---
title: "Jungle Fang case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Jungle Fang ($150.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.16% from 27 items with odds, observed 83.96% over 188 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/952576
rendered: 2026-11-13T05:23Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Jungle Fang](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/952576)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Jungle Fang

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/952576?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/952576?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/952576) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/952576?window=all)

Price · $150.00

Advertised RTP · 89.16% · EV $133.74 from 27 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 83.96% · 188 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 34.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 11 openings · below min

7 days · 80.90% ±10.51 153 openings

30 days · 83.96% ±9.48 188 openings

since tracking started · 83.96% ±9.48 188 openings

34.5% 74.3% 114.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/952576?window=24h) | 11 | 74.36% ±39.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/952576?window=7d) | 153 | 80.90% ±10.5 | −1.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/952576) | 188 | 83.96% ±9.48 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/952576?window=all) | 188 | 83.96% ±9.48 | −1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 188 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,515 | $1,443 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $1,360 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,299 | $1,245 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,235 | $1,180 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 781 | $748 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 271 | $649 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 216 | $517 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 181 | $434 | 1.8% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 163 | $391 | 1.8% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 137 | $327 | 1.8% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 128 | $305 | 1.8% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 126 | $301 | 1.8% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 61 | $263 | 3.2% | 7 | 3.1 | 2.29× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $246 | 3.2% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.92× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $230 | 3.2% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.86× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $194 | 3.2% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.20× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $183 | 3.2% | 4 | 4.4 | 0.91× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $154 | 3.2% | 2 | 5.2 | 0.38× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $153 | 3.2% | 4 | 5.3 | 0.76× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $144 | 7.7% | 10 | 13.4 | 0.75× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $140 | 7.7% | 13 | 13.8 | 0.94× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $134 | 7.7% | 7 | 14.4 | 0.49× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $103 | 7.7% | 16 | 18.7 | 0.85× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $102 | 7.7% | 17 | 18.9 | 0.90× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $102 | 7.7% | 18 | 18.9 | 0.95× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 13.7% | $74.86 | 7.7% | 41 | 25.7 | 1.59× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 14.1% | $74.10 | 7.8% | 36 | 26.5 | 1.36× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/952576`, 13 Nov, 02:21 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $150 $1,443 9.62x 2026-11-08 13:48 UTC

[★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $150 $1,180 7.87x 2026-11-05 21:05 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=952576)

[★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $150 $74.10 0.49x 2026-11-12 22:20 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [MARIO](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/MARIO) $150 $140 0.93x 2026-11-12 22:20 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $150 $183 1.22x 2026-11-12 21:15 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $150 $102 0.68x 2026-11-12 21:15 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [mrouZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/mrouZ) $150 $134 0.89x 2026-11-12 21:15 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $150 $74.86 0.50x 2026-11-12 15:39 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $150 $74.86 0.50x 2026-11-12 15:39 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [ZaMocnoSkuty](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ZaMocnoSkuty) $150 $74.10 0.49x 2026-11-12 15:39 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $150 $194 1.29x 2026-11-12 15:39 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $150 $102 0.68x 2026-11-12 15:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $150 | 89.16% | 27 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #ffd700 0.1% covert knife 0.1% covert 97.2% epic 2.7% best hit $1,443 (9.62x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.16 on average: an expected loss of $10.84 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt