---
title: "Boks case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Boks ($5.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.99% from 30 items with odds, observed 87.99% over 15.7K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/956657
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:34Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Boks](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/956657)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Boks

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/956657?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/956657?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/956657) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/956657?window=all)

Price · $5.00

Advertised RTP · 88.99% · EV $4.45 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.99% · 15.7K openings, odds method

Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.50% ±7.76 2,426 openings

7 days · 87.19% ±3.40 12.7K openings

30 days · 87.99% ±3.05 15.7K openings

since tracking started · 87.99% ±3.05 15.7K openings

83.0% 92.5% 102.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/956657?window=24h) | 2,426 | 93.50% ±7.76 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/956657?window=7d) | 12.7K | 87.19% ±3.40 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/956657) | 15.7K | 87.99% ±3.05 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/956657?window=all) | 15.7K | 87.99% ±3.05 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15.8K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 2,564 | $208 | 1.8% | 7 | 6.1 | 1.14× |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-field-tested) | 1 in 1,852 | $149 | 1.8% | 10 | 8.5 | 1.17× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,042 | $83.99 | 1.8% | 20 | 15.1 | 1.32× |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 990 | $80.42 | 1.8% | 17 | 15.9 | 1.07× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 990 | $80.22 | 1.8% | 12 | 15.9 | 0.75× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 952 | $77.20 | 1.8% | 21 | 16.6 | 1.27× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 781 | $63.31 | 1.8% | 24 | 20.2 | 1.19× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 769 | $62.11 | 1.8% | 19 | 20.5 | 0.93× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Well-Worn) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 671 | $54.15 | 1.8% | 15 | 23.5 | 0.64× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 282 | $47.86 | 3.8% | 47 | 56.0 | 0.84× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 163 | $27.74 | 3.8% | 77 | 96.5 | 0.80× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $23.87 | 3.8% | 106 | 112.3 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) | 1 in 129 | $21.85 | 3.8% | 120 | 122.7 | 0.98× |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 110 | $18.71 | 3.8% | 143 | 143.2 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| DickStacy \| Berlin 2019 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dickstacy-berlin-2019) | 1 in 101 | $17.13 | 3.8% | 147 | 156.4 | 0.94× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) | 1 in 85 | $14.45 | 3.8% | 184 | 185.4 | 0.99× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 75 | $12.75 | 3.8% | 222 | 210.0 | 1.06× |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $10.26 | 3.8% | 232 | 261.1 | 0.89× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $8.61 | 6.2% | 513 | 502.6 | 1.02× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $7.18 | 6.2% | 610 | 602.7 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $7.06 | 6.2% | 592 | 612.9 | 0.97× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $6.02 | 6.2% | 654 | 718.8 | 0.91× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $5.97 | 6.2% | 737 | 724.7 | 1.02× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $5.01 | 4.0% | 584 | 554.0 | 1.05× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $4.87 | 4.0% | 561 | 569.9 | 0.98× |
| [P250 \| Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $3.97 | 4.0% | 739 | 699.0 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $2.21 | 4.0% | 1,330 | 1255.8 | 1.06× |
| [Galil AR \| Destroyer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-battle-scarred) | 12.1% | $0.32 | 0.9% | 1,874 | 1905.5 | 0.98× |
| [MP9 \| Modest Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-field-tested) | 12.9% | $0.30 | 0.9% | 1,993 | 2032.5 | 0.98× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Fragments (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-battle-scarred) | 26.0% | $0.15 | 0.9% | 4,159 | 4104.5 | 1.01× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/956657`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=956657)

[Galil AR | Destroyer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-destroyer-battle-scarred) [Zagniewany](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Zagniewany) $5.00 $0.32 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:33 UTC

[Tec-9 | Remote Control (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-minimal-wear) [n0tice](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/n0tice) $5.00 $5.01 1.00x 2026-11-11 19:33 UTC

[AK-47 | Steel Delta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-battle-scarred) [Jabari Tahir♛ -C13\_r|\_|ch4M-](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Jabari%20Tahir%E2%99%9B%20-C13_r%7C_%7Cch4M-) $5.00 $2.21 0.44x 2026-11-11 19:33 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Fragments (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-battle-scarred) [Tupcio skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Tupcio%20skins.army) $5.00 $0.15 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:33 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Fragments (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-battle-scarred) [Handzega RYOBI skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Handzega%20RYOBI%20skins.army) $5.00 $0.15 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:33 UTC

[MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-field-tested) [hello kitty-skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/hello%20kitty-skins.army) $5.00 $0.30 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:33 UTC

[MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) [→●σѕкαя●←⭕⃤](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%86%92%E2%97%8F%CF%83%D1%95%D0%BA%CE%B1%D1%8F%E2%97%8F%E2%86%90%E2%AD%95%E2%83%A4) $5.00 $7.18 1.44x 2026-11-11 19:32 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Fragments (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-battle-scarred) [scyzoryk](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/scyzoryk) $5.00 $0.15 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:32 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Fragments (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-battle-scarred) [→●σѕкαя●←⭕⃤](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%86%92%E2%97%8F%CF%83%D1%95%D0%BA%CE%B1%D1%8F%E2%97%8F%E2%86%90%E2%AD%95%E2%83%A4) $5.00 $0.15 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:32 UTC

[MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-modest-threat-field-tested) [scyzoryk](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/scyzoryk) $5.00 $0.30 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:32 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $5.00 | 88.99% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.0% pink 12.2% Covert 0.1% classified 11.6% #d32ee6 5.3% restricted 4.4% mil spec 13.8% high 1.0% Legendary 4.5% blue 8.0% #4b69ff 38.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.99 on average: an expected loss of $11.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt