87x 2026-11-11 16:31 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) [marcin](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/marcin) $25.00 $32.58 1.30x 2026-11-11 16:31 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dualing-dragons-factory-new) Hidden $25.00 $3.89 0.16x 2026-11-11 15:45 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.00 $2.90 0.12x 2026-11-11 15:45 UTC

[SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-minimal-wear) [PatrickStar](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/PatrickStar) $25.00 $2.72 0.11x 2026-11-11 15:45 UTC

[SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.00 $2.72 0.11x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $25.00 | 88.86% | 64 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 3.5% epic 0.0% restricted 50.8% #d32ee6 0.3% classified 8.0% pink 0.1% #4b69ff 10.5% Classified 5.5% Mythical 8.5% mil spec 5.5% violet 2.9% #8847ff 4.4% best hit $800 (32.00x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.86 on average: an expected loss of $11.14 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt