--- title: "Bloodbath case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Bloodbath ($170.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.04% from 31 items with odds, observed 87.89% over 145 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/953283 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Bloodbath](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/953283) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Bloodbath A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/953283?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/953283?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/953283) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/953283?window=all) Price · $170.00 Advertised RTP · 89.04% · EV $151.36 from 31 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.89% · 145 openings, odds method Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 34.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 35 openings · below min 7 days · 90.24% ±12.51 129 openings 30 days · 87.89% ±11.80 145 openings since tracking started · 87.89% ±11.80 145 openings 61.0% 85.5% 110.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/953283?window=24h) | 35 | 85.53% ±24.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/953283?window=7d) | 129 | 90.24% ±12.5 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/953283) | 145 | 87.89% ±11.8 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/953283?window=all) | 145 | 87.89% ±11.8 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 147 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,724 | $2,001 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,613 | $1,877 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,190 | $1,390 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 971 | $1,136 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 862 | $1,004 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 654 | $761 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 183 | $671 | 2.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $613 | 2.4% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 156 | $574 | 2.4% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 127 | $467 | 2.4% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $394 | 2.4% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 94 | $346 | 2.4% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 170 | $326 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 161 | $308 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 159 | $304 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 151 | $290 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 109 | $209 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.74× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 109 | $209 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 108 | $207 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 102 | $196 | 1.3% | 4 | 1.4 | 2.78× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 101 | $194 | 1.3% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.38× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $191 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 92 | $177 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $177 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $150 | 9.1% | 11 | 13.4 | 0.82× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $137 | 9.1% | 14 | 14.7 | 0.95× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 10.5% | $131 | 9.1% | 16 | 15.4 | 1.04× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 10.8% | $127 | 9.1% | 15 | 15.9 | 0.94× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-field-tested) | 12.8% | $107 | 9.1% | 26 | 18.8 | 1.38× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 12.9% | $107 | 9.1% | 23 | 18.9 | 1.22× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 18.4% | $92.73 | 11.3% | 26 | 27.1 | 0.96× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/953283`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) [MARIO](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/MARIO) $170 $1,390 8.18x 2026-11-06 16:18 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $170 $761 4.48x 2026-11-11 15:32 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $170 $671 3.95x 2026-11-10 17:32 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $170 $613 3.61x 2026-11-10 19:54 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $170 $613 3.61x 2026-11-05 23:36 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $170 $574 3.37x 2026-11-05 22:47 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=953283) [★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $170 $92.73 0.55x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $170 $107 0.63x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-field-tested) [mrouZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/mrouZ) $170 $127 0.75x 2026-11-11 15:36 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $170 $92.73 0.55x 2026-11-11 15:32 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $170 $761 4.48x 2026-11-11 15:32 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $170 $209 1.23x 2026-11-11 15:32 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-field-tested) [mrouZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/mrouZ) $170 $107 0.63x 2026-11-11 15:32 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $170 $107 0.63x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $170 $137 0.81x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-field-tested) [KURI](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KURI) $170 $150 0.88x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $170 | 89.04% | 31 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 98.4% Covert 0.6% #ffd700 1.0% best hit $1,390 (8.18x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.04 on average: an expected loss of $10.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt